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Bottom of the Barrel Week 1 NFL DFS Breakdown

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1 NFL DFS Breakdown
9/6/2021
Chris Robin

The National Football League is back! More importantly, Bottom of the Barrel Week 1 is back in action. The most common question I get throughout the off-season is about Bottom of the Barrel. Where does it go? What do you do with it? So, I decided to spend the spring and summer keeping up with B&B. Checking in from time to time. Making sure it was resting and enjoying the downtime.

As we turn our attention to yet another football season, I want to make a few things clear. It’s an honor and a privilege to connect with you. I take my daily fantasy sports content extremely seriously. Anything worth doing is worth doing right, right? I am looking forward to another season providing you with Bottom of the Barrel. As the success of it all grows so does my humility and hunger to bring you the best possible content possible. Buckle up, friends! We are in for one heck of 2021 football season!

Let me refresh your memories! Each week in Bottom of the Barrel I like to mention the most expensive player at each position. Helps put the player pricing into perspective!

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QUARTERBACK

Patrick Mahomes KC v CLE(27th)(FD-$8,800)(DK-$8,100)(Y!-$40)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) celebrates after his third touchdown pass of the game during the first half of an NFL football game against the San Francisco 49ers in Kansas City, Mo., Sunday, Sept. 23, 2018. Mahomes’ TDs surpass Peyton Manning for the most pass TDs by a quarterback in his team’s first three games of the season in NFL history. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

Best in the game at the quarterback position. Get used to seeing Patrick Mahomes atop this article all season!

Here are some cheaper options at QB in week 1!

Justin Herbert LAC @ WSH(5th)(FD-$7,600)(DK-$6,700)(Y!-$30)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Photo Credit: Las Vegas Review Journal

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Daniel Jones NYG v DEN(26th)(FD-$6,700)(DK-$5,300)(Y!-20)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

New York Giants QB Daniel Jones

Look, I said months ago this is a make-or-break season for Daniel Jones. Danny proceeded to look awful in the preseason. His bad decision-making and ill-advised throws have only made me more nervous. That’s the beauty of DFS, not married to a player longer than one week. Here’s hoping Danny Dimes flips the switch for us in week one.

Trevor Lawrence JAX @ HOU(22nd)(FD-$6,800)(DK-$6,200)(Y!-$23)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Jacksonville Jaguars rookie QB Trevor Lawrence

The rookie golden boy vs. arguably the worst team in the NFL. This might be the closest best college team vs the worst professional team match-up we ever get! Trevor will shred the Texans.

Sam Darnold CAR v NYJ(29th)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$5,000)(Y!-25)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Carolina Panthers QB Sam Darnold

Cue the John Cena theme music, “Your time is up my time is now…” I want to see Sam breakout and succeed so bad. Week one is the start of a new chapter for Darnold! Time to put my money where my mouth is with old Sammy boy!

Zach Wilson NYJ @ CAR(20th)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$5,000)(Y!-$20)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

New York Jets rookie QB Zach Wilson

The New York Jets have seemingly climbed out of the basement. On the strength of a great 2021 draft class! Look for Wilson to come out slinging the football!

RUNNING BACK

Christian McCaffery CAR v NYJ(17th)(FD-$10,400)(DK-$9,500)(Y!-$39)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Carolina Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey

CMC is 100% healthy and looking for action! I’ve long said whatever you’re looking for you will find. Pedal to the metal for CMC right out of the gate!

Here are some cheaper options at RB in week 1!

Kareem Hunt CLE @ KC(24th)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$5,500)(Y!-$17)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Cleveland Browns RB Kareem Hunt

The secret is out on Hunt being a productive backup. Therein lies the issue. On paper, Hunt is a backup but Kareem has legit standalone value. DFS is always about zigging when others zag. Week 1 is all about chalk and popular plays. Get over on the masses in week one. Roster Kareem Hunt!

James Robinson JAX @ HOU(32nd)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$6,400)(Y!-$27)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Jacksonville Jaguars RB James Robinson

J-Rob was a stud, got buried in the draft now he’s back to being the man again in Jacksonville. I have a feeling James Robinson will be a staple in B&B this season. Get used to it now! Price point plus workload? It’s a no-brainer!

