NFL DFS Stacks for Week 7
Welcome to the weekly DFS game stacking strategy article. At this point, most DFS regulars understand the concept of stacking, that is rostering multiple players from the same team on your DFS roster. The idea is to take advantage of positive correlation to maximize your potential ceiling. While this has become more commonplace, using point spreads and projected point totals to stack entire games is less prevalent. That’s what this article will focus on each week.
When game stacking, it’s important to look at the outcomes you expect and tell yourself a story about how it gets there. For each game I’m looking to stack below, I’ll include the point spread, the projected over/under point total, and the implied narrative that gets the game to that outcome. From there, I’ll explore the stacking options that would provide the biggest DFS boost if the narratives come to fruition. Let’s dive in!
Chiefs (-4.5) at Titans
Narrative: Good offenses + bad defenses = lots of points
It feels like I always kick off this article with the Chiefs, and Week 7 is no exception. The super stack of the year may be loading up with the Kansas City trio of Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce, then running it back with Derrick Henry. Unfortunately, this isn’t practical and will cost you well over half of your total salary on either site. You’re better off going with Mahomes and either Hill or Kelce, and maybe including Mecole Hardman. If you don’t want to pay up to run it back with King Henry, you can get a little different and go with A.J. Brown on the other side.
A more contrarian approach would be to start with Ryan Tannehill, pair him with AJB, and maybe mix in Anthony Firkser. In this case, you’re best run-back option is probably Darrel Williams, though any of the Kansas City pass-catchers can still in be considered.
Falcons (-2) at Dolphins
Narrative: Bad defenses lead to a shootout
This game seems to be flying under the radar, but two bad defenses could lead to a shootout in Miami this week. I prefer to start this game stack with Matt Ryan and Calvin Ridley, who are both underpriced relative to their fantasy ceilings. Adding in Kyle Pitts or Cordarrel Patterson works as well. Myles Gaskin has been volatile lately, but he should be in consideration as a run-back option. Jaylen Waddle, DeVante Parker, and Mike Gesicki also make sense on the other side.
Starting the game stack with Tua Tagovailoa is a bit sneakier. He’s coming off his best fantasy performance of the season, and you can stack him with any combination of his aforementioned pass-catchers. In this scenario, I love running it back with Mike Davis, who’s still been seeing the majority of the work in Atlanta’s backfield. I mentioned Davis as one of my favorite DFS plays in this week’s Yahoo DFS picks article.
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Lions at Rams (-16)
Narrative: The Rams roll over the Lions
It’s a revenge game for Matthew Stafford, so let’s start there. Stacking him with Cooper Kupp is a great place to start, but it won’t be cheap. Robert Woods is another obvious option, but don’t be afraid to mix in Van Jefferson, DeSean Jackson, or Tyler Higbee as well. The Rams are huge favorites, so you want to run it back with somebody who’ll still be involved in a negative game script. D’Andre Swift and T.J. Hockenson fit the description perfectly and make sense to use on the other side.
Of course, it’s also a revenge game for Jared Goff. He could rack up fantasy points while playing catch up and other than Swift and Hockenson, you can also consider combining him with Kalif Raymond or Amon-Ra St. Brown. It’s likely to be a contrarian stack, but it makes a lot of sense if using Darrell Henderson, who is in an absolute smash spot against the poor Detroit run defense, on the other side.
Find even more DFS lineup advice on the DFSnDonuts YouTube channel!
Bears at Buccaneers (-13)
Narrative: Both teams air it out
The obvious stack here is with Tom Brady and his pass-catchers. I’ll get there, but I want to start with Justin Fields. He put up his best fantasy performance on his career-high 27 pass attempts last week, and teams are averaging a league-high 41.8 pass attempts against Tampa Bay this season. I love stacking Fields with either Allen Robinson or Darnell Mooney, then maybe even Cole Kmet. On the side, you can roll with any combination of Leonard Fournette, Mike Evans, and Chris Godwin.
Now to Brady, who can easily be stacked with Evans and/or Godwin. Sneakier stacking options include Tyler Johnson, who stands to benefit from Antonio Brown’s absence, and O.J. Howard. I wouldn’t bother running it back with anyone from Chicago’s backfield against the stout Bucs rush defense, but I like taking a shot with Robinson or Mooney on the other side.