LOADING

Type to search

2021 Dynasty Rookie Big Board | NFL Draft 2021

The 2021 NFL Draft is an exciting time of the year for dynasty players, especially with such a talented class entering the NFL. From Ja’Marr Chase to Kyle Pitts, this class is filled with players that will undoubtedly shake up the dynasty landscape. Below you will find a concise breakdown for each of the top 36 prospects from this class via my 2021 Dynasty Rookie Big Board. My analysis includes a blend of analytics and film, which will hopefully provide you with a holistic point of view. If you have any specific questions on any of the following prospects, feel free to reach out on Twitter @FF_MarvinE!

2021 Dynasty Rookie Big Board (more content soon available on the Fantasy Football homepage)

TIER ONE

Najee Harris – Alabama RB

  • Despite having to wait until his Junior Year to take over the backfield, Najee Harris finished with 4,624 total yards and 57 TDs in his 4-year career
  • In his final two years, he was absolutely dominant, accounting for 77% of the team’s rushing production and 8% of the team’s receiving yards
  • Harris is a powerful runner, with the agility and shiftiness to make defenders miss
  • With his receiving ability and 230 lb frame, Harris profiles as a 3-down RB at the next level

Ja’Marr Chase – LSU WR

  • Ja’Marr Chase operated as the primary target for Joe Burrow and the 2019 LSU offense, accounting for 33% of the team’s receiving production
  • His strength lies in his physicality as a receiver, frequently finding ways to win after the catch and in contested situations
  • Despite playing only 2 seasons (opting-out in 2020), Chase’s 2019 season was absolutely dominant: 1,785 total yards and 20 total TDs
  • Chase should have high draft capital tied to his NFL career, which should translate to immediate production for fantasy managers

Travis Etienne – Clemson RB

  • Travis Etienne was an immediate contributor for the Clemson Tigers offense, accumulating 823 total yards in his freshman year
  • Etienne averaged 1,761 scrimmage yards per season in his final three years at Clemson (66% of the team’s RB production), boasting one of the most impressive production profiles in this RB class
  • What makes him an intriguing prospect is his combination of speed, contact balance, and dual-threat ability
  • Expect Etienne to be an every-down RB in the NFL and a very productive PPR RB for fantasy teams

DeVonta Smith – Alabama WR

  • Despite not breaking out until his Junior year, DeVonta Smith absolutely dominated in his final two years at Alabama
  • Over the last two seasons, Smith accounted for ~40% of the team’s receiving production, totaling 3,118 scrimmage yards and 38 TDs
  • Smith is a route technician, with an aggressive mindset on the field. Even with his lighter frame, he is more than willing to initiate contact in “yards after catch” and contested situations
  • Expect Smith to be one of the first wide receivers drafted in this year’s class, with the potential to be a very productive outside receiver at the next level

Kyle Pitts – Florida TE

  • Kyle Pitts is widely regarded as the best TE prospect in this class, after averaging 96.3 receiving yards and 1.5 TDs per game in 2020
  • Breaking out an age of 18.9 (95th percentile among TEs), Pitts is the youngest receiver in this 2021 class
  • Pitts has the size to block and operate as an in-line TE; however, his speed and physicality allows him to line up outside and also win against athletic DBs
  • Tight Ends usually experience a learning curve at the next level. But considering Pitts is one of the best TE prospects we have seen in recent history, do not be surprised if he is an immediate contributor to his new team

TIER TWO

Rashod Bateman – Minnesota WR

  • Rashod Bateman broke out immediately as a freshman, operating as a true focal point for the Gophers. He accounted for 34% of the team’s receiving production in his 3 years in Minnesota
  • Bateman is one of the most proficient and smoothest route runners in this talented WR class
  • While Bateman only accumulated 472 total yards in 2020 (5 games), that equated to an impressive 46% receiving yards market share on a per-game basis
  • Unlike several receivers in this class, Bateman possesses the outstanding skill, size (6’2” 190 lbs), and speed (4.39 40 time), which profiles him as a WR1 in the NFL

