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MLB DFS Lineup Study 4/18/2022

Top 4 MLB DFS Picks for DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo Fantasy Baseball Targets 9-1

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS Lineup Study review article. In this article, we’re going to take a look at the winning lineups from the popular 20 max and 150 max tournaments on Draftkings as well as the popular 150 max tournament on Fanduel.

The purpose of this review will be to identify roster construction trends that will help us make better lineup decisions as we construct our own lineups each day.

Make sure you’re in our Free Discord chat as myself and hundreds of our members discuss these strategies daily, also, if you’re not doing so already, make sure you’re following all of the Rise or Fall social media accounts so you don’t miss any breaking news.

I’ll be using Fantasy Cruncher to help me review each of these lineups. All of our Rise or Fall members save $20 per month on their Fantasy Cruncher subscription, so, if you’re not signed up yet, what are you waiting for?

Welcome to day 11 of MLB Lineup Study.  Come join me, as well as some of the best minds in the business, in the Team Rise or Fall discord in the Ronin-mlb channel if you have comments or questions or just want to talk about trends you are seeing.  You can also find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/patkingpin

For the MLB lineup study, we are looking at the winners of the MLB Relay Throw 150 max and the MLB Four-Seamer 20 max tournaments on Draftkings and we are also looking at the MLB Squeeze 150 max tournament on Fanduel.  Please note, I am only looking at Main slates for each site.   

I hope everyone had a great Easter!  Now is the time of year when we start to settle into our processes, and we start to see the trends developing and unfolding right before our eyes.  For a data guy like me, this makes the lineup study even more exciting this time of year. Let’s keep the momentum going.  The team Rise or Fall website has you covered for all things MLB, NBA, and NHL as well as NASCAR, MMA, and PGA!  You can click here for our NHL home page and then enjoy all of our NHL content which has access to the Cores, the Study Hub, Detroit Beastie’s Hot Pucking Stacks Article and all of the other great content we have to offer.https://teamriseorfall.com/nhl-dfs/

Let’s get to the stats. Draftkings first, then scroll down for Fanduel.

DRAFTKINGS LINEUP STUDY

Last night the 2 winning lineups used 14 batters and 2 pitchers combined.    

Hitter Projections – Last night 12 out of 14 hitters had a projection over 5.  Total over 11 slates is 93%.  Last night 7 out of 14 hitters had a projection over 7.  Total over 11 slates is 67%.

Hitter Rating – Last night 11 out of 14 hitters had a rating over 50.  Total over 11 slates is 83%. Last night 3 out of 14 players had a Rating over 60.  Total over 11 slates is 38%.

Hitter 85% – Last night 7 out of 14 players had an 85% percentile rating of over 20. Total over 11 slates is 67%.

A or B – 7 out of 14 players had a Projected Tier or Value Tier rating of A or B.  Total over 11 slates is 58%.

Hitter wOBA last 50 PA – 8 out of 14 hitters had a wOBA over .300 in their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 11 slates is 61%.  Hitter wOBA last 50 PA over .400 – 4 out of 14 hitters had a .400 wOBA over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 11 slates is 30%.

Hitter ISO over last 50 PA – 7 out of 14 hitters had an ISO of over .200 over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 11 slates is 41%.  6 out of 14 hitters had an ISO of over .250 in their last 50 plate appearances. Total over 11 slates is 34%. 

Stack size – Last night we saw a 5/2 and a naked 2 man stack from the winners.  So far this season we have seen stack sizes of all types winning tournaments.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long breakdown.

Stack Gap (Main Stack) – Last night the winners used a 2 gap in their stacks.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Batting order of Main Stack – Last night the winners used 2,4,5,7,8 in their batting order for the main stacks. See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals of batting positions used in main stacks. 

Total Stack Rating (Stack Tab of the Hub) – Stacks of at least 3 players had a team stack rating last night of 469.87.   See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Total Lineup Salary – Last night total lineup salary was $49,700 and $50,000 by the winners.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Pitchers Salary – Pitchers combined salary used was $18,200 by both of the winners.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals. 

Individual Pitcher Salary – Last night the winners used salaries of $10,000 and $8,200 in their lineups.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Vegas Win % of Pitcher – The winning pitchers had Vegas Win% of 73.0 and 63.1.  Total over 11 slates is in the chart below. 

Vegas Opp run total – The winning pitchers had Vegas Opponent run totals of 3.12 and 3.42.  Total over 11 slates is in the chart below.

Pitcher K% – The winning pitchers last night had K% of 27.42 and 25.23.  We had MacKenzie Gore making his first start last night.  Total over 11 slates is in the chart below.  

Pitcher Opponent K% – The winning pitchers had an opponent K% of 26.41 and 24.13.  Total over 11 slates is in the chart below. 

Total Lineup Ownership – Last night’s winners had 161.4 and 174.4 total ownership used respectively.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals. 

Ownership – Last night the winners both used 5 players under 10% owned.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals. 

DRAFTKINGS SEASON TOTALS

 

Last Nights winners and Study Hub

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FANDUEL LINEUP STUDY

For Fanduel lineup study we are only looking at the winner of the MLB Squeeze 150 max tournament.  The winning lineup will always have 8 hitters and 1 pitcher.  Keep in mind, the numbers represent only players from the winning lineups. 

Hitter Projections – Last night 4 out of 8 hitters had a projection over 9.  Total over 11 slates is 80%.  Last night 4 out of 8 hitters had a projection over 10.  Total over 11 slates is 61%.

Hitter Rating – Last night 6 out of 8 hitters had a rating over 50.  Total over 11 slates is 84%. Last night 2 out of 8 hitters had a rating over 60.  Total over 11 slates is 38%.

A or B – 5 out of 8 players had a Projected Tier or Value Tier rating of A or B.  Total over 11 slates is 55%.

Hitter wOBA last 50 PA – 5 out of 8 hitters had a wOBA over .300 in their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 11 slates is 70%.  Hitter wOBA last 50 PA over .400 – 1 out of 8 hitters had a .400 wOBA over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 11 slates is 36%.

Hitter ISO over last 50 PA – 3 out of 8 hitters had an ISO of over .200 over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 11 slates is 45%.  2 out of 8 hitters had an ISO of over .250 in their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 11 slates is 38%.    

Utility Spot – Last night the winner used an OF eligible player in the utility spot.  Total over 11 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Stack size – Last night we saw a Naked 4 stack used by the winner.  Total over 11 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Stack Gap (Main Stack) – Last night the winner used a 2 Gap in their 4 man stacks. Total over 11 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.   

Batting order of Main Stack – last night the 4 man stacks used players batting 2,3,7,8 in the main stacks.  Total over 11 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Total Lineup Salary – Last night the total lineup salary was $34,800.  Total over 11 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Pitcher’s Salary – Pitcher’s salary used was $10,000 by the winner.  Total over 11 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Vegas Win % of Pitcher – The winning pitcher had a 73% Vegas Win projection.  Total over 11 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Vegas Opp run total – The winning pitcher had a 3.12 projected run total for their opponent.  Total over 11 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Pitcher K% – The winning pitcher had a K% of 27.42.  Total over 11 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Pitcher Opponent Team K% – The winning pitcher had an opponent team K% of 26.41. Total over 11 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Total Lineup Ownership – Last night’s winner had a 105.6 total lineup ownership.  Total over 11 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Ownership – Last night the winner used 5 players under 10% owned.  Total over 11 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

FANDUEL SEASON TOTALS

 

That is our look at last night and the season. As always, if you want to discuss any of this, you can find me in TROF discord in the ronin-mlb channel.  I am always looking for ways to improve the article or just to hear any feedback you might have.

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