This MLB DFS Picks article is a Morning Preview I’m going to publish daily. In this article, I will go game by game and quickly highlight some MLB DFS Picks in good spots today in each game. I will try not to make this a “deep dive” style article, but, I tend to get a little carried away so forgive me in advance.
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Early Games
⚾LAD @ CHC 2:20pm
K.Hendricks 4.20 xfip 20.2% k rate
163 iso 40% FB vs LHB
targets – Seager, Muncy, Beaty
C.Kershaw (L) – 3.24 xfip 27.2% k rate
175 iso 38% HC vs LHB
targets – Rizzo, Baez, Bryant, Contreras
⚾ SF @ COL 5:40pm
G.Marquez – 3.73 xfip 23.3% k rate
177 iso 39% HC vs LHB
targets – Dickerson, Tauchman, Belt
A.Sanchez – 5.16 xfip 19.1% k rate
356/199 woba/iso 36% HC vs LHB
targets – McMahon, Blackmon, Story
⚾ CHW @ CIN 6:40pm
J.Hoffman – 5.59 xfipi 20.2% k rate
345/182 woba/iso 37% HC vs LHB
426/347 woba/iso 42% FB 46% HC vs RHB
targets – Anderson, Eaton, Moncada, Abreu, Grandal
D.Cease – 4.59 xfip 22.3% k rate
358/226 woba/iso vs LHB
184 iso 38% FB vs RHB
targets – Winker, Castellanos, Votto, Moustakas, Suarez
⚾ ARI @ MIA 6:40pm
S.Alcantara – 4.92 xfip 19.7% k rate
175 iso 38% FB vs LHB
targets – Escobar, Peralta, Vogt, Varsho
R.Smith – 5.02 xfip 17.2% k rate
42% FB 37% HC vs LHB
targets – Dickerson
Main Slate
⚾ MIL @ PHI 7:05pm
A.Nola – 3.59 xfip 28.2% k rate
162 iso 42% HC vs LHB
targets – Vogelbach, Yelich
E.Lauer (L) – 4.93 xfip 20.9% k rate
381/185 woba/iso 38% HC vs LHB
42% FB 41% HC vs RHB
targets – McCutchen, Hoskins, Bohm, Realmuto
⚾ ATL @ WAS 7:05pm
J.Ross – 4.88 xfip 18.7% k rate
383/168 woba/iso 38% FB 38% HC vs LHB
177 iso vs RHB
targets – Acuna, Freeman, Ozuna
H.Ynoa 4.26 xfip 24.2% k rate
341/262 woba/iso 44% HC vs RHB
targets – Turner, Bell
⚾ HOU @ NYY 7:05pm
D.German – 4.27 xfip 25% k rate
325/235 woba/iso 43% FB 38% HC vs LHB
196 iso 44% HC vs RHB
targets – Altuve, Brantley, Bregman, Alvarez, Gurriel, Correa, Tucker
Z.Greinke – 3.52 xfip 22.8% k rate
182 iso 41% FB 38% HC vs RHB
targets – LeMahieu, Stanton, Judge, Torres, Urshela
⚾ DET @ BOS 7:10pm
N.Pivetta – 4.96 xfip 22% k rate
344/223 woba/iso 37% FB 40% HC vs LHB
360/222 woba/iso 44% HC vs RHB
targets – Grossman, Cabrera, Baddoo
M.Fulmer – 4.94 xfip 18.2% k rate
463/312 woba/iso 39% HC vs RHB
targets – Martinez, Bogaerts, Devers, Verdugo
⚾ TEX @ MIN 7:40pm
J.Happ (L) – 4.76 xfip 20.3% k rate
331/230 woba/iso 43% FB 39% HC vs RHB
targets – Solak, Gallo, Calhoun
K.Gibson – 4.11 xfip 21.7% k rate
338/171 woba/iso 38% HC vs LHB
targets – Arraez, Krilloff, Polanco, Kepler
⚾ LAD @ CHC 7:40pm
A.Alzolay – 4.18 xfip 28.5% k rate
339/185 woba/iso 44% HC vs LHB
targets – Betters, Seager, Turner, Muncy, Smith
T.Bauer – 3.85 xfip 30.5% k rate
216 iso 44% FB 40% HC vs LHB
targets – Pederson, Rizzo, Heyward
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⚾ NYM @ STL 7:45pm
J.Oviedo – 4.97 xfip 18.1% k rate
341/175 woba/iso 43% HC vs RHB
targets – McNeil, Conforto, Alonso, Smith
J.deGrom – 2.69 xfip 35% k rate
elite 32.3% k rate vs LHB and 37.2% k rate vs RHB
targets – Goldy, Arenado
⚾ CLE @ KC 8:10pm
M.Minor (L) – 4.50 xfip 23.7% k rate
173 iso 40% FB 39% HC vs RHB
targets – Rosario, Ramirez, Reyes
S.Hertges (L) (small sample)
only 5 LH batters and 20 RH batters faced since 2019
targets – Merrifield, Santana, Soler, Dozier
⚾ SF @ COL 8:40pm
R.Castellani – 7.11 xfip 13.2% k rate
384/343 woba/iso 44% FB vs LHB
370/241 woba/iso 41% FB vs RHB
targets – Dickerson, Tauchman, Belt
A.Wood (L) – 4.08 xfip 23.5% k rate
191 iso vs LHB
335/219 woba/iso 44% HC vs RHB
targets – Story, Cron, Blackmon
⚾ TB @ LAA 9:38pm
A.Cobb – 4.28 xfip 18.9% k rate
329/184 woba/iso 42% HC vs LHB
392/285 woba/iso 47% HC vs RHB
targets – Arozarena, Meadows, Lowe
S.McClanahan (L) (small sample)
only 10 LH batters and 29 RH batters faced since 2019
targets – Trout, Rendon
⚾ TOR @ OAK 9:40pm
C.Irvin (L) – 4.69 xfip 18.7% k rate
391 woba 48% HC vs LHB
targets – Springer, Bichette, Guerrero, Hernandez, Grichuk, Semian, Gurriel
A.Kay (L) – 4.80 xfip 21.5% k rate
409/245 woba/iso 43% HC vs LHB
targets – Canha, Laureano, Olson, Chapman
⚾ BAL @ SEA 10:10pm
J.Dunn – 6.40 xfip 19.8% k rate
360/255 woba/iso 50% FB 45% HC vs LHB
50% FB 40% HC vs RHB
targets – Hays, Mancini
J.Lopez – 4.85 xfip 19.3% k rate
390/251 woba/iso 44% HC vs LHB
177 iso 38% HC vs RHB
targets – Haniger, France, Seager, Lewis
⚾ PIT @ SD 10:10pm
D.Lamet – 3.49 xfip 34.3% k rate
elite 32.7% k rate vs LHB and 36.2% k rate vs RHB
targets – Reynolds, Moran
M.Keller – 4.73 xfip 24.8% k rate
399/208 woba/iso 39% HC vs LHB
355/221 woba/iso 37% HC vs RHB
targets – Grisham, Tatis, Machado, Hosmer, Croneworth
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Rise or Fall MLB Tools 2021
MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)
The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.
MLB Strategy Notebook
The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!
MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)
The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.
MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft
The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)
The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.
MLB Strategy Notebook
The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!
MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)
The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.
MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft
The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.