Javonte Williams – North Carolina RB

  • Javonte Williams has been one of the most productive running backs over the last two seasons, accumulating 2,554 scrimmage yards and 28 TDs
  • What shines in his film is his aggressive running style, elusiveness, and ability to run through contact, forcing the most missed tackles (76) in 2020 per PFF
  • Despite being fairly productive in his final 2 years at UNC, he shared the spotlight with Michael Carter, who was similarly productive for the Tar Heels
  • Williams has 3-down RB potential with the ideal size (5’10” and 212 lbs) to withstand a significant workload in the NFL

Jaylen Waddle – Alabama WR

  • Jaylen Waddle’s total career stats might not stand out, only accumulating 2,016 total yards and 17 TDs in 3 years, but he was on his way to a breakout season before his ankle injury in 2020
  • In his first four games this past season, Waddle averaged 139.3 receiving yards and 1 rec TD per game, which was ~36.8% of the team’s receiving production
  • What stands out immediately in Jaylen Waddle’s film is his timely acceleration/deceleration, which often led to evaded tackles in the open field
  • Waddle profiles as a versatile weapon in the NFL who can win with his speed and vision, no matter where he lines up on the field

Rondale Moore – Purdue WR

  • Rondale Moore was a swiss-army knife for the Purdue Boilermakers, lining up out wide, in the slot, and in the backfield
  • Moore broke out at an age of 18.2, which ranks in the 99th percentile among all drafted wide receivers
  • While his last two years were hampered by injuries and a shortened 2020 season, his freshman year stands out as one of the best in this class. He scored a 37% WR dominator rating, totaling 1,472 yards and 17 TDs
  • Moore’s combination of athleticism, speed, and versatility should translate into a very productive NFL career

Trevor Lawrence – Clemson QB

  • Trevor Lawrence had an impressive three-year career at Clemson, winning a national championship after an undefeated 2018 season
  • He finished his career with 10,098 passing yards, 943 rushing yards, and a 5.3 TD to INT ratio
  • Lawrence averaged the 19th best-adjusted passing yards per attempt in CFB history with 9.8
  • He boasts a complete skill set with outstanding pocket presence, accuracy, mobility, and leadership qualities
  • Lawrence is by far the best QB prospect in this class, and will very likely be taken as the 1st overall pick for the Jacksonville Jaguars

For a couple of cups of coffee, you can get the Rise or Fall 2021 Draft Kit which has a heavy focus on supporting you on your draft night with our premium “Quick Pick Sheets”

2021 fantasy football draft quick pick sheets

TIER THREE

Kenneth Gainwell – Memphis RB

  • Kenneth Gainwell had a tremendous 2019 season, where he compiled 2,069 scrimmage yards with 51 receptions and 16 TDs
  • Despite splitting time with several RBs in 2019, he was the clear focal point of the offense, accounting for 28.5% of the team’s total offensive production
  • Size is a concern for Gainwell heading into the draft, though he recently weighed in at 201 lbs, benched 21 reps, and ran a 4.42 40-yard dash
  • Gainwell’s strength is his vision and receiving ability, which could translate into PPR production if he lands in the right situation

Elijah Moore – Ole Miss WR

  • Elijah Moore was not an immediate contributor as a freshman, playing behind A.J. Brown and D.K. Metcalf for most of the 2018 season
  • In 2019 and 2020, however, he averaged 105.3 yards and 0.7 TDs per game, accounting for 40% of the team’s receiving production
  • In 2020, Moore became one of only three WRs in CFB history with three games of 200+ receiving yards and 10+ receptions in a single season
  • Moore will likely be a slot receiver at the next level, though he has the speed, versatility, and skill to win outside as well

Tylan Wallace – Oklahoma State WR

  • Tylan Wallace played 4 years at Oklahoma State, breaking out in his Sophomore year at age 19.3 (84th percentile)
  • While his best overall season was in 2018 (1,458 receiving yards and 12 TDs), he averaged a career-high 50% receiving dominator score (per game) in 2019 before tearing his ACL
  • Wallace is a physical receiver who can win in the deep game and in contested situations
  • Despite not being the fastest receiver, Wallace can find success with his physicality, ball tracking, and efficient route running at the next level

Terrace Marshall – LSU WR

  • Terrace Marshall had a mostly quiet college career up until the 2020 season when he received the opportunity to shine with Ja’Marr Chase opting out
  • In his Junior season, he accounted for 59% of the team’s receiving TDs, averaging nearly 1.4 TDs per game
  • Marshall is a well-rounded receiver with the athleticism and quickness to win in the short, intermediate, and deep game
  • Despite playing primarily out of the slot in 2020, Marshall can win both inside and outside at the next level

