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MLB DFS Lineup Study 4/19/2022

Top 4 MLB DFS Picks for DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo Fantasy Baseball Targets 9-1

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS Lineup Study review article. In this article, we’re going to take a look at the winning lineups from the popular 20 max and 150 max tournaments on Draftkings as well as the popular 150 max tournament on Fanduel.

The purpose of this review will be to identify roster construction trends that will help us make better lineup decisions as we construct our own lineups each day.

Make sure you’re in our Free Discord chat as myself and hundreds of our members discuss these strategies daily, also, if you’re not doing so already, make sure you’re following all of the Rise or Fall social media accounts so you don’t miss any breaking news.

I’ll be using Fantasy Cruncher to help me review each of these lineups. All of our Rise or Fall members save $20 per month on their Fantasy Cruncher subscription, so, if you’re not signed up yet, what are you waiting for?

Welcome to day 12 of MLB Lineup Study.  Come join me, as well as some of the best minds in the business, in the Team Rise or Fall discord in the Ronin-mlb channel if you have comments or questions or just want to talk about trends you are seeing.  You can also find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/patkingpin

For the MLB lineup study, we are looking at the winners of the MLB Relay Throw 150 max and the MLB Four-Seamer 20 max tournaments on Draftkings and we are also looking at the MLB Squeeze 150 max tournament on Fanduel.  Please note, I am only looking at Main slates for each site.   

Need some strategy but looking for a pretty face to go along with it?  Head over to the Youtube channel for Donuts’ streams and strategy videos as well as Detroit Beastie’s “Beasties Boomers” videos where he tells you everyday who he likes for that slate.  You can find the Youtube channel by clicking here! https://www.youtube.com/c/DFSnDONUTS .  The Team Rise or Fall website has you covered for all things MLB, NBA, and NHL as well as NASCAR, MMA, and PGA!  You can click here for our NHL homepage and then enjoy all of our NHL content which has access to the Cores, the Study Hub, Detroit Beastie’s Hot Pucking Stacks Article and all of the other great content we have to offer.  https://teamriseorfall.com/nhl-dfs/ 

Let’s get to the stats. Draftkings first, then scroll down for Fanduel.

DRAFTKINGS LINEUP STUDY

Last night the 2 winning lineups used 13 batters and 3 pitchers combined.    

Hitter Projections – Last night 12 out of 13 hitters had a projection over 5.  Total over 12 slates is 93%.  Last night 9 out of 13 hitters had a projection over 7.  Total over 12 slates is 67%.

Hitter Rating – Last night we had a slight glitch in the matrix, so I will reference the night before.  That night 11 out of 13 hitters had a rating over 50.  Total over 12 slates is 83%. The night before last night 3 out of 13 players had a Rating over 60.  Total over 12 slates is 38%.

Hitter 85% – Last night 8 out of 13 players had an 85% percentile rating of over 20. Total over 12 slates is 66%.

A or B – 11 out of 13 players had a Projected Tier or Value Tier rating of A or B.  Total over 12 slates is 60%.

Hitter wOBA last 50 PA – 8 out of 13 hitters had a wOBA over .300 in their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 12 slates is 61%.  Hitter wOBA last 50 PA over .400 – 4 out of 13 hitters had a .400 wOBA over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 12 slates is 30%.

Hitter ISO over last 50 PA – 3 out of 13 hitters had an ISO of over .200 over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 12 slates is 39%.  2 out of 13 hitters had an ISO of over .250 in their last 50 plate appearances. Total over 12 slates is 32%. 

Stack size – Last night we saw a 5/2 and a naked 3/3 stack from the winners.  So far this season we have seen stack sizes of all types winning tournaments.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long breakdown.

Stack Gap (Main Stack) – Last night the winners used a 1,2, and a 3 gap in their stacks of 3 or more.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Batting order of Main Stack – Last night the winners used 2,3,5,6,7 as well as 2,3,7 and 1,2,5 in their batting order for the main stacks.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals of batting positions used in main stacks. 

