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Farmers Insurance Top DFS Picks 2023

Farmers Insurance Top DFS Picks

Golf kicks off a day early this week – tomorrow – in fact! Be sure to check out the research below and get your Farmers Insurance Top DFS Picks in quickly! We have an exciting field this week at the iconic Torrey Pines. We’ll see the most strokes gained on the North Course, with the South Course showing who actually has what it takes to win.

I’ve heavily weighted Approach and Driving Distance this week. You can create your own weighted models within our Member Exclusive Study hub.  

My goal isn’t to build your lineup for you, it’s to guide you by using my experience as a sports bettor and the membership tools available at Team Rise or Fall. With that being said… here are this week’s Farmers Insurance Top DFS Picks (after a word from our sponsor). 

We recently added Individual Sport Memberships to our offerings here at Rise or Fall. If you would like to subscribe to a PGA Monthly or PGA Weekly plan, you now have that option. 

Members have access to the PGA Study Hub, which I use heavily for my analysis here. My favorite feature is the PGA Stats Model Tab, which allows me to weight Strokes Gained and other stats by importance for that particular week and see new rankings.

All memberships come with Study Hub and Discord Access, however, only *Monthly ALL Access* plan comes with a $20 monthly credit to Fantasy Cruncher. 

Farmers Insurance Top DFS Picks

Tony Finau

  • $10.5 DraftKings
  • $11.4 FanDuel

Using the “PGA Stats Model” within our Member Exclusive StudyHub, I created a weighted model of my own. Finau ranks 20th overall in my model and is 4th in approach, (which I’m personally weighing heavily this week). Rostership will shake out at around 10%, maybe a little higher on FD once they notice he’s so well-priced. There are so many great players this week, we’ll see slightly lower rosterships all around. With the exception of Rahm… who everyone is in on this week.

Will Zalatoris

  • $9.7 DraftKings
  • $11.1 FanDuel

Willy Z doesn’t rank too well in my model at 45th, but I do like his course history and his recent play. At this event, he’s placed 2nd and 6th, respectively and last week at The Amex, he placed 36th, but scored us a bunch of points. The guy is out to win. When I use my secret course tool… Will shakes out really well here, so even though I’m not getting all of the validations that I typically like to see, I’m going with it. Last week, he tore it up and I expect to see much of the same this week. Oh – and he drives well over 300 yards off the tee, which will be necessary for the winner. 

Max Homa

  • $9.1 DraftKings
  • $10.6 FanDuel

Homa ranks 11th in my personal weighted model in looking at Farmers Insurance Top DFS Picks. He’s played very well in his last 10 events and has some decent course history here (outside of his last appearance at The Farmers). He placed 3rd a couple of weeks ago at the Tournament of Champions in Hawaii. I have a soft spot for Max… but I’m trying to not let that cloud my judgment here. He’s 305+ off the tee and he’s going to need that distance. As I’ve already mentioned, being able to drive over 300 yards will give these guys an advantage that I like at Torrey Pines.

Jason Day

  • $8.8 DraftKings
  • $10.5 FanDuel

2017 Torrey Pines Champion, Jason Day, used to be one of my favorite golfers, but he really hurt himself and then fell off the map. He seems to be back on track though, really playing well lately. I’m happy to see him strong again. Clearly, the therapy on his back has been working. He’s ranking 9th in my weighted model and looks good against my super secret course tool. I’m liking it more and more every time I look at this pick. He placed 3rd here last year and I would expect him to be very competitive again this year. With a Round 4 scoring average of 66 and driving 304+ off the tee… we’re in for a great week of golf from JDay. 

Additional Picks to Consider

Thomas Detry ($7.6 DK $8.9 FD)

Ranks 14th in my model. The longest driver off the tee has no course history but has been playing really well. For instance, he placed 26th last week and managed well over 100 FFPG. 

Taylor Pendrith ($7.9 DK $9.5 FD)

Ranks 36th in my model – which isn’t amazing, but also isn’t terrible. He played well at this event last year, coming in 16th. And he has one of the longest drives in this field at 314+ yards OTT.

Si Woo Kim ($8.9 DK $10.3 FD)

Ranks 22 using my personal weighted model created in the Member Exclusive StudyHub. Si Woo Kim placed 11th in this tournament last year and strikes right at 300 yards off the tee. 

And a Couple of WTF Picks (Thanks Mr. Hallas)

  • Ben Griffin $7.3 DK $8.5 FD
  • Patrick Rodgers ($7.3 DK $9.0 FD)

🏆 Hey Champ… Thanks so much for reading. If you have any questions, my DMs are open on Twitter @KellyInPhoenix. Don’t be a stranger, say “hello”!

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