DraftKings MMA DFS Picks | UFC 273
DraftKings MMA DFS Picks for UFC 273
Monk here with another UFC DFS breakdown for TeamRiseorFall.com. We are back with UFC 273 on Saturday, and we have several fights that promise to be absolute bangers. Alexander Volkanovski x The Korean Zombie headline the card with the Bantamweight unification bout between Aljamain Sterling and Petr Yan slated as the co-main event. We are also fortunate enough to get to see Khamzat Chimaev in action against Gilbert Burns, which will surely answer a lot of questions. Grab a drink and a pencil, because The Monkmatician is here to give you a few tips regarding your UFC 273 lineup construction.
I’m going to give you three value plays & a fade this week, so let’s get right into it.
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The first play I’ll give you for UFC 273 is an extremely obvious one. Put Alexander Volkanovski in your lineups! At $9500, Volk is the most expensive fighter on the entire card, but you are likely going to get what you pay for. Alexander scores 4.08 raw DraftKings points per minute while allowing only 1.84. Tallying 107.75 DraftKings points per win and over 104 in his decision wins, Volkanovski is someone I will have huge exposure to this weekend.
Chan Sung Jung aka The Korean Zombie has yet to be in a boring fight and is quite the prolific scorer in his own right. Averaging only 2.73 raw DraftKings points per minute but 114.44 in his wins, Jung is a fighter that usually seems to find a big finish for an even bigger score. Scoring over 100 DraftKings points in six of seven wins, Zombie tends to be a fighter that you can depend on getting you a great total in one of your six lineup positions.
This main event will be a fight I’m targeting about 90% of the time, with most of my exposure going to the champ, Alexander Volkanovski. Alex has scored over 90 DraftKings points in nine of ten wins, making him one of the most consistently well-rounded scorers on the card. This fight will be incredible, but I just think that Volk is going to be too good for Jung in every aspect of the fight and short of an early KO punch from Zombie that Alex doesn’t see, I can’t envision how Zombie wins this fight. Gimme Volkanovski in 70-80% of my lineups this week.
The second play is also obvious, so allow me to use these next few paragraphs to drive home the reasons you should play this fighter. For the low, low price of $9400, you yourself can roster your very own Khamzat Chimaev. Nonsense aside, this guy has the best offensive and defensive scoring numbers that I’ve seen in a long time, perhaps ever. There are many, so let me simply list them: 9.67 Raw DraftKings points per minute, 0.05 raw DraftKings points allowed per minute, 122.42 points per win over 4 wins, an average value of 13.02, has scored over 110 points in each of his wins, 5.67 striking points per minute, 1.55 takedown points per minute, 1.67 control time points per minute…you get it, yeah?
Gilbert Burns is currently ranked #2 in the welterweight division and is one of the best fighters in that weight class. Scoring just over three DraftKings points per minute and 93.64 in his wins, Burns has proven that he absolutely belongs towards the top of his class, compiling a UFC record of 13-4 along the way. Among what worries me is Gilbert’s 50% takedown defense and the fact that he has spent only 39% of his total fight time fighting inside the distance, a place where his opponent lives.
The unique skillset of Khamzat Chimaev paired with the overwhelming size discrepancy (6’2” to 5’10”, 4” reach advantage for Borz) has got me thinking I should roster him in almost 100% of my lineups. I’m usually not this highly exposed to more than one fighter on a card, but I’m willing to make an exception in this seemingly extraordinary case.
The final play I have for you, loyal reader, is not quite as apparent as the first two. Mickey Gall is someone I’ll be looking to play for his tremendous submission finish upside. With me going very top-heavy as far as rostering high-salaried fighters, I’m going to need to find a good balance point with a few dogs that could achieve a high-scoring victory. Mickey Gall scores only 2.61 raw DraftKings points per minute, but across his six wins, Gall is averaging 101.18 points.
Mike Malott is a 30-year-old fighter coming off a very quick Dana White Contender Series win in which he scored only 0.62 DraftKings points per minute but ended up with 115 at the end of the fight. Malott is a fighter I will need to see more of as he has amassed only 117 seconds of fight time in almost seven years (please read that again).
Mickey Gall is tough to finish, and we have seen Malott fade in the past. If Gall can stay alive for the first 3 minutes, I think he has a decent chance of finishing Mike Malott, perhaps even in the first round. I think Gall could be pretty low-owned and we will need some variance in our lineups with some big chalk already there.
The Monkmatician’s fade for UFC 273 is Ms. Kay Hansen. After missing weight by 2.5 pounds Friday morning, I will be fading Hansen more than I was previously planning. Kay scores only 2.59 raw DraftKings points per minute and managed to put up only 77.93 points in her lone UFC win.
Hansen’s opponent, Piera Rodriguez, is a UFC newcomer with a lot of promise in the strawweight division. Piera would not have scored well in her DWCS win (only 72.94 potential DraftKings points); however, she carries an undefeated professional record (7-0) with five wins by KO/TKO. I am very interested to see how Hansen deals with this potential power.
The downsides of Kay Hansen are far too great for me to consider rostering in any of my lineups. The scoring upside is simply non-existent from what I’ve seen so far, and the big weight miss raises that red flag even higher. There are a few underdogs I like better for less salary, so I will be sticking with them over Hansen at UFC 273.
There you have it, loyal readers. If you cannot get enough of me, please check me out over on Twitter.
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Thank you all for reading & let’s win some money & get those takedowns this weekend! I want all of you to enjoy the fights, so…enjoy.
-Monk AKA The Monkmatician AKA Monk Master Flecks