⛳ PGA DFS: Course Preview for The RSM Classic 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft
We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. So make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.
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Alright, fam, this week we’re going to beautiful St. Simons Island, Georgia, where we encounter not one course but TWO courses for the first two days of the event. The first course is called The Plantation Course, which measures 7,060 yards and will play as a par 72 on Bermuda Greens. Lastly, the main course will be the Seaside Course which will play as a par 70, measuring 7,005 yards. So strap yourselves in; it’s going to be quite a ride. This week we enter the field with ̶1̶5̶6̶? ̶1̶5̶2̶? 149 golfers! There are a ton of guys in the field who call Sea Island home, including Harris English, Patton Kizzire, J.T. Poston, Keith Mitchell, Hudson Swafford, and Greyson Sigg.
Sea Island Resort (Seaside) is 7000 yards, par 70, played on Bermuda Greens. The course has 47 sand bunkers, 13 holes with water in play, and only a 2″ rough. The past winners here usually sit around -19 under, so you can expect a few birdies. Last three years, we had winners Robert Streb, Tyler Duncan, and Charles Howell all won it at -19 under. What should we be eyeing this week? You already know – ball strikers. If you’re looking for a specific stat, I would take a look at par four scoring average and narrow it down to par 4 400-450. Nine holes on the course are within this distance range, so probably a good idea to pick up some golfers that have decent irons.
- Strokes Gained: Approach The Green
- Strokes Gained: Driving Accuracy Percentage
- Strokes Gained: Around The Green
- Strokes Gained: Putting
- Birdies or Better
PGA DFS FanDuel Targets
- Scottie Scheffler ($12,000) – Yep, I’m starting with the very top, and it’s tough not to. Scottie has been playing so well that it’s hard to fade someone in this range. Over the last two tournaments alone, he’s placed 2nd at Houston and 4th place at Mayakoba. So you might be asking yourself – how has he performed within this salary range? At a quick glance, we can see the following: 37th at Sanderson Farms (2020), 2nd at Houston Open (2021), 54th at Valero Texas Open (2021), 3rd at Bermuda Championship (2019), and 16th at Sanderson Farms (2019). Best of all? He’s averaging a return of 8.4x value.
- Corey Conners (11,500) – We haven’t seen Corey since Shriners, but let’s not forget how well he performed. Prior to the break, he had placed 40th at Shriners, 17th at Sanderson Farms, 22nd at Tournament of Champions, 22nd at BMW, and 8th at Northern Trust. To say the least, Corey was on a tear. Now he approaches a course that has performed increasingly better finishing 37th in 2018, 23rd in 2019, and 10th last year. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Corey is ranked 2nd in Driving Accuracy, 2nd Off The Tee, 6th in Ball Striking, 6th in Birdies, and 17th Tee To Green,
PGA DFS DraftKings Targets
- Russell Henley ($9,600) – After finishing 7th at the Houston Open, he might be carrying some momentum leading up to Seaside. Henley has some great history here, minus the two miss cuts in 2020 and 2019. He’s placed three top 10’s in his history playing here, so there is the potential to see an elite Henley. Let’s also not forget that Henley was born and raised in Georgia, so there’s a little narrative for you there. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Henley is ranked 2nd in Approach, 3rd in Ball Striking, 4th in Tee To Green, 7th in Driving Accuracy, and 9th in Birdies.
- Kevin Kisner ($9,200) – Here’s your chalk of the week. If you aren’t playing Kisner, I don’t know what to tell you. Kisner has missed only two cuts here in his last eight appearances, and in that time, he’s had five Top 10 finishes. Also, on the Rise or Fall Course Comparison Model – Kisner won at Sedgefield, 2nd in TPC Sawgrass, and 2nd at Harbourtown. Need I say more? I don’t use the words lock loosely, and I still won’t use them, but let’s just say he’s very close to being a…
PGA DFS SuperDraft Targets
- Henrick Norlander (1.35X) – The last time Norlander missed a cut was back at Northern Trust, but he has yet to miss a cut since the start of the new season. Best of all – he’s played here four times, and he’s made the cut four times with two top 5 finishes. What’s excellent about Norlander is that he brings the exact tools that are needed for this course. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Norlander is ranked 16th in Approach, 28th in Ball Striking, and 30th in Driving Accuracy.
PGA Dark Horse Target
- Adam Long ($9,300FD/$7,500) – I don’t see Adam Long gaining any ownership in this range, but have you noticed how well he’s performing? He’s placed 11th at Houston, 22nd at Mayakoba, and 25th at Zozo Championship. Best of all is that he’s also placed 30th and 35th here, so he also has excellent course history. Adam doesn’t have the pretty stats, but he could make for a great spot in your lineups. On the Rise or Fall Important Stats Model – Adam is ranked 11th in Putting, 17th in Putting, 33rd in Driving Accuracy, 44th Around The Green, 55th Tee To Green, and 61st at Approach.
PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content
Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, Approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.
Course Correlation Model
One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational from left to right and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.
Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.
Cash, GPP, Core Picks
On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All are categorized on which player I like and in what format. For example, cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.
This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you with all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.
Consistency vs. Trends
This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.
This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.