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MLB DFS Picks for Wednesday 4/21/21

This MLB DFS Picks article is a Morning Preview I’m going to publish daily. In this article, I will go game by game and quickly highlight some MLB DFS Picks in good spots today in each game. I will try not to make this a “deep dive” style article, but, I tend to get a little carried away so forgive me in advance.

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MLB DFS Picks for 4/21/21

Very Early Slate

⚾ SFG @ PHI 1:05pm

Z.Efflin – 4.38 xFIP 20.8% K rate
361/257 woba/iso 41% FB vs LHB very good 291/130 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – La Stella, Yaz, Belt, Dickerson

A.DeSclafani – 4.63 xFIP 22.5% K rate
345/211 woba/iso 44% FB 45% HC vs LHB better 278/155 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Harper, Gregorius, Miller

⚾ BAL @ MIA 1:10pm

T.Rogers (L) – 3.73 xFIP 31.7% K rate
344 woba 46% HC vs LHB – 340/226 woba/iso 50% HC vs RHB
– targets – Mancini, Franco

B.Zimmerman (L) (small sample) – 4.02 xFIP 20.5% K rate
241 iso 39% FB vs RHB
– targets – Rojas, Cooper, Duvall

⚾ PIT @ DET 2:10pm

M.Fulmer (small sample) – 4.91 xFIP 17.8% K rate
500/392 woba/iso 38% FB 43% HC vs RHB
– targets – Evans, Reynolds, Moran

T.Anderson (L) – 5.50 xFIP 18% K rate
363/200 woba/iso vs LHB – 364/215 woba/iso 40% FB vs RHB
– targets – Goodrum, Ramos, Nunez, Schoop

Early Only Slate

⚾ HOU @ COL 3:10pm

A.Gomber (L) (small sample) – 4.91 xFIP 22.5% K rate
good woba/iso numbers so far 262/106 vs LHB and 279/073 vs RHB
– targets – Bregman, Gurriel, Correa

J.Urquidy – 4.18 xFIP 21.3% K rate
351/198 woba/iso 44% FB 43% HC vs RHB
– targets – Story, Blackmon, Cron

⚾ MIN @ OAK 3:37pm

F.Montas – 3.82 xFIP 25.5% K rate
337/187 woba/iso 40% FB 39% HC vs LHB – good 277/127 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Arraez, Polanco

K.Maeda – 3.67 xFIP 28.4% K rate
very solid woba/iso 298/148 vs LHB and 225/158 vs RHB
– targets – Canha, Olson

⚾ STL @ WAS 4:05pm

M.Scherzer – 3.08 xFIP 33.5% K rate
322/181 woba/iso 40% FB 40% HC vs LHB – very good 241/132 woba/iso 37.3% K rate vs RHB
– targets – Carpenter, Arenado, Godly

C.Martinez – 4.52 xFIP 21.6% K rate
350/197 woba/iso 43% HC vs RHB
– targets – Stevenson, Turner, Bell, Schwarber

⚾ TEX @ LAA 4:07pm

J.Quintana (L) – 4.15 xFIP 21.1% K rate
342/167 woba/iso 40% HC vs RHB
– targets – Solak, Trevino, Culberson

M.Foltynewicz – 4.81 xFIP 21.6% K rate
332/264 woba/iso 48% FB 40% HC vs LHB – 323/203 woba/iso 42% HC vs RHB
– targets – Trout, Walsh

⚾ MIL @ SD 4:10pm

D.Lamet – 3.50 xFIP 34.1% K rate
very solid 266/134 woba/iso vs LHB and 280/155 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Vogelbach, Hiura

A.Houser – 3.89 xFIP 22.1% K rate
369/199 woba/iso 40% HC vs LHB
– targets – Grisham, Hosmer, Tatis, Machado

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Main Slate

⚾ CHW @ CLE 6:10pm

A.Civale – 4.26 xFIP 21.4% K rate
166 iso 43% HC vs LHB – 175 iso vs RHB
– targets – Anderson, Moncada, Abreu, Mercedes, Grandal

J.Stiever (small sample) – 6.65 xFIP 10.3% K rate
41% FB 42% HC vs LHB – 55% HC vs RHB
– targets – Ramirez, Reyes, Rosario

⚾ ATL @ NYY 6:35pm

C.Kluber – 4.77 xFIP 22.8% K rate
365/190 woba/iso 45% FB vs LHB – 388 woba 37% HC vs RHB
– targets – Freeman, Ozuna

I.Anderson – 3.21 xFIP 29.8% K rate
very solid 249/070 woba/iso vs LHB and 270/091 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – LeMahieu, Judge, Gardner, Stanton, Torres

⚾ PIT @ DET 6:40pm

S.Turnbull – 4.62 xFIP 21.9% K rate
332/133 woba/iso 42% HC vs LHB – 305/140 woba/iso 39% HC vs RHB
– targets – Evans, Reynolds, Moran

M.Keller – 4.74 xFIP 25.3% K rate
409/210 woba/iso 38% FB 37% HC vs LHB – 342/198 woba/iso 37% HC vs RHB
– targets – Grossman, Ramos, Nunez, Baddoo

⚾ ARI @ CIN 6:40pm

T.Mahle – 4.10 xFIP 26% K rate
325/209 woba/iso 43% FB vs LHB
– targets – Calhoun, Peralta

M.Kelly – 4.47 xFIP 20.2% K rate
46% HC vs LHB – 215 iso 39% FB 44% HC vs RHB
– targets – Winker, Naquin, Suarez, Votto

⚾ TOR @ BOS 7:10pm

G.Richards – 4.88 xFIP 22.1% K rate
346/184 woba/iso 43% HC vs LHB – 329/220 woba/iso 41% FB 47% HC vs RHB
– targets – Semien, Bichette, Guerrero, Biggio, Gurriel

T.Thornton – 4.98 xFIP 21.7% K rate
326/199 woba/iso 37% FB 36% HC vs LHB – 338 woba 41% FB 37% HC vs RHB
– targets – Verdugo, Martinez, Bogaerts, Devers

⚾ NYM @ CHC 7:40pm

Z.Davies 4.86 xFIP 17.2% K rate
174 iso 38% FB vs LHB – 41% HC vs RHB
– targets – Lindor, Smith, Alonso, Conforto, McNeil

D.Peterson (L) – 4.53 xFIP 22.3% K rate
great vs LHB 249/070 woba/iso 32.7% K rate – worse vs RHB 190 iso 38% FB 38% HC
– targets – Contreras, Bryant, Baez

⚾ TB @ KC 8:10pm

J.Junis – 4.54 xFIP 21.3% K rate
353/183 woba/iso 43% HC vs LHB -0 327/200 woba/iso 41% FB vs RHB
– targets – Meadows, Arozarena, Lowe

M.Wacha – 4.59 xFIP 20.7% K rate
341/192 woba/iso vs LHB – 381/242 woba/iso 43% HC vs RHB
– targets – Perez, Santana, Soler

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Rise or Fall MLB Tools 2021

MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)

The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.

MLB Strategy Notebook

The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!

MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)

The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.

MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft

The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)

The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.

MLB Strategy Notebook

The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!

MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)

The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.

MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft

The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.

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