Chase Edmonds ARZ @ TEN(27th)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$4,600)(Y!-$17)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Does Arizona Cardinals RB Chase Edmonds have what it takes to be an RB1?

Life is always about trial and error. Working the kinks out and finding what works. The same rationale applies here with Chase. How with the Cardinals use him after the departure of Kenyan Drake? You must pay to play people! Let’s roster Edmonds and let it play out in real-time!

Damien Harris NE v MIA(6th)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$5,200)(Y!-$17)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

With the departure of Sony Michel look for Patriot’s RB Damien Harris to be the workhorse!

Cam Newton is gone. Sony Michel is gone. Mac Jones is in. Harris is up. Look for a steady dose of Damien here in week one.

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Javonte Williams DEN @ NYG(20th)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,000)(Y!-$13)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Bronco’s rookie RB Javonte Williams will look to assert himself as bell-cow back in Denver.

Take notice, Javonte is in for the ride of his life here in Denver! I know the idea of Melvin Gordon III also being in Denver is an issue for certain folks. Use that mentality to really charge up your DFS lines in week one. I have this odd feeling that Javonte’s ownership percentages are going to be very low the first few weeks of the season. Act fast and get in now! Maybe I’ll sell t-shirts that read “I used Javonte in week 1 when he was in Bottom of the Barrel!”

James Connor ARZ @ TEN(27th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$4,500)(Y!-$17)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Arizona Cardinal’s RB James Robinson.

“Mr. James Connor, I enjoyed your time in Pittsburgh, kind of, and I wish you the best in Arizona.” Signed no Pittsburgh Steelers fan ever. Here is a case of using it before you lose it.

Trey Sermon SF @ DET(31st)(FD-$5,200)(DK-$4,500)(Y!-$17)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

The 49er’s rookie RB Trey Sermon will find his way onto the field in Detroit!

Now we’re talking. Another rookie running back going up against an awful defense. The 49er’s offense will explode at some point this season. Why not week one? Mostert is ahead of Trey, for now, on the depth chart but I have a sneaking suspicion the kid proves his point right here in Detroit on Sunday.

Chuba Hubbard CAR v NYJ(17th)(FD-$4,700)(DK-$4,000)(Y!-$10)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Carolina Panther’s rookie RB Chuba Hubbard will have some value in week 1 as CMC’s back-up.

Last I looked Chuba is the direct backup to CMC in Carolina. Upon further inspection, it’s just Chuba and the newly signed Royce Freeman on the RB depth chart. Realistically speaking CMC can’t see 100% of the snaps in week one at running back, can he?

Rhamondre Stevenson NE v MIA(6th)(FD-$4,600)(DK-$4,000)(Y!-$10)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

The one-two punch of Harris/Stevenson will pay huge benefits as early as week one!

Rhamondre was one of, if not, the most exciting rookie backs in the 2021 pre-season. I know regular season football is not the same as preseason, but it counts for something! Stevenson has absolutely carved out a role for himself on the New Patriots team.

WIDE RECEIVER

Davante Adams GB @ NO(19th)(FD-$8,600)(DK-$8,300)(Y!-$35)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Best WR in the game. Do not get cute here!

There is a reason Davante is the most expensive wide receiver to start the season. Don’t think twice about adding him. Or on second thought keep reading here are a few WR’s that would compliment him well.

Here are some cheaper options at WR in week 1!

Tyler Boyd CIN v MIN(27th)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$5,200)(Y!-$17)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Slow and steady under the radar Cincinnati Bengals WR Tyler Boyd.

Tyler is the perfect example of being patient. All spring and all summer it was Ja’ Marr Chase this Tee Higgins that. Meanwhile, Boyd has kept his head down putting in the work. Boyd has always been a PPR fantasy football player’s dream.

Marvin Jones Jr. JAX @ HOU(26th)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$3,600)(Y!-$17)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Jacksonville Jaguar’s WR Marvin Jones Jr.
Photo courtesy of ATG MVP Sports Highlights

Don’t look now but I firmly believe Marvin Jones Jr. has a real shot at yet another high-end season at WR for the Jaguars. It all starts here in week one as he becomes rookie QB Trevor Lawrence’s safety blanket!

