The Masters DFS Course Preview for DraftKings and FanDuel
November 9, 2020
It’s Masters week! With how crazy this year has been it brings me so much joy to be back at Augusta National. This week we will see 94 golfers tee it off with 26 of them teeing it off for the first time. So let’s get this party for The Masters DFS Course Preview for DraftKings and FanDuel!
It’s such a delight to have Strokes Gained and Course History data back. For the last 4 events, we’ve had little to no data to help us. This week defending champion Tiger Woods will be defending his Green Jacket with the likes of Dustin Johnson and Rory McIlroy on the field. One thing to note for this week is normally the cut is Top 50 and ties and anyone within 10 strokes of the lead, but this year they’re doing away with the 10-shot rule and it’ll only be the Top 50 & ties playing the weekend.
Augusta National is a little over 7400 yards, par 72 played on Bentgrass Greens – it features four par 3’s & four par 5’s. Holes 1, 4, 5, 10, 11, and 18 are the most difficult holes on the course as they average a 25-31% chance in bogeys. While holes 2, 3, 8,13, 15, and 16 average 16-39% chance in birdies.
Keeping the ball in fairways isn’t difficult and missing fairways won’t be penalizing. The rough is looking to be 1.3″, but what’s worrisome is the doglegs on this course. Augusta National has 44 sand bunkers and 5 holes with water in play. One other thing to consider, Augusta National Golf Club does not allow detailed green-reading books, so that could be an issue for newcomers.
Justin Thomas ($10700) – In this range of golfers, I feel like JT will be overlooked a bit and that’s where we come in. Justin Thomas placed 2nd at the Zozo not too long ago and also finished 8th at the U.S. Open. Also, if we look over to the Rise or Fall Study Hub, JT leads the field in Around The Green, Tee To Green, and Approach shots. On my Rise or Fall Important Stats model, JT is ranked 1st overall.
Dustin Johnson ($10000) – It’s quite surprising to find DJ at a flat 10k and the only reason we have such a cheap DJ is because pricing came out on Saturday, but DJ finished 2nd at the Houston Open. In the last 7 tournaments, DJ has placed top five 6 times. Gaining 10.4 strokes T2G, 5.7 on APP, 3.3 OTT, and 1.5 ARG. Dustin Johnson also has excellent event history; finished 2nd last year and 10th in 2018.
Xander Schauffele ($9800) – Xander is ranked 2nd on my Rise or Fall Course Models and for good reasons. In the last 5 events, X has gained 3.9 strokes T2G, 1.4 on APP, 1.4 ARG, and 1.1 OTT. Also, per the Rise or Fall Study Hub, Xander has gained 1.19 strokes T2G, 0.58 strokes OTT, and 0.25 strokes on APP within 52 rounds.
Bubba Watson ($9000) – It’s like Bubba found a new soul in the last 5 tournaments. If you panel over to the Rise or Fall Study Hub, Bubba has gained 8 strokes T2G, 3.2 OTT, 3.2 on APP, and 1.5 ARG. Bubba’s biggest downfall is his putter, but we all know Bubba brings his A-game to Augusta.
Dark Horse Play
Lee Westwood ($7200) – If we can forgive Westwood for missing the cut at the Houston Open, I think he becomes an excellent play. I, personally, did not want to play Westwood as I thought he was probably going to try some new things. Anyway, besides the missed cut at Houston, his recent form is 30th, 14th, 18th, 19th, and 13th. Also, his course history is spectacular. In the last 8 appearances, he’s finished top 5, 5 times, and top 20 twice.