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Aaron Jones 2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Aaron Jones finished 2020 s RB5 in Standard and PPR formats. What is his fantasy football outlook for 2021? Let’s get into it!

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2020 Season

Aaron Jones finished 2020 as the RB5 and was an integral part of the Packers’ offense. He was very efficient averaging 5.49 yards per carry on 201 carries. He finished 10th in carries due to Jamal Williams’ presence in the Green Bay backfield.

Aaron Jones has a Market Share of 13.2% on passing plays. That was good for 7th among running backs. Jones turned those targets into 25 yards per game. That helped add to his floor and stabilized him as a solid high floor play on a weekly basis.

Aaron Jones got into the end zone 11 total times in 2020. 9 touchdowns came via the ground game and 2 through the aerial attack. Solid touchdown totals but, not the insane touchdown totals that would push him to RB1 status.

Aaron Jones got a heavy workload in 2020 and he took advantage of it to become an elite fantasy producer.

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2021 Fantasy Football Outlook

Aaron Jones is currently being drafted as RB6 on Underdog Fantasy and he has the upside to be the RB2 or RB3. Let’s dive into why!

Jamal Williams – Jamal Williams was a producer for Green Bay in 2020 but, he is now a Detroit Lion and it appears that A.J. Dillon will slide into his role. I’m not anticipating Dillon playing 46% of the snaps as Williams did in 2020 but, he will get his workload. I think we will see closer to a 70/30 snap split in favor of Aaron Jones. Jones just signed a 48 million dollar deal with Green Bay. If they are going to commit to Aaron Jones, they will utilize him as much as they can.

Aaron Rodgers – Aaron Jones was being drafted in the second round when there was speculation that Aaron Rodgers was retiring, leaving, etc. With Aaron Rodgers, I expect Aaron Jones to have a similar role to what he did in 2020 with the heightened workload I mentioned before. Having Rodgers at Quarterback is the ideal scenario for Jones.

Touchdown Variance – Touchdown variance is definitely in play here. Aaron Jones had 25 carries inside the 10 yard line last season and only 6 touchdowns. Inside the 5 yard line, he had 9 carries for only 4 touchdowns. It’s in his range of outcomes to produce 15+ touchdowns from those 25 carries. We could even see more red zone opportunities with Jamal Williams out of the picture.

Aaron Jones is a top five pick for me in Underdog drafts and he will be a player I prioritize this NFL DFS season!

Photo Credit: Fox Sports WisconsinFantasy Football

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