Michael Carter – North Carolina RB

  • Michael Carter has an intriguing production profile, averaging a career-high 62% dominator rating (% of RB production) in his freshman year
  • In his final three seasons, he shared the backfield with other players (such as Javonte Williams) leading to only a 45% dominator rating
  • Carter has average speed but makes up for it with outstanding vision, anticipation, and shiftiness to make defenders miss
  • Despite average size, Carter has the skill set to produce as a rusher and receiver if drafted in the right situation

Pat Freiermuth – Penn State TE

  • Pat Freiermuth had a consistently productive career at Penn State, never falling below a 19% receiving dominator score in his 3 seasons
  • Despite only averaging 18% of the team’s receiving production in 29 games, he impressively accounted for 30% of their receiving TDs in that timespan
  • Freiermuth has an ideal combination of size, skill, and physicality that allows him to be effective as both a receiver and a blocker
  • He has the potential to be an every-down TE at the next level, which could translate to immediate fantasy production with his new NFL team

TIER FOUR

Brevin Jordan – Miami TE

  • Brevin Jordan was an early producer as a freshman in a low volume passing offense, where he accounted for 21% of the receiving production in 10 games
  • His best season would come in 2020, averaging a 44% receiving touchdown market share for Miami
  • Similar to Pitts, Jordan has the ability to play all over the field, excelling as both a blocker and receiver
  • With outstanding size at 6’3” and 245 lbs, Jordan profiles as a dynamic and versatile weapon in the NFL

Justin Fields – Ohio State QB

  • In his two year career at Ohio State, Justin Fields was successful as both a passer and rusher
  • He would lead the Big Ten in passing yards (5,373) and passing TDs (63) in his final two seasons for the Buckeyes
  • Fields also has the 4th highest career-adjusted yards per attempt in CFB history with 10.7. Only Tua Tagovailoa, Mac Jones, and Kyler Murray rank higher
  • Expect Fields to be a top 5 pick in this year’s draft, with the potential be a dual-threat QB for fantasy

Amon-Ra St. Brown – USC WR

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown was an immediate and consistent producer for the Trojans offense, averaging at least a 20% dominator rating in each of his 3 seasons
  • In his final year at USC, Amon-Ra scored 7 times in only 6 games, accounting for 41% of the team’s receiving TDs
  • While he does not have top tier speed, Amon-Ra possesses outstanding ball tracking ability, body control, and elusiveness, especially after the catch
  • St. Brown is a well rounded and skilled receiver, who profiles as a WR2 at the next level

Chuba Hubbard – Oklahoma State RB

  • Chuba Hubbard had one of the most dominant RB seasons in recent history, accumulating 2,292 yards and 21 TDs in 2019
  • While injuries to his ankle and the offensive line led to a regression in 2020, he still averaged 70% of the team’s RB production while finishing 6th in the Big 12 in rushing yards
  • In addition to his top-end speed, Chuba also showcased great vision and patience as a rusher throughout his college career
  • Unlike the top 3 to 4 RBs in this class, Hubbard’s success will be landing spot dependent, especially if he is not drafted in the first two rounds

Kadarius Toney – Florida WR

  • Kadarius Toney is one of the more polarizing prospects because of his intriguing film, and lack of production in his 4-year career at Florida
  • Along with a late breakout age (21.6), Toney accounted for only 14% of Florida’s receiving production, totaling a mere 1,590 receiving yards since 2017
  • In his film, however, he frequently showed burst, shiftiness, and deceptive route running to get open and make defenders miss
  • Draft capital still has the strongest correlation to WR success. So despite his lack of dominance at Florida, Toney could be productive if he is drafted early

Dyami Brown – North Carolina WR

  • Despite a quiet freshman year, Dyami Brown operated as the WR1 for UNC over the last two seasons
  • He averaged 30% of the receiving production while accumulating 100.6 yards and 0.86 TDs per game since 2019
  • Brown was a threat in the deep game throughout his collegiate career, averaging the 6th most career yards per reception (18.7) in ACC history
  • With his speed, physicality, and efficient route running, Brown has plenty of upside and could be a steal in the later rounds of rookie drafts

Multiple promos are included in our Pre-Order $9.99 Draft Kit, including a huge discount to the incredible Fantasy Football company – DraftSharks.com, Patreon.com/Spari, and Rise or Fall DFS. It’s set up this way to basically make your Draft Kit FREE for the 2021 season. Who loves you?

