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MLB DFS Picks for Tuesday 4/20

This MLB DFS Picks article is a Morning Preview I’m going to publish daily. In this article, I will go game by game and quickly highlight some MLB DFS Picks in good spots today in each game. I will try not to make this a “deep dive” style article, but, I tend to get a little carried away so forgive me in advance.

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MLB DFS Picks for 4/20/21

Early Slate

⚾ LAD @ SEA 4:10pm

M.Gonzales (L) 4.82 xFIP only 18.5% K rate
40% HC vs LHB – 40% FB vs RHB
– targets – Turner, Taylor, Muncy, Pollock

J.Urias (L) 4.27 xFIP 24% K rate
49% FB 45% HC vs LHB – 38% FB 38% HC vs RHB
– targets – Haniger, Seager, Murphy

⚾ CHW @ CLE 6:10pm

Z.Plesac – 4.60 xFIP 21% K rate
164 iso 38% FB vs LHB – 194 iso 38% FB 37% HC vs RHB
– targets – Moncada, Abreu, Mercedes, Grandal

C.Rodon (L) – 4.54 xFIP 27.6% K rate
44% FB 44% HC vs LHB – 44% FB vs RHB
– targets – Luplow, Ramirez, Reyes, Rosario

⚾ MIN @ OAK 6:30pm

S.Manaea (L) 3.77 xFIP 23.3% K rate
214 iso 37% HC vs LHB – 169 iso 42% HC vs RHB
– targets – Garver, Donaldson, Cruz, Garlick, Sano

M.Shoemaker – 4.21 xFIP 22.9% K rate
221 iso 37% FB 45% HC vs LHB – 175 iso 37% FB 44% HC vs RHB
– targets – Olson, Moreland, Canha, Chapman, Murphy

⚾ ATL @ NYY 6:35pm

J.Tailon – 4.24 xFIP 20.4% K rate
205 iso vs LHB – 191 iso vs RHB
– targets – Freeman, Ozuna, d’Arnaud

C.Morton – 3.29 xFIP 29.2% K rate
39% HC vs LHB – elite vs RHB
– targets – Hicks, Gardner, Odor

⚾ PIT @ DET 6:40pm

M.Fulmer (small sample) – 4.91 xFIP 17.8% K rate
500/392 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Evans, Reynolds, Moran

T.Anderson (L) – 5.50 xFIP 18% K rate
363/200 woba/iso vs LHB – 364/215 woba/iso 40% FB vs RHB
– targets – Goodrum, Ramos, Nunez, Castro, Shoop

⚾ BAL @ MIA 6:40pm

N.Neidert (small sample) – 6.24 xFIP 13.5% K rate
462 woba 43% HC vs LHB – 211 iso 47% HC vs RHB
– targets – Santander, Stewart, Mancini

M.Harvey – 4.88 xFIP 16.1% K rate
400/261 woba/iso 49% HC vs LHB – 347/202 woba/iso 35% HC vs RHB
– targets – Dickerson, Aguilar, Duvall, Anderson, Chisholm

⚾ ARI @ CIN 6:40pm

L.Castillo – 3.35 xFIP 28.7% K rate
177 iso 38% HC vs LHB – elite 257/102 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Calhoun, Cabrera, Peralta, Escobar

Z.Gallen – 3.97 xFIP 28.9% K rate
very good 284/141 woba/iso vs LHB and 281/132 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Winker, Suarez, Votto, Moustakas

MAIN SLATE

⚾ SF @ PHI 7:05pm

Z.Wheeler – 4.02 xFIP 22.6% K rate
solid vs both L/R but gives up more FB% and HC% to LHB
– targets – La Stella, Yaz, Belt, Dickerson

