Our PGA DFS Picks and Projections article and content last week led to a myriad of big wins and victories on both DraftKings and FanDuel. We even had a $20,000 winner!
Here we are with yet another beautiful course and deep field of golfers. And once again, Rise or Fall is making part of our PGA content (aside from our Showdown Notes and Picks, as well as the Legends Tier exclusive sheets) free and available right here in this article. <— Projections link
-PGA Content and Research done and written by Coach Benitt (@Benitt in our 12 Legends DFS Coaching Channels)
Chez Reavie will be defending his 2019 championship. Four-time winner Bubba Watson will also be joining the field where he won in 2018, 2015 and 2010. This is a low scoring course – if you can’t tell by Jim Furyk’s score of 58 in 2016. This course is a par 70 with 6800 yards (quite small) with two par 5’s and four par 3’s.
For the 2nd straight week we’ll be on a Pete Dye course, so it’ll have a mixture of long and short holes. Holes 15-17 are most notable as they’re around a lake. The course is played on Bent grass/Poa blend greens with fast greens. The best course comparison would be RBC Canadian Open and Pebble Beach Pro-AM. As of right now we have 158 player field with Daniel Berger withdrawing.
Bryson DeChambeau ($11000)
I’m hoping his ownership goes lower than usual as I think talks about protein man are dwindling. I could be wrong, but he didn’t get the extra coverage they usually give Bryson. In the last 2 tournaments Bryson has nearly lost 3.5 strokes on ARG. But the man is blowing up in T2G (over 17 strokes gained), OTT and APP. This course is a ball striker’s dream aka the man himself, Bryson.
Per my Pete Dye model we get Bryson ranked 7th overall while ranked 6th in my overall model. This is the course we play Bryson so he can SMASH that ball. This course has his name written all over it. Ranked 10th in Birdie or Better, 32nd in GIR and 5th in Scrambling. Lastly, Bryson went from 9th to 4th in Bogey Avoidance.
Paul Casey ($8900)
We haven’t seen this man since Mexico! It’s been a minute, but Paul has amazing course history here. I’m sure he’ll be uber chalk, but why not right? Over the last five years, he has finished 5th, 2nd, 5th, 17th, and 2nd on this course. Clearly, this course is home to Paul. Last time he played was back in March in which he finished 11th. If we look at similar courses like AT&T Pro-Am he finished 64th, however, in 2019 he finished 2nd and 8th in 2018. He’s also ranked 7th on SG: APP, 31st in GIR and 27th in Birdie or Better.
Justin Thomas ($10800)
JT is due for a win, his recent form is just asking for a W. At RBC Heritage, he gained a crazy 6 strokes T2G, 4 strokes APP and nearly 3 strokes in putting. In his last 5 tournaments, he’s gained nearly 2 strokes in putting alone. If you look at his OTT you’ll see he only gained 0.7 strokes, as he lost 1.2 strokes OTT. But round 2 & 3 he gained nearly 3 strokes. Even after losing 1.2 strokes in Round 4 he still finished 8th. In a course like this that Birdie or Better is especially important, JT is ranked 2nd in BoB%, 4th in APP, and 2nd in T2G.
Sungjae Im ($8600)
We all got burned last week with Sungjae! At least I know I did – I had him in 40% of my lines! Regardless, the last time he was this bad was at Genesis where he missed the cut, but when we really look at Genesis he gained nearly 3 sg:putt in RD 1 and then lost 2 strokes in RD 2 to miss the cut.
Sungjae really hasn’t been terrible since The Open Classic in July of 2019. Where he lost 6.6 SG:TOT. So we can forgive Sungjae. He’s made 14 of the last 16 cuts, besides RBC he finished 10th at Colonial, 3rd at API and won at Honda. Last time he played here he finished 21st. He’s ranked 12th in BoB%, 17th in OTT, 31st and Scrambling and 19th in T2G.