TIER FIVE

Tutu Atwell – Louisville WR

  • Tutu Atwell is one of the more intriguing prospects due to his solid production profile, but lack of prototypical WR size
  • At only 5’8” and 155 lbs, his frame could limit his upside at the next level
  • He averaged 29% of the team’s receiving production in his three seasons with Louisville, accumulating 2,326 total yards and 22 TDs
  • Atwell likely profiles as a slot receiver, with the potential to stretch the field due to his blazing speed (4.33 40-yard time at pro-day)

Jermar Jefferson – Oregon State RB

  • Jermar Jefferson became an immediate contributor for the Oregon State offense, accounting for 62% of the team’s rushing production as a true freshman
  • In his career, he averaged an impressive 119.4 yards and 1.07 TDs per game despite not being heavily involved in the passing game
  • In 2020, he was a true workhorse RB, accounting for 80% of the team’s rushing yards and 88% of their rushing TDs
  • Jefferson has solid size (5’10” and 217 lbs)  and vision in between the tackles, which could lead to production at the next level if given the opportunity

Zach Wilson – BYU QB

  • Zach Wilson’s first two seasons were relatively unimpressive at BYU, averaging only 219.4 passing yards per game with a 1.9 TD to interception ratio
  • In 2020, he would take a massive step forward, throwing for 3,651 passing yards, 32 TDs, and only 3 INTs
  • In his Junior year, he would finish 2nd in the NCAA in completion percentage (73.5), 3rd in passing yards, and 3rd in passing TDs
  • Wilson showcased arm strength, accuracy, and mobility in his final season. He is likely a top 10 pick in this year’s draft with plenty of upside in the right situation

Trey Lance – North Dakota State QB

  • Trey Lance opted out of most of the 2020 season after a stellar Sophomore year where he threw for 2,786 passing yards, 28 TDs, and 0 INTs
  • Lance’s rushing floor (1,100 rushing yards in 2019) gives him a higher fantasy floor than some of the other QBs in this class
  • He showcased excellent athleticism, pocket presence, and some jaw-dropping throws in his limited time at North Dakota State
  • While Lance might have the lowest floor of the top 5 QBs in this class, he has massive potential if he lands in the right system in the NFL

TIER SIX

Seth Williams – Auburn WR

  • In his redshirt freshman year, Seth Williams was immediately involved in his 10 games, accounting for 25% of the team’s receiving production
  • Williams is a big-bodied WR at 6’3” and 211 lbs, which led to success in the red zone and in contested catch situations
  • His best season would be in 2019, where he would set a career-high 37% receiving dominator score along with 830 yards and 8 TDs
  • Williams will likely be a day 3 pick with the ability to play as an X receiver in the NFL

Jaret Patterson – Buffalo RB

  • Jaret Patterson exceeded 1,000 rushing yards in each of his 3 seasons at Buffalo. He also averaged 17.3 TDs per season
  • Against Kent State in 2020, Patterson tied the college football record for most rushing TDs in a game (8), while finishing with the 2nd most rushing yards in a single game with 409
  • Patterson showcased great strength and contact balance in his film, frequently absorbing contact for additional yards
  • Draft capital will be key for Patterson’s potential, though he likely profiles as a change-of-pace or two-down rusher in the NFL

Trey Sermon – Ohio State RB

  • Trey Sermon spent three seasons at Oklahoma and one season at Ohio State, where he accumulated 3,428 total yards and 29 TDs
  • Despite not operating as a true RB1 throughout his career, Sermon dominated to close out the 2020 season, accounting for 80% of the team’s rushing production in his final 3 games before injuring his shoulder
  • He was rarely used in the receiving game, averaging only a 3% receiving yards market share in 4 seasons
  • Because of his aggressiveness and vision as a rusher, Sermon likely profiles as a two-down RB at the next level 

