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MLB DFS Picks for Monday 5/17/21

This MLB DFS Picks article is a Morning Preview I’m going to publish daily. In this article, I will go game by game and quickly highlight some MLB DFS Picks in good spots today in each game. I will try not to make this a “deep dive” style article, but, I tend to get a little carried away so forgive me in advance.

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MLB DFS Picks for 5/17/21

EARLY GAME

⚾ SFG @ CIN 6:40pm

S.Gray – 3.60 xfip 29.6% k rate
very good woba/iso numbers but high HC% allowed near 40% vs LHB and RHB
targets – Tauchman, Yaz, Belt, Dickerson

L.Webb – 4.16 xfip 21.4% k rate
346 woba 42% HC vs LHB
336 woba 38% HC vs RHB
targets – Winker, Castellanos, Moustakas, Suarez

MAIN SLATE

⚾ NYM @ ATL 7:10pm

M.Fried (L) – 3.50 xfip 24% k rate
325/156 woba/iso 39% HC vs RHB
targets – Lindor, Alonso, Pillar

T.Walker – 4.80 xfip 23% k rate
43% FB 43% HC vs LHB
targets – Acuna, Freeman, Ozuna

⚾ CHW @ MIN 7:40pm

J.Happ (L) – 4.81 xfip 20% k rate
337/234 woba/iso 43% FB 38% HC vs RHB
targets – Anderson, Abreu, Mercedes, Grandal, Vaughn

D.Keuchel (L) – 4.21 xfip 16.3% k rate
very good woba/iso numbers but very low 14.9% k rate vs RHB and HC% near 40% to both LH and RH
targets – Garlick, Donaldson, Cruz, Garver

⚾ WAS @ CHC 7:40pm

A.Alzolay – 4.07 xfip 29.9% k rate
342/233 woba/iso 38% FB 44% HC vs LHB
targets – Turner, Soto, Schwarber, Bell

J.Lester (L) – 4.67 xfip 19.8% k rate
339/184 woba/iso 39% HC vs RHB
targets – Contreras, Bryant, Rizzo, Baez

⚾ NYY @ TEX 8:05pm

J.Lyles – 5.17 xfip 21% k rate
371/224 woba/iso 42% FB 41% HC vs LHB
205 iso 39% FB 39% HC vs RHB
targets – LeMahieu, Stanton, Judge, Urshela, Voit

G.Cole – 2.43 xfip 38.4% k rate
202 iso 49% FB vs LHB
elite K rate 41.9% vs LHB and 35.2% vs RHB
targets – Lowe, Gallo

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⚾ CLE @ LAA 9:38pm

P.Sandoval (L) – 4.18 xfip 23% k rate
368/318 woba/iso 49% HC vs LHB
192 iso 44% HC vs RHB
targets – Luplow, Ramirez, Reyes

S.Hentges (L) – 5.46 xfip 22.2% k rate
small sample but really has struggled vs RHB
445/317 woba/iso 40% FB 40% HC vs RHB
targets – Trout, Rendon

⚾ COL @ SD 10:10pm

Y.Darvish – 3.48 xfip 31.1% k rate
190 iso 36% HC vs LHB
great k rate vs RHB 36.3%
targets – McMahon

J.Gray – 4.37 xfip 21.9% k rate
336/196 woba/iso 43% HC vs LHB
targets – Machado, Croneworth

⚾ DET @ SEA 10:10pm

Y.Kikuchi (L) – 4.57 xfip 19.1% k rate
178 iso 38% HC vs LHB
352/219 woba/iso 37% HC vs RHB
targets – Grossman, Schoop, Cabrera, Goodrum

C.Mize – 5.13 xfip 17.8% k rate
390/273 woba/iso 44% HC vs LHB
targets – Kelenic, Haniger, Seager, Lewis

⚾ ARI @ LAD 10:10pm

W.Buehler – 3.30 xfip 29.6% k rate
very good k rate 29.3% vs LHB and 29.9% vs RHB
gives up 40%+ HC to both LHB and RHB
targets – Peralta

M.Bumgarner (L) – 4.55 xfip 23.3% k rate
327/214 woba/iso 41% FB 45% HC vs RHB
targets – Betts, Turner, Taylor

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Rise or Fall MLB Tools 2021

MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)

The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.

MLB Strategy Notebook

The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!

MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)

The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.

MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft

The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)

The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.

MLB Strategy Notebook

The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!

MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)

The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.

MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft

The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.

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