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MLB DFS Lineup Study 5/18/2022

Top 4 MLB DFS Picks for DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo Fantasy Baseball Targets 9-1

Welcome to today’s MLB DFS Lineup Study review article. In this article, we’re going to take a look at the winning lineups from the popular 20 max and 150 max tournaments on Draftkings as well as the popular 150 max tournament on Fanduel.

The purpose of this review will be to identify roster construction trends that will help us make better lineup decisions as we construct our own lineups each day.

Make sure you’re in our Free Discord chat as myself and hundreds of our members discuss these strategies daily, also, if you’re not doing so already, make sure you’re following all of the Rise or Fall social media accounts so you don’t miss any breaking news.

I’ll be using Fantasy Cruncher to help me review each of these lineups. All of our Rise or Fall members save $20 per month on their Fantasy Cruncher subscription, so, if you’re not signed up yet, what are you waiting for?

Welcome to day 41 of MLB Lineup Study.  Come join me, as well as some of the best minds in the business, in the Team Rise or Fall discord in the Ronin-mlb channel if you have comments or questions or just want to talk about trends you are seeing.  You can also find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/patkingpin

For the MLB lineup study, we are looking at the winners of the MLB Relay Throw 150 max and the MLB Four-Seamer 20 max tournaments on Draftkings and we are also looking at the MLB Squeeze 150 max tournament on Fanduel.  Please note, I am only looking at Main slates for each site.   

The Team Rise or Fall website has you covered for all things MLB, NBA, and NHL as well as NASCAR, MMA, and PGA!  Have you always wanted to try PGA DFS but didn’t know where to start, how about some lineup advice from our good friend Kelly? Click the link here https://teamriseorfall.com/dfs-lineup-advice-for-the-pga-championship-2022/

BONUS FREE CONTENT – Team Rise or Fall is also giving you the PGA Study Hub for free today!  Build your PGA lineups using Kelly’s advice for this week’s tournament using the best projections out there.  Click here for the PGA Study Hub! https://teamriseorfall.com/pga-dfs-projections-study-hub/ .

Let’s get to the stats. Draftkings first, then scroll down for Fanduel.

DRAFTKINGS LINEUP STUDY

Last night was a 10 game slate and the 2 winning lineups used 10 batters and 3 pitchers combined. Keep in mind, the main slate for Draftkings yesterday was the afternoon start.   

Hitter Projections – Last night 12 out of 13 hitters had a projection over 5.  Total hitters with at least a 5 projection over 41 slates is 93%.  Last night 10 out of 13 hitters had a projection over 7.  Total over 41 slates is 66%.

Hitter Rating – Last night 12 out of 13 hitters had a rating over 50.  Total over 41 slates is 85%. Last night 11 out of 13 players had a Rating over 60.  Total over 41 slates is 47%.

Hitter 85% – Last night 12 out of 13 players had an 85% percentile rating of over 20. Total over 41 slates is 65%.

A or B – 9 out of 13 players had a Projected Tier or Value Tier rating of A or B.  Total over 41 slates is 66%.

Hitter wOBA last 50 PA – 9 out of 13 hitters had a wOBA over .300 in their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 41 slates is 61%.  Hitter wOBA last 50 PA over .400 – 6 out of 13 hitters had a .400 wOBA over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 41 slates is 24%.

Hitter ISO over last 50 PA – 5 out of 13 hitters had an ISO of over .200 over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 41 slates is 35%.  5 out of 13 hitters had an ISO of over .250 in their last 50 plate appearances. Total over 41 slates is 25%. 

Stack size – Last night we saw a naked 4 and a 2/2/2 stack from the winners.  So far this season we have seen stack sizes of all types winning tournaments.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long breakdown.

Stack Gap (Main Stack) – Last night the winners used a a 2 gap in their main stacks of 3 or more.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Batting order of Main Stack – Last night the winners used 1,5,6,7 in their batting order for the main stacks of 3 or more players.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals of batting positions used in main stacks. 

Total Stack Rating (Stack Tab of the Hub) – Main stacks of at least 3 players had a team stack rating last night of 68.05.   See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.  Please note that this stat was updated recently, and data will be from 4/28/2022 forward in the chart.

Vegas Implied Run Totals Main Stacks – Main stacks of at least 3 players had a Vegas Implied Run Total of 6.00.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Total Lineup Salary – Last night total lineup salary was $50,000 and $49,100 by the winners.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Pitchers Salary – Pitchers combined salary used was $15,500 and $14,500 by the winners.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals. 

