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⛳ PGA DFS: Course Preview for AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2022

PGA Coure Preview

We have an exciting week of PGA DFS. Let us help you with this Course Preview for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2022. We have superb-looking slates on DraftKings and FanDuel. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.

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Course Preview

Here we go again, another three-course rotation. Yes, you read that right. Last year at Pebble Beach, it was a two-course rotation, and this year Monterey Peninsula is back in the mix. This week we will see 156 players on the field who will be playing at Pebble, Spyglass, and Monterey for the first three days, and then top 60 and ties will play Sunday at Pebble Beach. Out of the three courses, the most accessible course is Monterey and Spyglass is by far the toughest.

Pebble Beach Golf Links is a par 72, 6972 yards played on Poa Anuua greens. The course has one water hazard, 118 sand bunkers, and an average green size of 3500 sq feet. The fairways are quite wide on Pebble Beach, and the rough usually sits on the shorter side, but what makes this course difficult are the greens as they’re incredibly small. This week we’re going to want to have fantastic golfers with their Approach, short game, and can putt on POA greens.

  • Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
  • Strokes Gained: Putting
  • Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
  • Strokes Gained: Around The Green
  • Strokes Gained: Off The Tee

Important Stats
PGA DFS FanDuel Targets

  • Daniel Berger ($11,900) – I have to admit I am very impressed with Berger’s performance last week at Farmers. Sure, he finished 20th last week, but he gained 7.75 Total Strokes. It’s awe-inspiring for a course he’s usually not all that great in. And that’s the type of form I like for him to defend his trophy this week at Pebble Beach. Besides winning it here last year, Berger has had two other finishes, and that’s a 10th place finish and a 5th place. Now, if we look at his previous 16 rounds, he’s ranked 1st Tee To Green, 1st at Approach, 1st in Ball Striking, 2nd in Driving Accuracy, and 3rd in Birdies.
  • Justin Rose ($11,400) – Is the old Justin Rose back? Over the last five events, he’s gained nearly 24 Total Strokes! Just take a look at his performance at Farmers. Rose gained 6.72 strokes Tee To Green, 5.43 strokes at Approach, 5.35 strokes in Ball Striking, and 1.92 strokes Putting. Last season the only reason Rose was on the leaderboards was because of his putter. He was gaining a crazy 4-7 strokes on the putter while losing a ton of strokes at Approach and/or Ball Striking. This season we’re seeing the Rose we all came to love – gaining strokes at Approach/Ball Striking while gaining minor strokes at the putter.

PGA DFS DraftKings Targets

  • Maverick McNealy ($9,800) – Mav comes in this week with a 30th place finish at Farmers last week, gaining 5.74 Total Strokes. Which makes it eight in a row for him in gaining strokes. Now, this week he gets to bring that to a course he has a tremendously good history on. After all, he is a California kid. He placed 2nd last year and 5th the previous year. Over his previous 24 rounds, he’s ranked 8th Off The Tee, 11th Tee To Green, 14th in Ball Striking, 28th in Birdies, and 37th at Approach.
  • Kevin Streelman ($9,100) – You probably think I’m only playing Streelman due to course history, but I actually took a deep dive into the data. In Streelman’s last three seasons, he’s gained 2.16 Total Strokes on courses with small greens and courses that range from 6800 to 7100 yards. Streelman is actually the number one player in this field. Under him is Jason Day at 2.02 Total Strokes, Patrick Cantlay at 1.97 Total Strokes, and Maverick McNealy at 1.91 Total Strokes. It’s a rather interesting stat and will make me own him.

PGA Dark Horse Target

  • Matt Kuchar ($9800FD/$7600) – Kuch should be feeling confident about his game heading into Pebble Beach after a quality finish at the Sony Open with a 7th place finish.  He has made the cut in his last three visits to Pebble Beach, with a 22nd finish coming in 2019 and then a 38th finish last time out here in 2020. Most importantly, it brings me back to that deep dive I did on Streelman. Kuchar is 5th in this field in Total Strokes gained in courses with small greens and courses that range from 6800 to 7100 yards. He’s actually right above Daniel Berger.


Winner Winner

 

PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content

Study Hub

Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, Approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.

Course Correlation Model

One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course rank.

Important Rankings

Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.

Cash, GPP, Core Picks

On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.

Showdown Content

This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you with all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.

Consistency vs. Trends

This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.

Putting Data

This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2021 season to the present.

 

 

 

-Benitt

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