Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall DraftKings cash game picks article. Before I dive deeper into my plays I want to make you aware of some guidelines I like to follow when constructing my cash game (H2H, 50/50, double-ups) lineup. When selecting running backs I’m looking for 20+ touch upside and wide receivers with 8+ target upside. I’m not looking for correlating plays, i.e. stacking my quarterback with a receiver, I’m just looking to make sure I have a high floor with some upside. In cash games were not looking to beat everyone, we just need to beat half the field.
Allen projects as the second-highest scoring quarterback in the Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. He’s struggled the last few weeks after beginning the year on fire. Going against a defense that allows the most fantasy points against the QB position is exactly what the doctor ordered in this situation. The game also has one of the highest team totals on the slate.
Carr projects as the best value in the NFL Study Hub. While box score watchers will see the dud of a game he put up last week, we know that it was the wind that killed the offense, not the Browns stellar defense. Carr is going against the Chargers defense that has a knack for blowing leads late in games. This one has the highest implied total on the day at 54.5 points.
Dalvin projects are the highest-scoring running back in the NFL Study Hub. He has an outstanding matchup against a Lions team that has been consistently gashed by the run this season. Recency bias will bring tons of attention to Cook but, in cash, this is not a spot I want to fade as Cooks is averaging 27 touches over the last four weeks account for a market share of 62.67% of the teams running back touches.
This is a play where I’m not so much infatuated with Conner as much as I want to attack this terrible defense. Conner is a top 7 value at his position in our NFL Study Hub and is projected as a top 5 running back this week. The idea of a blowout may put some people off, however, the spot is almost too good to pass up.
As of writing this, Calvin Ridley is considered day-to-day with a foot sprain. If he was to miss this weekend’s game against the Broncos, I want all the Julio Jones I can handle. He is popping in our models as the highest scoring and best value at the wide receiver position. If Ridley were to miss, there would have to be a distribution of his 19.21% target share, and one has to think that Julio should see a good share of those targets.
Cooks went up against this same Jacksonville team approximately four weeks ago and had his best game of the season recording a stat line of 8-161-1. After a slow start to the season, he’s averaging 10 targets in the last four weeks, accounting for 27.27% of the team’s target market share.
Using the NFL Study Hub’s secret sauce, Waller projects as the highest-rated tight end on the slate. As we touched in the writeup about David Carr, this game has the highest implied total on the main slate. Waller is averaging a healthy 7.3 targets over the last four weeks. He’s going against a Charger’s team that allows the 4th most fantasy points to the tight end position.
Fant projects as the NFL Study Hub’s third-highest scoring tight end on the main slate. He has the benefit of facing the Falcons who give up the most fantasy points to the position. Fant has been averaged 8 targets over the last four weeks, accounting for 21.05% of the team’s target share.
They’re facing a beat-up Dallas offense who will again be without backup QB Andy Dalton. They have been a gold mine of defensive fantasy points since Dak Prescott went down and I wouldn’t expect it to change this weekend.
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