Let’s get to my early NBA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel. As always this is a quick peek at the upcoming slate. Things are subject to change so check Team Rise or Fall throughout the day for the latest news and notes.
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Start your research with this spot every day for our first look at standout Vegas totals, pace up picks, and notable injury news. At the end I’ll address how I would handle this slate with the info we have available. This is a preview and plenty of decisions are subject to change depending on how the day’s news plays out.
The picks below are for the five-game main slate on both DraftKings and FanDuel. We know how much things can change in NBA DFS so keep your eyes on the Team Rise or Fall NBA News channel in our Discord. We’ll have all of the late breaking news there for you.
Let’s get to the picks!
Milwaukee Bucks @ Utah Jazz O/U 234.5
This is the marquee matchup on the slate and it has the highest implied total on the slate. The Utah Jazz come into tonight’s action sporting the best record in the NBA. The Bucks have the second best record in the Eastern Conference and are coming off a tough last second loss to the Phoenix Suns.
The game will be advertised as Giannis Antetokounmpo (10.8k DraftKings/11k FanDuel) versus Donovan Mitchell (8.2k/8.3k) as they’re the leaders of their respective teams. The savings provided by Mitchell make him more affordable, but I can see Giannis posting one of his great stat sheets as these two teams battle it out.
Khris Middleton (8k/8k) and Rudy Gobert (7.5k/8.6k) are the second tier players in this game drawing consideration for my picks tonight. I like Gobert a little more than Middleton overall, but Gobert is the stronger pick on DraftKings where he’s $500 cheaper than Middleton and $1,100 less than his FD price.
Other picks I’m considering are Jordan Clarkson (5.7/4.7), Donte DiVincenzo (5.4k/5k), and Bobby Portis (4.9k/4.8k). I like Clarkson the least out of this trio and will probably only use him on FanDuel.
New York Knicks @ Washington Wizards
Washington Pace Rating: 103.6
New York Pace Rating: 95.3
Game Total: 219
Something’s gotta give in this game. The Knicks have been strangling opposing offenses, allowing an average of 104 points per game over their last 12 outings. The Wizards come into tonight’s action averaging 114 points per game over their last 12 games.
The stars of this game are Julius Randle (9.1k DraftKings/8.6k FanDuel) and Russell Westbrook (9k/8.7k). Bradley Beal has been ruled out for tonight’s game so Westy SHOULD put up decent numbers as he tries to carry the Wiz.
Outside of Randle and Westbrook I feel like you’re rolling the dice trying to force picks from this game. Derrick Rose (5.3k/5.2k) played 20 minutes in his NYK debut. He’s playing for Thibs now (again) so it’s possible that number creeps up. Rui Hachimura (5.7k/5.6k) and RJ Barrett (6.1k/5.3k) carry the highest projections behind Randle and Westbrook. I don’t consider either of them must plays but Barrett’s salary on FanDuel is interesting.
Probable: Alex Caruso and LeBron James.
Questionable: Devonte’ Graham, Mason Plumlee, Frank Jackson, Isaiah Roby, Anthony Davis, Frank Mason III, Evan Fournier, Cole Anthony, Al-Farouq Aminu, and Michael Carter-Williams.
Doubtful: Wendell Carter Jr. and Blake Griffin.
Out: Jarrett Culver, D’Angelo Russell, Frank Ntilikina, Bradley Beal, LaMarcus Aldridge, Rajon Rondo, Kris Dunn, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Paul George, Otto Porter, Chandler Hutchinson, Kemba Walker, Marcus Smart, Robert Williams, Theo Maledon, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Gary Harris, P.J. Dozier, Jrue Holiday, Mike Conley, Kevin Love, Brandon Clarke, De’Anthony Melton, Justise Winslow, and Desmond Bane.
Giannis Antetokounmpo (10.8k DK/11k FD) – As I touched on above Giannis is in a good spot in a premier game. If you’re paying up for a stud tonight I think Giannis is the way to go.
Richaun Holmes (5.6k DK/6.4k FD) – Holmes has been playing well lately. And also playing not so well at the same time. He has four 40+ DK point games, and four games below 20 DK points in his last nine games (One game of 31 DK points). I’m looking for tonight to be in the 40+ range against a depleted Orlando Magic team playing a back-to-back.
These are my EARLY targets. If you want targets from our NBA DFS coaches closer to lock, check out our NBA Building Blocks!
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