Mac Jones – Alabama QB

  • Mac Jones took over as the starting QB when Tua Tagovailoa injured his hip. In 2020, he threw for 4,500 yards, 41 TDs, and only 4 INTs
  • Jones is one of the more accurate QBs in CFB history, setting the single-season completion rate record with 77.4 in 2020 and averaging the 2nd highest career adjusted passing yards per attempt with 12.5
  • Jones may not be the most mobile QB in this class, but his accuracy, pocket presence, and football IQ should translate into success at the next level

Sage Surratt – Wake Forest WR

  • Sage Surratt opted out of the 2020 season after a productive 2019 campaign. He totaled 1,001 receiving yards and 11 TDs on a 39% dominator rating
  • Surratt has the frame to succeed in the NFL, measuring in at 6’3” and 215 lbs
  • While he does not have the elite speed of some other receivers, Surratt has the ball tracking ability and strength to reel in contested receptions
  • He profiles as a complementary WR2 who can be a receiving threat in the red zone

Tamorrion Terry – Florida State WR

  • Tamorrion Terry was an early contributor in his redshirt freshman year, accounting for 31% of the team’s receiving production
  • His best season would come in 2019, finishing with 1,197 total yards and 9 TDs
  • He finished 5th in the ACC in career receiving yards per reception with 18.8
  • Terry profiles as a deep threat and field stretcher at the next level due to his intriguing blend of size (6’3” and 207 lbs) and speed (103.7-speed score)

Rhamondre Stevenson – Oklahoma RB

  • Rhamondre Stevenson was a JUCO transfer, who spent his final two seasons with Oklahoma
  • Stevenson played as a committee RB in his two years with the Sooners, finishing his career with a 32% RB dominator rating
  • Stevenson measured in at 5’11” and 227 lbs at his pro day, but only recorded a 4.69 adjusted 40-yard dash. That equates to only a 93.8 weight-adjusted speed score (41st percentile)
  • Stevenson projects as a committee RB with limited upside

Pooka Williams – Kansas RB

  • Pooka Williams was extremely productive to start his collegiate career, compiling 2,659 scrimmage yards and 14 TDs for the Jayhawks in his first two seasons
  • In his film, he displayed outstanding elusiveness, contact balance, and speed variation as a rusher, often creating big plays
  • Size could be a concern at the next level as he only weighed in at 175 lbs
  • Even though he does not profile as a workhorse RB, Williams could be a dynamic change-of-pace rusher at the next level

Amari Rodgers – Clemson WR

  • Amari Rodgers had a quiet career at Clemson until his Senior year, where he operated as the WR1 for Trevor Lawrence
  • In his best season, he accumulated 1,020 receiving yards and 7 TDs, while accounting for 23% of the team’s receiving production
  • Rodgers has an intriguing blend of size (5’9” and 212 lbs) and acceleration, which allowed him to break and evade several tackles in the open field
  • Rodgers profiles as a versatile weapon out of the slot for his future NFL team

Marquez Stevenson – Houston WR

  • Marquez Stevenson was a late bloomer who did not produce until his redshirt Sophomore year. From then onward, he accounted for 30.6% of the team’s receiving production on a per-game basis
  • In his 5 year career at Houston, he would total 2,500 total yards and 24 TDs
  • Stevenson is excellent after the catch and has the speed and acceleration to beat DBs on deep routes
  • Stevenson profiles as a field stretcher in the NFL with limited upside due to his frame and route running

Hopefully, you enjoyed this breakdown of my 2021 Dynasty Rookie Big Board. Keep in mind that draft capital has the highest correlation to success in the NFL. As a result, the draft will heavily determine the final rankings for these players. Regardless, this class is shaping up to be one of the more talented groups we have seen in a while, which will likely translate to several fantasy productive players for years to come.

Multiple promos are included in our Pre-Order $9.99 Draft Kit, including a huge discount to the incredible Fantasy Football company – DraftSharks.com, Patreon.com/Spari, and Rise or Fall DFS. It’s set up this way to basically make your Draft Kit FREE for the 2021 season. Who loves you?

2021 dynasty rookie big board fatnasy football draft kit

Sources:
  • Rotoviz
  • Sports Reference CFB
  • Player Profiler
%d bloggers like this: