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MLB DFS Picks for Friday May 7th

This MLB DFS Picks article is a Morning Preview I’m going to publish daily. In this article, I will go game by game and quickly highlight some MLB DFS Picks in good spots today in each game. I will try not to make this a “deep dive” style article, but, I tend to get a little carried away so forgive me in advance.

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MLB DFS Picks for 5/7/21

Early Game

⚾ PIT @ CHC 2:20pm

Z.Davies – 4.96 xfip 17% k rate
176 iso 38% FB vs LHB
targets – Frazier, Reynolds, Moran

T.Cahill – 4.77 xfip 20.4% k rate
363/259 woba/iso 43% HC vs LHB
355/201 woba/iso 43% HC vs RHB
targets – Pederson, Bryant, Rizzo, Contreras, Heyward

Main Slate

⚾ WAS @ NYY 7:05pm

J.Taillon – 4.22 xfip 23.3% k rate
334/191 woba/iso vs LHB
targets – Bell, Schwarber, Stevenson

P.Corbin (L) – 3.94 xfip 25.6% k rate
326/183 woba/iso 40% HC vs RHB
targets – LeMahieu, Stanton, Judge, Torres

⚾ BOS @ BAL 7:05pm

M.Harvey – 4.99 xfip 15.8% k rate
370/236 woba/iso 47% HC vs LHB
346/181 woba/iso vs RHB
targets – Verdugo, Bogaerts, Martinez, Devers

E.Rodriguez (L) – 3.93 xfip 25.2% k rate
solid woba/iso vs both LH and RH and above average K rate vs LH and RH
targets – Mancini, Franco

⚾ ARI @ NYM 7:10pm

D.Peterson (L) – 4.30 xfip 22.6% k rate
184 iso 40% HC vs RHB
targets – Kelly, Walker, Escobar

Z.Gallen – 4.02 xfip 28.7% k rate
very good 291 woba vs LH and 272 woba vs RH
elite K rate vs RHB 32.1%
targets – McNeil, Lindor, Conforto, Smith

⚾ MIN @ DET 7:10pm

T.Skubal (L) – 5.66 xfip 23.1% k rate
396/364 woba/iso 61% FB vs RHB
targets – Garver, Donaldson, Cruz

M.Shoemaker – 4.60 xfip 19.4% k rate
337/257 woba/iso 44% HC vs LHB
targets – Candelario, Goodrum

⚾ MIL @ MIA 7:10pm

T.Rogers (L) – 3.59 xfip 31.5% k rate
elite k rate 30% vs LH and 32% vs RH
191 iso 50% HC vs RHB
targets – Taylor, Garcia

B.Suter (L) – 3.26 xfip 24.4% k rate
great woba/iso 280/160 vs LH and 260/115 vs RHB
targets – Rojas, Duvall

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⚾ CIN @ CLE 7:10pm

Z.Plesac – 4.80 xfip 20.7% k rate
200 iso 37% FB 36% HC vs RHB
targets – Castellanos, Suarez

W.Miley (L) – 4.54 xfip 18.9% k rate
very good 264 woba vs LH and 324 woba vs RHB
sub par k rate vs both LH and RH
targets – Luplow, Ramirez, Reyes

⚾ PHI @ ATL 7:20pm

C.Morton – 3.35 xfip 29% k rate
elite k rate 33% vs LHB
targets – Hoskins, Realmuto

Z.Eflin – 4.28 xfip 29.9% k rate
361/241 woba/iso 40% FB 30% HC vs LHB
targets – Acuna, Freeman, Ozuna

⚾ SEA @ TEX 8:05pm

M.Foltynewicz – 4.74 xfip 21.5% k rate
331/253 woba/iso 47% FB 41% HC vs LHB
332/216 woba/iso 42% HC vs RHB
targets – Haniger, Seager, Lewis

C.Flexen – 5.98 xfip 16.8% k rate
small sample but worse vs RHB
only a 15.1% k rate 41% FB 38% HC vs RHB
targets – Garcia

⚾ TOR @ HOU 8:10pm

J.Urquidy – 4.51 xfip 19.9% k rate
343/200 woba/iso 45% FB 39% HC vs RHB
targets – Semien, Bichette, Guerrero

R.Stripling – 4.07 xfip 22.4% k rate
368/228 woba/iso 38% FB vs RHB
targets – Altuve, Brantley, Bregman, Alvarez, Gurriel, Correa

⚾ CHW @ KC 8:10pm

B.Keller – 5.02 xfip 16.6% k rate
very good woba/iso vs both LH and RH
targets – Anderson, Moncada, Abreu, Mercedes

C.Rodon (L) – 4.36 xfip 30.2% k rate
high FB% 47% and 45% vs LH / RH
targets – Merrifield, Santana, Soler, Dozier

⚾ COL @ STL 8:15pm

J.Flaherty – 3.56 xfip 29.3% k rate
not bad woba/iso numbers 278/150 vs LH and 258/133 vs RH
targets – Story, McMahon, Blackmon

A.Gomer (L) – 5.01 xfip 22% k rate
small sample but low K rate 14.1% vs RHB
targets – Edman, Carlson, Goldy, Arenado

⚾ LAD @ LAA 9:38pm

G.Canning – 4.81 xfip 25.1% k rate
196 iso 40% FB 39% HC vs LHB
335/212 woba/iso 45% FB 43% HC vs RHB
targets – Betts, Seager, Turner, Muncy, Smith

J.Urias (L) – 4.08 xfip 25.3% k rate
50% FB 45% HC vs LHB
targets – Ohtani, Trout

⚾ TB @ OAK 9:40pm

S.Manaea (L) – 3.77 xfip 23.7% k rate
192 iso vs LHB
targets – Arozarena, Meadows, Diaz, Brosseau

R.Hill (L) – 4.18 xfip 25.7% k rate
186 iso 40% HC vs RHB
targets – Canha, Laureano, Murphy, Chapman, Lowrie

⚾ SDP @ SDF 9:45pm

A.DeSclafani – 4.56 xfip 22.6% k rate
340/203 woba/iso 42% FB 45% HC vs LHB
much better vs RHB 269/150 woba/iso
targets – Grisham, Hosmer

B.Snell (L) – 3.23 xfip 32.4% k rate
elite K rate 38.1% vs LHB and 31% vs RHB
targets – Slater, Ruff, Longo, Flores

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Rise or Fall MLB Tools 2021

MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)

The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.

MLB Strategy Notebook

The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!

MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)

The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.

MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft

The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)

The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.

MLB Strategy Notebook

The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!

MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)

The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.

MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft

The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.

MLB DFS Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel
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