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Week 6 DFS Risers & Fallers

Week 7 DFS Risers & Fallers

Week 6 DFS Risers & Fallers

The usage and production through five weeks is more than enough of a sample size to be able to determine feasible game scripts for Week 6 DFS. That is not to say something weird can’t happen like the Browns and Chargers explode for over 40 points each, in what should have been a defensive matchup. It is Halloween, after all. Everyone is entitled to one good sweat.

This week, I am eyeing mid-priced running backs and stacks in perceived high-scoring games. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs coming off a loss seem like an obvious opportunity to bring it back with options in Washington. 

This particular stack works very well with the first two risers on the week. They are great running backs. We know they are great, yet, they are underpriced and will most likely have lower exposure rates than they should. 

It’s spooky season so let’s get weird with it! Time to build some winners in Week 6 DFS!

Week 6 DFS Risers 

Jonathon Taylor @ Texans

DraftKings: $6,600

Jonathon Taylor is still underpriced on DraftKings. That needs to be taken advantage of in a matchup against Houston who has allowed 135 rushing yards per game. Despite only seeing the field on about fifty percent of snaps (55 percent last week), Taylor has at least 15 carries in four of five games. 

Carson Wentz seemed to be able to find his stride against Baltimore on Monday night, which is huge for Taylor’s chances at the goal line. Taylor leads the league in red zone attempts (24) while Houston is allowing over four red-zone trips per game to opposing offenses.

$6,600 on DraftKings is under-priced and you can feel good about playing him and somebody like Joe Mixon at the same price if you don’t want to pay up for the max-priced guys. Both Taylor and Mixon should have a lower exposure rate but just as much of a ceiling as the $7,000-$9,000 running backs for Week 6 DFS.

Joe Mixon @ Lions

DraftKings: $6,400

Joe Mixon is going to get a full workload in a great matchup. He is being priced as a mid-tier player, but as long as he does not reaggravate his ankle – which is a definite possibility and should be considered. With Samaje Perine out in this contest, however, I think that Mixon will be leaned on in this game while soaking up a few targets.

Last week on only 28 percent of snaps Mixon had 10 carries for 33 yards with a touchdown and one reception for two yards. It was a good sign to see Mixon being utilized when he was on the field, and he will most likely see 75 percent of snaps for Week 6 DFS. Besides last week, Mixon has seen at least 69 percent of offensive snaps for the Bengals this season.

The Lions have given up at least 93 yards on the ground to the running back position this season. The Bengals should be able to keep things managed on the ground, regardless of the score. The Lions are most likely not going to get too far ahead in this contest, making the Bengals abandon the run. Even if that were the case, Mixon will be used on third down and passing situations.

Amon Ra St. Brown Vs Bengals

DraftKings: $4,200

Oh, baby. We love a wide receiver around this price in the Risers & Fallers piece at Team Rise or Fall. A few weeks ago it was Emmanual Sanders at $4,200. Last week it was Kadarious Toney at $4,000. These guys didn’t just return value on their price – they potentially won you a lot of money.

The perceived volume along with the price really made Sanders and Toney attractive options. For Week 6 DFS, Amon Ra St. Brown fits the bill. The rookie receiver for the Lions has been on the field for at least 69 percent of snaps and eight targets in each of the past two weeks. He had at least 13 fantasy PPR in that timespan. 

Noah Fant Vs Raiders

Noah Fant is a talented tight end that can be a DFS darling from time to time. He can be a volume receiver as we have seen him have at least six targets three times this year. In those games, he has at least 15 PPR fantasy points.

Fant has been on the field for at least 90 percent of snaps in the past two weeks. With Albert Okwuegbunam on the injured reserve, Fant is the only reliable pass-catcher at the tight end for Teddy Bridgewater. 

The Raiders have given up three touchdowns to the tight end in the past two games. To add context to that, the Raiders have given up touchdowns to Jared Cook, Donald Parham, and Jesper Horsted. Fant at $4,800 is pricey for the position, but it could pay off big for Week 6 DFS.

Week 6 DFS Fallers

Josh Jacobs @ Broncos

DraftKings: $5,900

Josh Jacobs made a late appearance at practice on Friday, giving clarity to his status this week. Jacobs will be an option for you in Week 6 DFS. He should be played, mainly because most players will not roster him due to the bad matchup. So, throw him in a couple of lineups depending on how many you decide to play this week.

I’ll make the case against Jacobs. Aside from last week, where the Steelers ran Najee Harris down Denver’s throat, the Broncos had not given up more than 74 yards on the ground. To coincide with this, Jacobs has not been able to surpass 48 rushing yards. 

The one redeeming quality for Jacobs has been the work in the receiving game. Jacobs has at least five targets in each of the last two weeks. There are other receiving backs like D’Andre Swift or Chase Edmonds who I prefer around the same price. Even J.D. McKissic is a sneaky player who could easily have more receptions than Jacobs for Week 6 DFS. 

-Steven Toroni (@FFProfessorST3)