Total Stack Rating (Stack Tab of the Hub) – Stacks of at least 3 players had a team stack rating last night of 370.44 and 430.91.   See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Total Lineup Salary – Last night total lineup salary was $44,200 and $50,000 by the winners.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Pitchers Salary – Pitchers combined salary used was $17,700 and $15,400 by the winners.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals. 

Individual Pitcher Salary – Last night the winners used salaries of $9,600, $8,100 and $7,300 in their lineups.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Vegas Win % of Pitcher – The winning pitchers had Vegas Win% of 64.9, 59.2 and 55.6.  Total over 12 slates is in the chart below. 

Vegas Opp run total – The winning pitchers had Vegas Opponent run totals of 4.04, 3.75 and 2.92.  Total over 12 slates is in the chart below.

Pitcher K% – The winning pitchers last night had K% of 27.67, 25.7 and 25.71.  Total over 12 slates is in the chart below.  

Pitcher Opponent K% – The winning pitchers had an opponent K% of 25.66, 25.47 and 24.21.  Total over 12 slates is in the chart below. 

Total Lineup Ownership – Last night’s winners had 163.6 and 99.4 total ownership used respectively.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals. 

Ownership – Last night the winners used 7 and 5 players under 10% owned.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Draftkings Season Totals

Last Nights winners and Study Hub

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FANDUEL LINEUP STUDY

For Fanduel lineup study we are only looking at the winner of the MLB Squeeze 150 max tournament.  The winning lineup will always have 8 hitters and 1 pitcher.  Keep in mind, the numbers represent only players from the winning lineups. 

Hitter Projections – Last night 7 out of 8 hitters had a projection over 9.  Total over 12 slates is 80%.  Last night 7 out of 8 hitters had a projection over 10.  Total over 12 slates is 64%.

Hitter Rating – Last night we had a slight glitch in the matrix, so I will reference the night before.  The night before last night 6 out of 8 hitters had a rating over 50.  Total over 12 slates is 84%. The night before last night 2 out of 8 hitters had a rating over 60.  Total over 12 slates is 38%.

A or B – 7 out of 8 players had a Projected Tier or Value Tier rating of A or B.  Total over 12 slates is 57%.

Hitter wOBA last 50 PA – 6 out of 8 hitters had a wOBA over .300 in their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 12 slates is 71%.  Hitter wOBA last 50 PA over .400 – 0 out of 8 hitters had a .400 wOBA over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 12 slates is 33%.

Hitter ISO over last 50 PA – 1 out of 8 hitters had an ISO of over .200 over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 12 slates is 43%.  1 out of 8 hitters had an ISO of over .250 in their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 12 slates is 35%.    

Utility Spot – Last night the winner used an OF eligible player in the utility spot.  Total over 12 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Stack size – Last night we saw a 3/3 stack used by the winner.  Total over 12 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Stack Gap (Main Stack) – Last night the winner used a 3 Gap in both of their 3 man stacks. Total over 12 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.   

Batting order of Main Stack – last night the 3 man stacks used players batting 1,4,6 and 2,3,7 in the main stacks.  Total over 12 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Total Lineup Salary – Last night the total lineup salary was $35,000.  Total over 12 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Pitcher’s Salary – Pitcher’s salary used was $6,700 by the winner.  Total over 12 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Vegas Win % of Pitcher – The winning pitcher had a 59.2% Vegas Win projection.  Total over 12 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Vegas Opp run total – The winning pitcher had a 4.04 projected run total for their opponent.  Total over 12 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Pitcher K% – The winning pitcher had a K% of 25.7.  Total over 12 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Pitcher Opponent Team K% – The winning pitcher had an opponent team K% of 25.66. Total over 12 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Total Lineup Ownership – Last night’s winner had a 110.5 total lineup ownership.  Total over 12 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Ownership – Last night the winner used 4 players under 10% owned.  Total over 12 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Fanduel Season Totals

That is our look at last night and the season. As always, if you want to discuss any of this, you can find me in TROF discord in the ronin-mlb channel.  I am always looking for ways to improve the article or just to hear any feedback you might have.

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