Type to search


Bottom of the Barrel Week 14 Wide Receivers NFL DFS Breakdown

Bottom of the Barrel Week 18 Wide Receivers NFL DFS Breakdown

Bottom of the Barrel Week 14 Wide Receivers NFL DFS Breakdown

December 9, 2022

There are always a few odd things we hear happen once the NFL season starts its last quarter. One, good teams with large point spreads become layups. Two, bad teams often lay down and die. Third, the seasonal fantasy football players flock back to daily fantasy sports. What does all this mean?

What we thought were sure things turned into astronomically complex puzzles. The Cowboys giving 17 points to the Houston Texans on Sunday is not a slam dunk. The Steelers laying down to die against the Ravens will never happen, ever. We are in for one heck of a finish this season!

The only thing we can count on is the seasonal fantasy football folks making their way back to DFS formats. If that is you then, hello! Welcome back! Let’s dig into Week 14 of the NFL season!

I’ll get into all the details after a quick note about our new membership options! 😺

We recently added membership options for Individual Sports here at Rise or Fall. If you wanted to subscribe to NFL Monthly or NFL Weekly without access to any of the other sports you now have that option!

All memberships come with Discord access, but, only the Monthly All Access for $39.99 comes with a $20 monthly credit to Fantasy Cruncher.

Wide Receivers

Justin Jefferson MIN @ DET(28th)(FD-$9,300)(DK-$9,000)(Y!-$40)

Slam dunk. Open and shut case. Cue the Law & Order music. Jokes aside, Justin is going to be the most owned WR in Week 14. Although, if a ton of other folks think that and it stops them from pulling the trigger then so be it. Just grasping at straws now. Any way you slice it Justin is a must have in Week 14! We should expect 11-12 targets, 8-9 receptions, 100+ yards, and a touchdown! Enjoy his greatness!

Jerry Jeudy DEN vs. KC(31st)(FD-$6,500)(DK-$5,400)(Y!-$16)

Russ Wilson is so bad. How bad is he, Chris? Wilson only has 7 touchdown passes in 13 weeks.

Russ Wilson is so bad. How bad is he, Chris? Wilson has one game with multiple TD passes this season. Tied for 29th in the league.

Russ Wilson is so bad. How bad is he, Chris? Carson Wentz has more TD passes than Wilson. Wentz hasn’t played since Week 6.

Not a glowing start to the Jeudy blurb but I refuse to think Jerry plays an insignificant role on Sunday against a Chiefs team that allows the fourth-most fantasy points a game to WRs. Pitch count or not I am thinking 7-8 targets, 4-5 receptions, and 75 yards.

Zay Jones JAX @ TEN(32nd)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$4,700)(Y!-$19)

I spent some time looking through Zay’s game log trying to find a pattern. After his amazing Week 12 he was held in check last week with only two catches for 16 yards. The Jaguars last four games have been pretty good from a DvP perspective against wideouts. Last four games have been against Las Vegas, Kansas City, Baltimore, Detroit, and now Tennessee. Team implied point totals aren’t the best but it’s Week 14. Not much left to hang our hats on. I have Zay at 7-8 targets, 5-6 receptions, and close to 60 yards.

Robert Woods TEN vs. JAX(26th)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$4,500)(Y!-$12)

Even after rookie Treylon Burks left early with an injury Robert Woods still was a ghost. Tough talking up a WR in the Titans offense with King Henry eating up so much work! I just refuse to think Robert is done. After watching what the Lions did to the Jaguars last week it’s hard to refute the idea of Tennessee doing the same. My perfect game plan for the Titans on Sunday: Henry, Henry, and Woods. Henry, Henry, Henry, and Woods. You get the idea! I have Woods around 6 targets, 4 receptions, and about 40 yards. Given his lowly price tag I’d consider that a success.

Corey Davis NYJ @ BUF(22nd)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$4,200)(Y!-$14)

I am not a New York Jets fan by any means but the switch to Mike White at quarterback has been awesome from a fantasy football perspective! Corey has seen a boom in his usage with Mr. White at QB! To the tune of 10 targets, 5 receptions, and 85 yards last week. Seeing Davis roaming around in the middle of the field is a beautiful thing! The Bills are a good team. It is no secret, but I am expecting the Jets to hang tough in this one. Making Corey worth consideration in DFS formats this week!

DJ Chark Jr. DET vs. MIN(29th)(FD-$5,700)(DK-$4,300)(Y!-$18)

Tried to keep away from obvious stack ideas and players but DJ this week is just too good. Cannot believe I am about to say this, but the Lions offense has been firing on all cylinders! Chark caught five passes last week on six targets for 98 yards. The only issue I can find is the fact DJ has struggled with consistency. Fair enough but the cycle must break one of these weeks, right? Why not Sunday against the Vikings? The idea of 4-5 targets, 3-4 receptions, and 50 yards is strong!

Marvin Jones Jr. JAX @ TEN(32nd)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$3,800)(Y!-$17)

After last week’s debacle in Detroit, I am really hoping the Jags learned something. Whether it be a different personal setup that heavily leans on Trevor Lawrence passing the ball and pushing the pace of play? We shouldn’t expect much from Marvin on Sunday. Two or three receptions seems about right, one of which being a 30-yard touchdown!

K.J. Osborn MIN @ DET(28th)(FD-$5,300)(DK-$3,500)(Y!-$13)

I have mentioned the pecking order in Minnesota several times. That order still holds true, but we should expect over 60 points to be scored in this game. Any way we can get cheap exposure is the best way to attack it. The ownership percentages for Kirk, Jefferson, and Cook will be sky high. Those of us who are feeling froggy will take the leap with Osborn in Detroit on Sunday. It is worth mentioning last time these two got together K.J. toasted the Lions on 8 targets, 5 receptions, 73 yards, and a late fourth quarter touchdown to seal the game. I have Kirk to attempt about 40 passes on Sunday. So, is it safe to assume K.J. can get his hands on 3 or 4 of those for 40 yards? Also, watch Osborn to find the endzone!

Did you miss this week’s Bottom of the Barrel quarterback breakdown? Look no further, just click the link! http://bit.ly/BeastieWK14QB

Or this week’s edition of the lowly and cheap RBs! http://bit.ly/BeastieWK14RB

Are you ready to dominate?

Our NFL Study Hub is one of my go-to resources for research every single day and only available to VIP Members. The Study Hub shows you this week’s NFL Projections for every player.

Each player’s ownership projection, salary, fantasy points projection, and past stats, are all included and more!

Check out a sample version of our NFL Study Hub here

Do me a favor, if you like this content and like what we’re doing here at Rise or Fall, please share this article ! 🐱


Beastie Bonus

Use promo code BEASTIE and save $10 on your first month

Did I miss anything? Let me know! You can reach out to me on Twitter @DetroitBeastie.

Our VIP Members get access to these perks and more:

💥 Study Hubs 💥 Projections

💥 Core Picks 💥 VIP Content

DraftKings NBA DFS Lineup featuring Giannis Antetokounmpo and LeBron James"
Top 5 NBA DFS value plays for winning your games
Fanduel NFL DFS Cheat Sheet