Welcome to my Week 5 GPP picks for DraftKings and FanDuel! My sole focus here is to help you identify options we can use in large field GPPs as well as Single Entry tournaments. Did you know all Ronin members receive $20 in credit to use at Fantasy Cruncher every month they sub with us? Subscribe HERE! Now, let’s dig in!
Josh Allen – (Draftkings $7500, Fanduel $8400)
Oh boy, I love me some Josh Allen. I’ve loved him a lot through these first four weeks. (Sorry Donuts. You have a competition). He’s doing exactly what we need him to do and then some. Now his price has got to a point where people seriously have to make some tough decisions on putting him in lineups. He’s $200 less than Patrick Mahomes and $400 less than Lamar Jackson. I’ll make this easy. I love him in GPPs and SE tournaments. Once again I do not expect him to be highly owned. It could also be a week people pay down at QB with guys like Daniel Jones against whatever the Cowboys field on defense and Teddy Bridgewater against the Falcons. I get it. They’re in prime spots. But, I’m going back to the well on a spot where people will be concerned with a perceived “tough” matchup. The Bills head to Tennesse to face a Titans team fresh off their COVID bye week. This is a potential spot for fantasy goodness that could go overlooked. The Titans have given up generous games in the first three weeks to QBs Drew Lock (22-33 216 1-0), GODner Minshew (30-45 339 3-2), and Kirk Cousins (16-27, 251 3-2). Now they get to face their biggest challenge in Josh Allen who has shredded every single defense he’s played so far.
Stack Options: Let’s keep it easy with this stack. Pair up Allen with his alpha WR Stefon Diggs. It’s going to be pricey but I think if you to run it back with Derrick Henry you’ll be looking at a stack that won’t be highly owned in a game that could potentially put up a ton of points on the board.
(On the chance this game gets PPD due to COVID stack up Lamar Jackson and Marquise Brown in their potential smash spot against the Bengals. Run it back with Tyler Boyd. You’re welcome.)
James Conner – (Draftkings $6900, Fanduel $7000)
I’m ready to re-title this week’s article “Repeat offenders”. James Conner graces this list for the second time this season in what people will perceive as another “tough” matchup. I can see why people would be worried. Philly historically has been good upfront. So far this season they have allowed the eighth least amount of points to RBs. BUT they are middling in terms of rush defense efficiency and when we dig a little deeper we find that their opponents weren’t exactly the best indicator of a “tough schedule”. In week 1 Washington started a rookie RB who split time with Peyton Barber who vulture 2 TDs. In week 2 it was the Rams RBBC headlined by Darrell Henderson who gashed the Eagles for 81yds and a TD while also catching a couple of balls for 40yds. In week 3 it was the struggling Bengals and Joe Mixon who totted the rock for a meager 49yds. Then last Sunday night the 49ers sent out Jerick Mckinnon who put up a rock-solid game (14-54-1, 7-43). The bottom line is this. The Eagles have been “okay” against the run while also serving up solid stat lines to less than imposing backs. Their matchup this week against James Conner will easily be their toughest one so far. I love the opportunity for Conner here who should dominate in all aspects of the Steelers run game as (-7.5) home favorites. Compounding matters is that the Eagles have struggled mightily on offense and Pittsburg will by far be the toughest defense they have faced. This all sets up nicely for the Steelers to dominate this entire game. The Eagles are extremely weak in the secondary so its possible people will pivot to the passing game in an attempt to gain leverage. I say to pay up for Conner in a no doubt smash spot.
Stack Options: Paying up is the name of the game this week. When you click on Conner’s name be sure to add the Steelers defense as well. Carson Wentz has been giving out interceptions like candy on Halloween turning the ball over seven times on the season. That’s ridiculous. Ride that Interception house of horrors train while it’s hot with this rock-solid RB/DST correlation combo.
D. J. Chark – (Draftkings $6500, Fanduel $7000)
After flopping worse than Blair Witch 2 during the first couple weeks of the season and sidelined week 3 DJ Chark bounced back in a big way in week 4. Catching 8 of 9 targets for 95yds and 2TDs. Whatever concerns fantasy owners had for their stud WR quickly diminished and he’s back on our radar. This week the Jags get to feast on the Houston Texans. The football version of every quick death in a horror movie. Slow, mindless, and boring. The Texans secondary has been worked over by opposing WRs. Tyreke Hill (5-46-1), Sammy Watkins (7-82-1), JuJu Smith-Schuster (4-43-1), Justin Jefferson (4-103), and Adam Thielen (8-114-1) have terrorized this secondary. Now its Charks turn. People will be hesitant to go back to Jacksonville’s alpha WR because of his slow start and the presence of Keelan Cole. But I say this is the perfect opportunity to buy. Especially when people might be more enticed to pay $200 less for Marquise Brown and his smash spot against the Bengals. Compounding things, even more, is that the Jags are (-6.5) road dogs. The Texans are 0-4, just fired their HC/GM, and continue to trend in the wrong direction. This seems like the perfect spot for the Jags to go into Houston, steal a win and help continue the Texans spiral down the toilet. By continuing to serve up Chark with WR1 usage that will most certainly happen.
Stack Options: Pair up Chark with Minshew and run it back with Will Fuller. The only consistent member of that dumpster fire of an offense. Vegas has this game total at 54 so they’re expecting points and while I’m down on the Texans offense this will be a game where they’re going to have to keep pace with a Jacksonville offense that is in full DGAF mode. Don’t be afraid of what could potentially be a very low owned and high leverage game stack.
Ian Thomas – (Draftkings $3400, Fanduel $4700)
So, we’re scrapping the bottom of the barrel on this one. It’s week 5 and options are limited unless you are paying up for the top guys. Which is a perfectly viable option. But let’s take a “leap of faith” on this one. Stick with me. I promise I won’t “be right back” (sorry its Halloween season and I’m in full-on spooky mode). Anywho, let’s talk a little Ian Thomas. Yes, I know he’s been a huge disappointment if you drafted him late in season-long leagues. I have a ton of him in best-ball and those teams are weeping at TE. But let’s talk DFS and how Atlanta’s defense has morphed into Pennywise from IT. But unlike kids being lured to their gruesome end in a sewer, the Atlanta defense has lured every TE they’ve face to a land of fantasy goodness. Going back to week 1 these have been the following stat lines to opposing TEs. Greg Olsen (4-24-1), Dalton Schultz (9-88-1), Jimmy Graham (6-60-2), and Robert Tonyan (6-98-3). This might be the best matchup Thomas is going to get all season and it’s an extremely risky play. But if you play GPPs then you know that risk is the name of the game. Embrace the volatility cause it just might swing towards Thomas this week. Remember, that’s all you need. Just one week, “one moment. Would you capture it or just let it slip” (sorry 8 Mile is on).
Stack Options: Most people will be stacking Teddy Bridgewater with DJ Moore or Robby Anderson. I like the idea of stacking Teddy, Robby, and Thomas because most people won’t stack this trio. So if things swing the way we want you’ll be leveraging against the field that’s only double stacking. I’d even run it back with Ridley to get exposure to a full-on game stack. BOOYAH!
Now let’s go build those lineups and win that money. Good luck everyone!
By: PacingPete (HIT ME UP IN DISCORD!)