This MLB DFS Picks article is a Morning Preview I’m going to publish daily. In this article, I will go game by game and quickly highlight some MLB DFS Picks in good spots today in each game. I will try not to make this a “deep dive” style article, but, I tend to get a little carried away so forgive me in advance.
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⚾ KC @ DET 1:10pm
S.Turnbull – 4.60 xFIP 22.1% K rate
327 woba 41% HC vs LHB – 39% HC vs LHB
targets – Santana, Perez, Soler
B.Keller – 4.97 xFIP 16.7% K rate
very good 312/107 woba/iso vs LHB
and 291/129 woba/iso vs RHB
targets – Goodrum, Baddoo
⚾ MIN @ CLE 6:10pm
Z.Plesac – 4.56 xFIP 20.9% K rate
205 iso 38% FB 37% HC vs RHB
targets – Donalson, Cruz, Buxton
J.Berrios – 4.12 xFIP 24.6% K rate
166 iso 41% FB vs LHB
targets – Ramirez, Rosario, Reyes
MAIN SLATE
⚾ NYY @ BAL 7:05pm
M.Harvey – 4.74 xFIP 16.1% K rate
394/253 woba/iso 49% HC vs LHB
347/193 woba/iso 36% HC vs RHB
targets – everyone? LeMahieu, Stanton, Judge, Torres, Urshela, Hicks
D.Garcia (small sample) – 4.18 xFIP 21.9% K rate
354/269 woba/iso 50% HC vs RHB
targets – Mancini, Franco
⚾ CHC @ ATL 7:10pm
C.Morton – 3.31 xFIP 29.2% K rate
very good 299/150 woba/iso 32.2% K rate vs LHB
even better 263/101 woba/iso but lower 26.4% K rate vs RHB
one off targets – Happ, Contreras, Rizzo, Brant
Z.Davies – 4.89 xFIP 17.1% K rate
176 iso 38% FB and only 14.9% K rate vs LHB
very good 316/144 woba/iso but only 19.2% K rate vs RHB
targets – Acuna, Freema, Ozuna
⚾ OAK @ TB 7:10pm
R.Hill (L) – 4.25 xFIP 24.6% K rate
very good 281/049 woba/iso vs LHB
gives up power 187 iso 41% HC vs RHB
targets – Canha, Chapman, Laureano, Piscotty
S.Manaea (L) – 3.76 xFIP 23.4% K rate
207 iso 35% HC vs LHB
solid 289/159 woba/iso vs RHB
targets – Diaz, Arozarena, Brosseau
⚾ MIA @ MIL 7:40pm
C.Burnes – 2.95 xFIP 35.5% K rate
335/182 woba/iso 29.7% K rate vs LHB
259/149 woba/iso 41.4% K rate vs RHB
targets – Dickerson
T.Rogers (L) (small samples) – 3.63 xFIP 31.7% K rate
199 iso 37% FB 51% HC vs RHB
targets – Garcia
⚾ PHI @ STL 7:45pm
A.Wainwright – 4.25 xFIP 21.6% K rate
345/195 woba/iso 42% HC vs LHB
very solid 294/122 woba/iso vs RHB
targets – Harper, Gregorius, Miller
Z.Wheelers – 4.04 xFIP 22.6% K rate
not bad 319/133 woba/iso but not great 36% FB 36% HC vs LHB
very good 276/119 woba/iso vs RHB
targets – Goldy, Arenado
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⚾ LAA @ TEX 8:05pm
J.Lyles – 5.13 xFIP 21% K rate
365/222 woba/iso 43% FB 40% HC vs LHB
207 iso 39% FB 38% HC vs RHB
targets – Ohtani, Walsh, Trout
S.Ohtani (L) (small sample) – 6.49 xFIP 29.8% K rate
only 27 lefty batters faced and 30 righty batters faced since 2019
targets – Gallo, Solak, Calhoun
⚾ SEA @ HOU 8:10pm
J.Urquidy – 4.38 xFIP 20.5% K rate
very good 212/102 woba/iso vs LHB
not good 358/212 woba/iso 44% FB 41% HC vs RHB
targets – Haniger, France, Lewis
J.Sheffield (L) (small sample) – 4.52 xFIP 21.4% K rate
solid 277/122 woba/iso but bad 37% FB and 37% HC vs LHB
333 woba 40% HC vs RHB
targets – Correa, Bregman, Alvarez, Gurriel
⚾ COL @ SF 9:45pm
A.DeSclafani – 4.62 xFIP 22.6% K rate
349/213 woba/iso 43% FB 45% HC vs LHB
pretty good 276/153 woba/iso vs RHB
targets – Tapia, McMahon, Blackmon
A.Gomber (L) (small sample) – 4.83 xFIP 23% K rate
242/096 woba/iso vs LHB
275/089 woba/iso vs RHB
targets – Slater, Flores, Yaz, Longoria, Ruf
⚾ CIN @ LAD 10:10pm
J.Urias (L) – 4.20 xFIP 24.7% K rate
169 iso 50% FB 45% HC vs LHB
very solid 252/093 woba/iso vs RHB
targets – Castellanos, Suarez, Votto
T.Mahle – 4.07 xFIP 26.3% K rate
199 iso 43% FB 36% HC vs LHB
targets – Seager, Muncy, Smith
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Rise or Fall MLB Tools 2021
MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)
The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.
MLB Strategy Notebook
The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!
MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)
The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.
MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft
The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)
The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.
MLB Strategy Notebook
The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!
MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)
The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.
MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft
The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.
