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MLB DFS Picks for Friday 4/30/21

This MLB DFS Picks article is a Morning Preview I’m going to publish daily. In this article, I will go game by game and quickly highlight some MLB DFS Picks in good spots today in each game. I will try not to make this a “deep dive” style article, but, I tend to get a little carried away so forgive me in advance.

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MLB DFS Picks for 4/30/21

Early Single Game

⚾ STL @ PIT 6:35pm

J.Brubaker – 4.16 xfip 23.9% k rate
190 iso vs RHB
targets – Arenado, Goldy

J.Gant – 4.53 xfip 22.9% k rate
332/163 woba/iso 42% HC vs LHB
targets – Reynolds, Moran

Main Slate

⚾ MIA @ WAS 7:05pm

J.Ross – 4.88 xfip 18.7% k rate
383/188 woba/iso 39% FB 39% HC vs LHB
177 iso vs RHB
targets – Duvall

P.Lopez – 4.02 xfip 23% k rate
341/178 woba/iso 40% HC vs LHB
targets – Bell, Schwarber

⚾ NYM @ PHI 7:05pm

C.Anderson – 5.08 xfip 21.4% k rate
366/249 woba/iso 40 % FB 43% HC vs RHB
targets – Alonso, Davis

M.Stroman – 3.93 xfip 20% k rate
very solid 323/137 woba/iso vs LHB and 261/097 woba/iso vs RHB
targets – Miller, Harper

⚾ DET @ NYY 7:05pm

G.Cole – 2.47 xfip 38.4% k rate
elite 42% K rate vs LHB but also allows a 202 iso 50% FB 37% HC vs LHB
targets – none

T.Skubal (L) small sample – 5.49 xfip 24.3% k rate
381/331 woba/iso 62% FB vs RHB
targets – LeMahieu, Stanton, Judge, Urshela, Torres

⚾ ATL @ TOR 7:07pm

R.Ray (L) – 4.49 xfip 30% k rate
357/236 woba/iso 42% FB 44% HC vs RHB
targets – Acuna, Ozuna, Albies

D.Smyly (L) – 4.81 xfip 25.7% k rate
362/353 woba/iso 46% FB 50% HC vs LHB
356/227 woba/iso 42% FB 47% HC vs RHB
targets – Springer, Bichette, Grichuk, Semien, Gurriel

⚾ HOU @ TB 7:10pm

R.Yarbrough (L) – 4.23 xfip 19.3% k rate
great woba/iso numbers vs both LHB and RHB but HOU in play because of their great lineup
targets – Altuve, Bregman, Alvarez, Gurriel, Correa

L.McCullers – 3.75 xfip 26.9% k rate
365/224 woba/iso 38% HC vs RHB
targets – Lowe, Arozarena, Meadows

⚾ CHC @ CIN 7:10pm

W.Miley (L) – 4.54 xfip 19.1% k rate
solid woba/iso numbers but low K rate and solid CHC hitters keep them in play
targets – Contreras, Bryant, Rizzo, Baez

J.Arrieta – 4.58 xfip 18.6% k rate
367/202 woba/iso 41% HC vs LHB
targets – Winker, Castellanos, Votto, Suarez, Moustakas

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⚾ BOS @ TEX 8:05pm

K.Arihara – small sample – 5.29 xfip 14.3% k rate
375/255 woba/iso 53% HC vs RHB
targets – Verdugo, Martinez, Bogaerts, Devers

N.Eovaldi – 4.16 xfip 24% k rate
330/236 woba/iso 42% FB 40% HC vs LHB
351/165 woba/iso 36% HC vs RHB
targets – Gallo, Lowe, Garcia, Dahl

⚾ KC @ MIN 8:10pm

M.Pineda – 4.38 xfip 23.4% k rate
188 iso 42% FB 43% HC vs RHB
targets – Perez, Soler, Dozier

B.Singer – 3.93 xfip 24.5% k rate
solid woba/iso numbers but MIN has a great 2,3,4 lineup to stack most days
targets – Donaldson, Buxton, Cruz

⚾ CLE @ CHW 8:10pm

D.Keuchel (L) – 4.11 xfip 17% k rate
solid SP but very low 15.4% k rate vs RHB
targets – Luplow, Ramirez, Reyes

S.Bieber – 2.94 xfip 33.6% k rate
elite 34.4% k rate vs LHB and 32.8% k rate vs RHB
targets – looking for one offs only vs Bieber – Abreu, Mercedes

⚾ LAD @ MIL 8:10pm

F.Peralta – 3.8 xfip 33.4% k rate
333/229 woba/iso 44% FB 40% HC vs RHB
targets – Betts, Turner, Smith

M.White – small sample – 8.3 xfip 10.5% k rate
since 2019 only 7 LHB faced and 12 RHB
targets – Vogelbach, Narvaez, Taylor

⚾ BAL @ OAK 9:40pm

M.Fiers – 5.24 xfip 16.1% k rate
329/186 woba/iso 37% FB 39% HC vs RHB
targets – Mancini

J.Means (L) – 5.06 xfip 20.7% k rate
191 iso 47% Fb vs RHB
targets – Canha, Laureano, Chapman

⚾ COL @ ARI 9:40pm

M.Bumgarner (L) – 4.62 xfip 22.7% k rate
335/220 woba/iso 40% FB 45% HC vs RHB
targets – Story, Cron, Blackmon

J.Gray – 4.37 xfip 21.9% k rate
344/202 woba/iso 43% HC vs LHB
targets – Peralta, Escobar

⚾ SFG @ SDP 10:10pm

Y.Darvish – 3.41 xfip 31% k rate
190 iso 37% HC vs LHB
targets – La Stella, Belt, Dickerson

L.Webb – 4.36 xfip 20.5% k rate
351 woba 43% HC vs LHB
352/168 woba/iso 38% HC vs RHB
targets – Tatis, Croneworth, Hosmer

⚾ LAA @ SEA 10:10pm

C.Flexen – small sample – 5.67 xfip 18.5% k rate
targets – Ohtani, Trout, Rendon, Walsh

A.Heaney (L) – 4.04 xfip 28.3% k rate
185 iso 42% FB 46% HC vs RHB
targets – Haniger, Seager, Lewis

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Rise or Fall MLB Tools 2021

MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)

The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.

MLB Strategy Notebook

The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!

MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)

The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.

MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft

The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)

The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.

MLB Strategy Notebook

The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!

MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)

The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.

MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft

The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.

DFSnDonuts MLB DFS Strategy for DraftKings 5/13
MLB DFS Lineup Building Members Only Strategy Session
MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings
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