Courtland Sutton DEN @ NYG(11th)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$5,200)(Y!-$16)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Bronco’s WR Courtland Sutton looks to bounce back and establish himself as the alpha WR in Denver.

Courtland Sutton has seemingly been forgotten about. During the summer he just disappeared. I did not forget! He’s been right in front of me the whole time! His price tag for week one is understandable given the injury and not seeing a football field in quite some time. Please roster Sutton now while you can. His price tag is going to shoot to the moon!

Corey Davis NYJ @ CAR(13th)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$4,900)(Y!-$15)

Look for New York Jet’s WR Corey Davis to soak up targets in week one.

Corey Davis switched teams and his usage this preseason has been unbelievably fantastic! Corey is clearly rookie QB Zack Wilson’s favorite target and could pay dividends in week one. Perfect chance to catch others sleeping.

Russell Gage ATL v PHI(25th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$5,300)(Y!-$14)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Atlanta Falcons WR Russel Gage should see a large bump in targets in week one!

You know what’s coming here. Julio Jones is gone, vacated targets and someone will have to step up. I had to say it. Fun and games aside Russell Gage had a nice 2020 but now gets a massive bump across the board in all categories. Look for hefty stat cheat filling from the get!

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Nelson Agholor NE v MIA(23rd)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,500)(Y!-$16)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Is Nelson Agholor the New England Patriot’s newly minted WR1?

Agholor was a pleasant surprise last season! Now with New England I fully expect Nelson to work in tandem with Jonnu and Hunter Henry. Agholor will be used to stretch the field roaming free on the outside while the tight-end boys work underneath.

Laviska Shenault Jr. JAX @ HOU(26th)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$5,000)(Y!-$15)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Jacksonville Jag’s WR Laviska Shenault Jr. is going to explode in 2021! His price will never be cheaper!

Ah, there he is! I know a lot of folks are high on this kid headed into 2021. Viska will be on fire right out of the gate just soaking up targets. Shenault Jr. has big-play ability on any given snap as well. Given the match-up here in week one he’s a fantastic selection.

Jerry Jeudy DEN @ NYG(11th)(FD-$5,500)(DK-$4,800)(Y!-$15)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Denver Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy.
Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

The excitement around this Denver Broncos offense has been well warranted. The return of Courtland Sutton should free up some space for Jerry. Sutton or Jeudy? Jeudy or Sutton? Why not both in week one?!

Jakobi Meyers NE v MIA(23rd)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$5,100)(Y!-$14)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

New England Patriot’s WR Jakobi Meyers.

The target shares this kid was receiving last season were unbelievable! Fast forward to 2021 and I see no reason why Meyers cannot immediately deliver for us! With the change at quarterback and the addition of two stout tight-ends, Myers will have room to roam!

Michael Pittman Jr. IND v SEA(22nd)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,100)(Y!-$17)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Indianapolis Colts 2nd year WR Michael Pittman Jr. will make a big splash this season.

Classic case of practicing patience! Michael is a sleeper, then he was bad and now we’re right back where we started. Long gone are the days of Seattle’s secondary being called, “The Legion of Boom’. The exploitable match-up mixed with a cheap price tag makes Pittman Jr. an interesting option in wee one.

DeVonta Smith PHI @ ATL(32nd)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$4,500)(Y!-$17)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles rookie WR Devonta Smith will become a fixture in your DFS lines this season.

Say what you want about the kid’s skinny frame, DeVonta can ball! The connection with a second-year quarterback, Jalen Hurts, will be on full display early and often here. Oh, did I forget to mention the Atlanta Falcons are dead last (32nd) defending wide receivers? It’s a match made in heaven in week one!

TIGHT END

Travis Kelce KC v CLE(23rd)(FD-$8,500)(DK-$8,300)(Y!-$33)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs stud TE Travis Kelce has shown no signs of slowing down!

Travis Kelce is, without doubt, the best tight end on a daily, weekly, and monthly basis.

Here are some cheaper plays at TE for week 17.

Dawson Knox BUF v PIT(5th)(FD-$5,000)(DK-$3,400)(Y!-$10)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Look for Buffalo Bills TE Dawson Knox to be a Bottom of the Barrel All-Star in 2021!

