Bottom of the Barrel Week 11 Wide Receiver NFL DFS Breakdown
Bottom of the Barrel Week 11 Wide Receiver NFL DFS Breakdown
Chris Robin November 18th, 2022
We can create our own magic. We have the capability to take any path we choose! It helps us cope, daydream, and enjoy ourselves. Without an imagination life would be plain and lame.
At certain times I have looked at my life as a Ferris wheel. Good times or bad it just keeps spinning! Sometimes we want to get off, but it keeps spinning. Other times we went on and it just stopped sitting there broken. Before we know it a year or two has gone by and we’ve made no progress.
I would like to say that I found a short cut or a trick to it all, but I’d be lying. I do believe the trick is to hop on and off as we see fit while handling it all the best way we can. Spinning fast or sitting there broken, we can always find our own magic.
Let’s look at some Week 11 Bottom of the Barrel plays!
I’ll get into all the details after a quick note about our new membership options! 😺
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Stefon Diggs BUF vs. CLE(21st)(FD-$9,400)(DK-$8,300)(Y!-$35)
Game played in Detroit Michigan.
A few days ago, this nasty weather report came in that Buffalo will be getting pummeled with snow. As a fellow cold-weather fan it did not bother me. Nor should it freak out anyone in Buffalo. Well, until projected snow totals started to come out. An ungodly amount of snow, around six feet, started making the rounds. So, the NFL, Detroit Lions, Buffalo Bills, and Cleveland Browns agreed to play at Ford Field on Sunday. Snow games are fun but with kind of accumulation not much is possible in the air. Now, Diggs and Bills are playing a comfortable and cozy game inside the dome at Ford Field. Could be some weird totals here given the fact football players are creatures of habit. Diggs getting targeted 10+ times, catching 7+ passes, and racking up over 100 yards with a touchdown is also now a habit.
Chris Olave NO vs. LAR(22nd)(FD-$6,900)(DK-$6,800)(Y!-$23)
The rookie wide-out has been a target hog so far this season. However, in Week 10 against the Steelers he saw his share of them decrease. The lowest target share since his first game as a pro in Week 1. I am not worried about it I am excited about it! Remember the idea of recency bias? DFS players are so quick to forget and toss players out! Chris Olave has seen double digit targets three times this season. All three were against a very favorable matchup. Sunday the Saints battle the hapless Rams. Los Angeles is allowing the ninth-most fantasy points a game to receivers. I am locking in Olave for around 12 targets, 8 receptions, and over 100 yards receiving. Chris is averaging 14.3 yards a catch so after a simple multiplication problem we get 114.4. Let’s see how close that is to his final line this week!
Tyler Boyd CIN @ PIT(31st)(FD-$6,800)(DK-$6,500)(Y!-$25)
Few things at play here with Tyler Boyd. First off, he scored in back-to-back weeks against the Falcons in Week 7 and again in Week 8 against the Browns. Week 9 he was targeted six times and caught five of them. Week 10 the Bengals were off on their bye. Meaning, Tyler could realistically be as low owned as he’s ever been this Week in Pittsburgh. Good or bad, the Bengals and Steelers absolutely hate each other as they are AFC North foes. Also, Tyler Boyd attended college at the University of Pittsburgh and grew up locally in Clairton, Pennsylvania. After a quick MapQuest search you will find that is only forty minutes south of 100 Art Rooney Ave! To say Boyd has a vested interest in this game would be an understatement. Let’s lock in Tyler at around 7-8 targets, 6 receptions, and dangerously close to 100 yards receiving!
DJ Moore CAR @ BAL(27th)(FD-$6,700)(DK-$5,700)(Y!-$19)
In keeping with my open book and honesty mindset I’d be a liar for not mentioning DJM here. Moore was written in my notebook last weekend when PJ Walker was slated to get another start at QB. Fast forward to now and Baker Mayfield will be under center for the Panthers. Man, oh man does that stink. The only positive spin I can attempt here is that maybe Baker has done some soul searching and laid off the video games and looks at this start as a chance to get back on the starting QB radar. Highly unlikely but what other hope can we hang onto here? The Ravens DvP match-up against Moore is at least good and we can count on high target share for DJM which makes him a volume-based DFS play in Week 11.
Darius Slayton NYG vs. DET(25th)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$5,000)(Y!-$14)
There is at least one player on a week-to-week basis where I claim this is the reason why DFS was invented. Here he is for Week 11 folks, Darius Slayton! The Giant has recorded double-digit fantasy points in three straight games and will absolutely keep it rolling against a soft Detroit secondary. Slayton is the perfect example of smoke ‘em if you got ‘em. Instead use ‘em if you got ‘me because we don’t know how long the good times will last with him. Let’s ride the hot streak until the wheels fall off! This guy is averaging 17.2 yards a catch and unless I am living on Mars, I do not think that is sustainable for much longer. Let’s plug him in our lines as I have him at 5-6 targets, 3-4 receptions, and at least 50 yards.
Devin Duvernay BAL vs. CAR(23rd)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$5,000)(Y!-$17)
In seasonal formats Devin doesn’t hit as good as using him in daily fantasy sports slates! In Week 9 Devin did just a little more than nothing, only catching one pass on one target for five yards. Then, the Ravens had their bye week and are back in action this week, at home, against the Panthers. What makes Beasties ears perk up is the fact Mark Andrews should be back and healthy on Sunday. Lamar Jackson is sitting pretty, and the pressure is off Duvernay as the team’s top wide receiver. Look, not trying to be rude, but some guys are better off as a secondary option. Some guys just do better when expectations aren’t through the roof. Duvernay has a shot to be very active and involved in a game where I expect Baltimore to win and score 30+ points.
Nico Collins HOU vs. WSH(26th)(FD-$5,900)(DK-$4,100)(Y!-$16)
Nico is more of a wishful thinking DFS move in Week 11. Last week against the Giants he was targeted ten times! He caught half of those but only tailed 49 yards. He also caught a touchdown pass so I’d say that was a busy day! Groin issues aside, Collins was limited early this week in practice but did get in a full session on Thursday. When we breakdown DFS to its simplest form all we really have is the player’s previous stat line. Maybe I am nuts, but I do like the over 41 total points in this game. So, the next step is to decide where these points will come from. Best case scenario Nico grabs 4 or 5 passes on 6-7 targets on his way to 70+ receiving yards. The process is sound against a Commanders team that has no issue pushing the pace of play! Go Blue!
Chase Claypool CHI @ ATL(32nd)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$4,800)(Y!-$13)
If ever there was a week for Chase to go nuclear and prove his point as a Chicago Bear it is now! We can’t fault Claypool for his lowly two targets and one reception in Week 10. How could we? Why would we? Every week second year QB, Justin Fields, takes a closer step to superstardom while Claypool is getting acclimated to the Chicago offense. That all comes to an end in Atlanta this week. Claypool is best used downfield stretching the field while opening the middle for others like Mooney or Kmet. I do firmly believe that Fields can sustain this rushing yardage and the Bears head coach will start stacking ideas and play calls on top of it all. The idea of implementing Chase more will no longer be an idea after this week. It will be reality! Most projections for Claypool this week are very modest while folks say that this team is to run oriented to make him a start able option. Screw that! How could you, in all honesty, tell folks to sit or pass over Claypool this week in Atlanta. A Falcons team DEAD LAST in defending opposing WRs!
Did you miss the other Bottom of the Barrel articles this week? Do not worry! Here are the links for QBs and RBs!
For Quarterbacks click here! http://bit.ly/BeastieWK11QB
For Running Backs click here! http://bit.ly/BeastieWK11RB
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