🏈 NFL DFS Stacks for Week 16
Welcome to the weekly DFS game stacking strategy article. At this point, most DFS regulars understand the concept of stacking, that is rostering multiple players from the same team on your DFS roster. The idea is to take advantage of positive correlation to maximize your potential ceiling. While this has become more commonplace, using point spreads and projected point totals to stack entire games is less prevalent. That’s what this article will focus on each week.
When game stacking, it’s important to look at the outcomes you expect and tell yourself a story about how it gets there. For each game I’m looking to stack below, I’ll include the point spread, the projected over/under point total, and the implied narrative that gets the game to that outcome. From there, I’ll explore the stacking options that would provide the biggest DFS boost if the narratives come to fruition. Let’s dive in!
Rams (-3.5) at Vikings
Narrative: Dream matchup for Rams passing game
Matthew Stafford has scored the fifth-most fantasy points among quarterbacks this season, Cooper Kupp has scored 75 more fantasy points than any other receiver, and the Vikings have allowed the most fantasy points to wideouts on the season. Needless to say, Stafford and Kupp are an ideal way to start a stack. Adding Odell Beckham Jr. or Van Jefferson is a great way to go all-in on the Rams. Running it back with Alexander Mattison is the play if you think Minnesota can hang with Los Angeles, while Justin Jefferson makes more sense if you think the Vikings are playing catch-up most of the game.
A less popular stack would be to go all-in on Minnesota’s passing game. This build would pay off if the Rams get out to a big lead, which could happen if Sony Michel starts hot and finds the end zone early in the game. There’s a game narrative where stacking Cousins, Jefferson, Adam Thielen, and then running it back with Michel pays off in a big way.
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Chargers (-10) at Texans
Narrative: Chargers onslaught
The Chargers head to Houston as big favorites, and as I detailed in my Yahoo picks article, Herbert sets up as the best DFS quarterback on the slate. He can be stacked with any combination of Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Jared Cook. I prefer to go with one of the receivers and Cook to get a little different and target QB-TE correlation. There aren’t any ideal options to run it back with for the Texans. Brandin Cooks is your best bet, as long as he clears COVID protocols by Sunday. If that doesn’t happen, Nico Collins makes an intriguing dart throw on the Houston side.
I can’t in good conscience recommend building a stack around Davis Mills, but he has averaged 19.6 fantasy points/game over his two games since reclaiming the starting job. If you want to get different, you can pair him with Cooks/Collins, run it back with Austin Ekeler (or Justin Jackson), and pay up to surround them with studs.
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Ravens at Bengals (-4.5)
Narrative: The most stackable game on the slate
There are stacks to be had on both sides of this matchup, but I want to start on the Cincinnati side with Joe Burrow and his 6% touchdown rate. The last time he played the Ravens, he put up 416 yards and three touchdowns, and that was before the Baltimore secondary became completely depleted. Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are the two studs to stack with him, while Tyler Boyd and C.J. Uzomah deserve consideration as well. There’s no Raven running back worth bringing it back with on the other side, but Mark Andrews makes a lot of sense as a run-back option on the Baltimore side.
You can also build this game stack around Tyler Huntley, who broke the slate last week. You can stack him with both Mark Andrews and Marquise Brown, but probably don’t want to mess around with any other Baltimore pass-catchers. Even though he’s been relatively disappointing lately, Joe Mixon is the ideal candidate to run it back with on the other side. Chase or Higgins also makes sense if you believe the game turns into a back and forth shootout.
Don’t forget to deep dive the entire slate with this week’s Bottom of the Barrel!
Steelers at Chiefs (-8.5)
Narrative: Pittsburgh tries to keep up
As I’m writing this, the status of Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are still up in the air. If either or both clear COVID protocols, they immediately become stacking options with Patrick Mahomes. If one or both can’t go, Mecole Hardman, Byron Pringle, and Josh Gordon need to be considered. When building a stack around Mahomes, Najee Harris is my favorite run-back option, with Chase Claypool coming in a close second.
With how horrendous the Steelers rush defense has been lately, surrendering the most fantasy points to running backs over the last six weeks, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is an intriguing play. If you’re feeling bold, you can roll with him on the Kansas City side and stack Ben Roethlisberger, Diontae Johnson, and Claypool on the other side.
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