Hopefully, most of you are aware of my DFS tight end methods. Punt the position but make a good, informed decision. Dawson Knox fits the bill here. Buffalo Bills TE Dawson Knox has been rumored to have been working with a vision specialist to improve his pass-catching ability through hand-eye coordination and depth perception training. Plus, this Buffalo Bills offense is insanely tilted towards passing the football. Snap percentages mixed with his stud QB make Knox the absolute perfect punt play in week one!

O.J. Howard TB v DAL(12th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,300)(Y!-$13)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

No one on Earth will be on Tampa Bay TE OJ Howard in week one.

What’s up with recommending OJ Howard here Chris? Tampa Bay has Godwin, Evans, Rojo, Fournette, and Gronk! There is no room for OJ! Throughout my life, I’ve been able to spin negativity to my advantage. Before his season-ending injury in 2020 OJ Howard was being force-fed the football. Tom Brady is so dang good at distributing the football! Looking ahead I can see a case where OJ finishes week one with three receptions, twenty yards, and two touchdowns. Very odd stat line but it’s the touchdowns were after!

Jonnu Smith NE v MIA(11)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$4,100)(Y!-$15)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Jonnu Smith is going to have a monster 2021 season in New England. It all starts in week one!

Jonnu is an absolute monster after the catch. His YAC, yards after completion, mixed with the Patriot’s creative offense play calling have me licking my chops! It’s a new day in England folks!

Gerald Everett SEA @ IND(13th)(FD-$4,800)(DK-$3,400)(Y!-$10)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Seattle Seahawks TE Gerald Everett.
Photo courtesy of the Seattle Seahawks.

I understand the lack of excitement here, but we all know the motto of the Seahawks. They are a run-first team while Russ Wilson is able to buy time in the pocket. Seattle also likes to implement heavy run personal inside the red zone. Granted Gerald isn’t Wilson’s first read but Everett has a little upside here.

Mo Alie-Cox IND v SEA(15th)(FD-$4,700(DK-$2,900)(Y!-$10)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

The Indianapolis Colts are always creative with their TE’s. Mo Alie-Cox is an off-the-map play in week one.

Mo Alie-Cox is your typical converted basketball player turned professional football tight end. Cox is amazingly athletic and should grab Carson Wentz’s attention right here in week one!

Blake Jarwin DAL @ TB(25th)(FD-$4,500)(DK-$3,400)(Y!-$10)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Dallas Cowboys TE Blake Jarwin will pick up where he left off last season in this high-volume passing offense!

A cheap tight end in a high-volume pass offense. Need I say more?

Pat Freiermuth PIT @ BUF(31st)(FD-$4,400)(DK-$2,500)(Y!-$10)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Pittsburgh Steelers rookie TE Pat Freiermuth has a good chance of standing out from the start.

Pat sits behind probably my least favorite football player of all time, Eric Ebron. This Pittsburgh offense has all the makings of being a high-flying air show. Ebron has always been a loudmouth-stoned-handed dolt. In week one the Steelers travel to Buffalo to test their summer work against the Buffalo Bill’s thirty first-ranked defense vs tight ends. Freiermuth will find the endzone in his regular-season professional game!

Chris Herndon MIN @ CIN(28th)(FD-$4,400)(DK-$3,300)(Y!-$10)

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Newly acquired Minnesota Vikings TE Chris Herndon will get used, hopefully. Right?

Last season the Vikings scored fifty-five total touchdowns. Kirk Cousins tossed thirty-five of them! Looking ahead to week one how much do we expect Minnesota to use Herndon? Not much but at such low prices, I’ll take the chance. Can you imagine the headline Monday? “Newly acquired TE Chris Herndon pays immediate dividends!”

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That’s it! Week one is upon us! Not to be the bearer of bad news but this season is going to fly by. Enjoy every moment! Enjoy building every line. Let’s be happy and thankful football is back!

Here are two of the sample lines I am going to use for week 1! Keep in mind these lines are for entertainment purposes! Please play responsibly!

Also, look for updated lines closer to lock on Sunday morning 9/12/21!

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Sunday 9/12 Main
DEN/JAX stack

That is, it! Did I miss someone? Any questions or comments?

Bottom of the Barrel Week 1

Sunday 9/12 Main
I looking at a collection of one-offs on Draftkings in week one.

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