Individual Pitcher Salary – Last night the winners used salaries of $7,800, $7,700 and $6,800 in their lineups.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Pitcher Projection – The winning pitchers had Team Rise or Fall projections of 15.78, 15.02 and 11.65.  Total over 41 slates is in the chart below.

Pitcher Rating – The winning pitcher had TROF Hub Ratings of 71.46, 61.22 and 56.41.  Total over 41 slates is in the chart below.

Vegas Win % of Pitcher – The winning pitchers had Vegas Win% of 59.2. 59.2 and 52.4.  Total over 41 slates is in the chart below. 

Vegas Opp run total – The winning pitchers had Vegas Opponent run totals of 3.59, 3.41 and 3.37.  Total over 41 slates is in the chart below.

Pitcher K% – The winning pitchers last night had K% of 24.37, 23.97 and 21.44.  Total over 41 slates is in the chart below.  

Pitcher Opponent K% – The winning pitchers had an opponent K% of 25.82, 24.71 and 22.86.  Total over 41 slates is in the chart below. 

Total Lineup Ownership – Last night’s winners had 183.1 and 119.9 total ownership used.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals. 

Ownership – Last night the winners used 1 and 7 players under 10% owned.  See the chart at the bottom of the Draftkings section for the season long totals.

Draftkings Season Totals

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FANDUEL LINEUP STUDY

For Fanduel lineup study we are only looking at the winner of the MLB Squeeze 150 max tournament.  The winning lineup will always have 8 hitters and 1 pitcher.  Last night’s slate was a 10 game slate.    

Hitter Projections – Last night 7 out of 8 hitters had a projection over 9.  Total hitter over 9 projection over 41 slates is 77%.  Last night 6 out of 8 hitters had a projection over 10.  Total over 41 slates is 58%.

Hitter Rating – Last night 8 out of 8 hitters had a rating over 50.  Total over 41 slates is 85%. Last night 6 out of 8 hitters had a rating over 60.  Total over 41 slates is 49%.

Hitter 85% – Last night 8 out of 8 hitters had an 85% percentile rating of over 20. Total over 41 slates is 79%.

A or B – 7 out of 8 hitters had a Projected Tier or Value Tier rating of A or B.  Total over 41 slates is 65%.

Hitter wOBA last 50 PA – 7 out of 8 hitters had a wOBA over .300 in their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 41 slates is 67%.  Hitter wOBA last 50 PA over .400 – 5 out of 8 hitters had a .400 wOBA over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 41 slates is 27%.

Hitter ISO over last 50 PA – 6 out of 8 hitters had an ISO of over .200 over their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 41 slates is 43%.  3 out of 8 hitters had an ISO of over .250 in their last 50 plate appearances.  Total over 41 slates is 28%.    

Utility Spot – Last night the winner used an OF eligible player in the utility spot.  Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Stack size – Last night the winner used a 3 man stack.  Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Stack Gap (Main Stack) – Last night the winner used a 1 gap in their main stacks of 3 or more. Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.   

Batting order of Main Stack – Last night the winner used batting order 1,2,4 in their main stacks of 3 or more.  Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Stack Rating (Stack Tab of the Hub) – Last night the winner’s main stacks of 3 or more had a stack rating of 60.94.   Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Vegas Implied Run Totals Main Stacks – Last night the winner had a Vegas Implied Run total of 4.41 for their main stacks of 3 or more.  Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Total Lineup Salary – Last night the total lineup salary was $35,000.  Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Pitcher’s Salary – Pitcher’s salary used was $7,200 by the winner.  Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Pitcher TROF Projection – The winning pitcher had a TROF Study Hub projection of 28.76.  Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Pitcher TROF Rating – The winning pitcher had a TROF Study Hub rating of 64.24.  Total over 41 slates is below. 

Vegas Win % of Pitcher – The winning pitcher had a 59.2% Vegas Win projection.  Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Vegas Opp run total – The winning pitcher had a 3.59 projected run total for their opponent.  Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Pitcher K% – The winning pitcher had a K% of 23.97.  Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Pitcher Opponent Team K% – The winning pitcher had an opponent team K% of 24.71. Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Total Lineup Ownership – Last night’s winner had a 158.6 total lineup ownership.  Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below. 

Ownership – Last night the winner used 2 players under 10% owned.  Total over 41 slates is in the Fanduel charts below.

Fanduel Season Totals

That is our look at last night and the season. As always, if you want to discuss any of this, you can find me in TROF discord in the ronin-mlb channel.  I am always looking for ways to improve the article or just to hear any feedback you might have.

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