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MLB DFS Lineup Study 5/15/2022

Top 4 MLB DFS Picks for DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo Fantasy Baseball Targets 9-1

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS Lineup Study review article. In this article, we’re going to take a look at the winning lineups from the popular 20 max and 150 max tournaments on Draftkings as well as the popular 150 max tournament on Fanduel.

The purpose of this review will be to identify roster construction trends that will help us make better lineup decisions as we construct our own lineups each day.

Make sure you’re in our Free Discord chat as myself and hundreds of our members discuss these strategies daily, also, if you’re not doing so already, make sure you’re following all of the Rise or Fall social media accounts so you don’t miss any breaking news.

I’ll be using Fantasy Cruncher to help me review each of these lineups. All of our Rise or Fall members save $20 per month on their Fantasy Cruncher subscription, so, if you’re not signed up yet, what are you waiting for?

Welcome to day 38 of MLB Lineup Study.  Come join me, as well as some of the best minds in the business, in the Team Rise or Fall discord in the Ronin-mlb channel if you have comments or questions or just want to talk about trends you are seeing.  You can also find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/patkingpin

BIG NOTE: I had some trouble pulling Fanduel data for yesterday’s slate so today will only have a breakdown for Draftkings.  I will still include the charts with updated data through Friday night’s games.  Full breakdown will return tomorrow. 

For the MLB lineup study, we are looking at the winners of the MLB Relay Throw 150 max and the MLB Four-Seamer 20 max tournaments on Draftkings and we are also looking at the MLB Squeeze 150 max tournament on Fanduel.  Please note, I am only looking at Main slates for each site.   

The Team Rise or Fall website has you covered for all things MLB, NBA, and NHL as well as NASCAR, MMA, and PGA!  For today’s NASCAR race, our guy Nate has you covered on using his Targets to help build your lineups.  See what he has to say for free today right here https://teamriseorfall.com/nascar-dfs-cup-series-targets-kansas-speedway/ .           Also, as an added bonus, we are also giving you all of our coaches’ NASCAR Cub core picks free for everyone today! Click here to access our NASCAR Cores page https://teamriseorfall.com/nascar-dfs-lineup-core-builds/ .

Let’s get to the stats. Draftkings first, then scroll down for Fanduel.

DRAFTKINGS LINEUP STUDY

Last night was a 3 game slate and the 2 winning lineups used 12 batters and 2 pitchers combined. Keep in mind, the main slate for Draftkings yesterday was the afternoon start.   

Hitter Projections – Last night 11 out of 12 hitters had a projection over 5.  Total over 38 slates is 93%.  Last night 11 out of 12 hitters had a projection over 7.  Total over 38 slates is 64%.

Hitter Rating – Last night 12 out of 12 hitters had a rating over 50.  Total over 38 slates is 84%. Last night 10 out of 12 players had a Rating over 60.  Total over 38 slates is 44%.

Hitter 85% – Last night 11 out of 12 players had an 85% percentile rating of over 20. Total over 38 slates is 64%.

A or B – 12 out of 12 players had a Projected Tier or Value Tier rating of A or B.  Total over 38 slates is 66%.

Hitter wOBA last 50 PA – 8 out of 12 hitters had a wOBA over .300 in their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 38 slates is 60%.  Hitter wOBA last 50 PA over .400 – 2 out of 12 hitters had a .400 wOBA over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 38 slates is 23%.

Hitter ISO over last 50 PA – 4 out of 12 hitters had an ISO of over .200 over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 38 slates is 35%.  4 out of 12 hitters had an ISO of over .250 in their last 50 plate appearances. Total over 38 slates is 24%. 

Stack size – Last night we saw a 4/3 and a Naked 4 stack from the winners.  So far this season we have seen stack sizes of all types winning tournaments.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long breakdown.

Stack Gap (Main Stack) – Last night the winners used a 0 gap and a 2 gap in their stacks of 3 or more.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Batting order of Main Stack – Last night the winners used 4,5,6,7 and 2,4,5,7 in their batting order for the main stacks of 3 or more players.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals of batting positions used in main stacks. 

Total Stack Rating (Stack Tab of the Hub) – Main stacks of at least 3 players had a team stack rating last night of 68.73.   See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.  Please note that this stat was updated recently, and data will be from 4/28/2022 forward in the chart.

Vegas Implied Run Totals Main Stacks – Main stacks of at least 3 players had a Vegas Implied Run Total of 6.42.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Total Lineup Salary – Last night total lineup salary was $49,800 and $48,600 by the winners.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Pitchers Salary – Pitchers combined salary used was $18,600 by both the winners.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals. 

Individual Pitcher Salary – Last night the winners used salaries of $9,800 and $8,800 in their lineups.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Vegas Win % of Pitcher – The winning pitchers had Vegas Win% of 60.8 and 53.5.  Total over 38 slates is in the chart below. 

Vegas Opp run total – The winning pitchers had Vegas Opponent run totals of 4.09 and 3.52.  Total over 38 slates is in the chart below.

Pitcher K% – The winning pitchers last night had K% of 31.96 and 27.44.  Total over 38 slates is in the chart below.  

Pitcher Opponent K% – The winning pitchers had an opponent K% of 26.39 and 20.53.  Total over 38 slates is in the chart below. 

Total Lineup Ownership – Last night’s winners had 186.7 and 154.8 total ownership used.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals. 

Ownership – Last night the winners used 5 and 2 players under 10% owned.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Draftkings Season Totals

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FANDUEL LINEUP STUDY

BIG NOTE: I had some trouble pulling Fanduel data for yesterday’s slate so today will only have a breakdown for Draftkings.  I will still include the charts with updated data through Friday night’s games.  Full breakdown will return tomorrow. 

Fanduel Season Totals

That is our look at last night and the season. As always, if you want to discuss any of this, you can find me in TROF discord in the ronin-mlb channel.  I am always looking for ways to improve the article or just to hear any feedback you might have.

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