L.Webb – 4.41 xFIP 19.9% K rate
342 woba 42% HC vs LHB – 365/187 woba/iso

⚾ STL @ WAS 7:05pm

P.Corbin (L) – 3.85 xFIP 26.1% K rate
elite 268/084 woba/iso 33.5% K rate vs LHB – 324/180 woba/iso 41% HC vs RHB
– targets – Edman, Goldy, Arenado, Molina

A.Wainwright – 4.31 xFIP 21.2% K rate
346/193 woba/iso 41% HC vs LHB – better 295/123 woba/iso vs RHB but still 40% HC allowed
– targets – Turner, Soto, Bell, Schwarber

⚾ TOR @ BOS 7:10pm

E.Rodriguez (L) – 3.99 xFIP 25% K rate
172 iso vs LHB – very good 303/131 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Semien, Bichette, Grichuk, Gurriel (all righties so high-risk high reward)

H.Ryu (L) – 3.25 xFIP 23.5% K rate
very good vs both L and R – 236/128 woba/iso vs LHB – 283/130 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Martinez, Bogaerts, Renfroe

⚾ NYM @ CHC 7:40pm

J.Arrieta – 4.59 xFIP 18.2% K rate
377/214 woba/iso 41% HC vs LHB – better 304/112 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Lindor, Smith, McNeil, Conforto

T.Walker – 4.75 xFIP 23.3% K rate
349/232 woba/iso vs LHB – better 236/083 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Happ, Contreras, Rizzo, Bryant, Pederson

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⚾ TB @ KC 8:10pm

D.Keller – 4.93 xFIP 16.8% K rate
only 18% K rate and high 12.1% BB rate vs LHB – only 15.5% K rate and 38% HC vs RHB
– targets – Meadows, Arozarena, Lowe

R.Hill (L) – 4.20 xFIP 25% K rate
267/049 woba/iso vs LHB – 186 iso 40% HC vs RHB
– targets – Merrifield, Santana, Perez, Soler, Dozier

HOU @ COL 8:40pm

J.Gray – 4.41 xFIP 21.8% K rate
337/194 woba/iso 44% HC vs LHB – not as bad 158 iso 40% HC vs RHB
– targets – Tucker, Gurriel, Brantley, Correa, Diaz

L.Garcia (small sample) – 5.68 xFIP 19.8% K rate
348/265 woba/iso 48% FB 40% HC vs LHB
– targets – Blackmon, McMahon, Story

⚾ TEX @ LAA 9:38pm

S.Ohtani (L) (small sample) – 6.82xFIP 26.3% K Rate
346 woba vs LHB – 369 woba vs RHB
– targets – Dahl, Gallo, Solak

J.Lyles – 5.15 xFIP 21% K rate
367/224 woba/iso 44% FB 40% HC vs LHB – 204 iso 39% FB 39% HC vs RHB
– targets – Ohtani, Trout, Walsh

⚾ MIN @ OAK 10:00pm

J.Luzardo (L) – 4.08 xFIP 24.9% K rate
good vs LHB only 258/111 woba/iso – bad vs RHB 350/215 woba/iso 43% HC
– targets – Garver, Donaldson, Cruz, Garlick, Sano

J.Berrios – 4.10 xFIP 24.6% K rate
40% FB 39% HC vs LHB – great 298/128 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Canha, Laureano, Lowrie, Olson, Chapman

⚾ MIL @ SD 10:10pm

C.Paddack – 3.97 xFIP 25% K rate
208 iso 37% FB 40% HC vs LHB – 194 iso 38% FB 43% HC vs RHB
– targets – Bradley, Vogelbach, Hiura, Narvaez

C.Burnes – 3.01 xFIP 35.1% K rate
344/191 woba/iso 41% HC vs LHB – elite 40.8% K rate vs RHB
– targets – Grisham, Hosmer

Rise or Fall MLB Tools 2021

MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)

The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.

MLB Strategy Notebook

The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!

MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)

The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.

MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft

The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)

The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.

MLB Strategy Notebook

The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!

MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)

The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.

MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft

The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.

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