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MLB DFS Picks for Wednesday 4/28/21

This MLB DFS Picks article is a Morning Preview I’m going to publish daily. In this article, I will go game by game and quickly highlight some MLB DFS Picks in good spots today in each game. I will try not to make this a “deep dive” style article, but, I tend to get a little carried away so forgive me in advance.

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MLB DFS Picks for 4/28/21

EARLY SLATE

⚾ MIN @ CLE 1:10pm

L.Allen (L) – 5.43 xFIP 14.5% K rate
376/250 woba/iso vs LHB
381/189 woba/iso 47% HC vs RHB
targets – Garver, Donaldson, Buxton, Cruz

J.Happ (L) – 4.72 xFIP 20.5% K rate
333/230 woba/iso 43% FB 39% HC vs RHB
targets – Luplow, Ramirez, Reyes, Rosario

⚾ MIA @ MIL 1:40pm

Z.Godley – 5.49 xFIP 17.8% K rate
363/233 woba/iso 35% FB 40% HC vs LHB
377/209 woba/iso 36% FB 42% HC vs RHB
targets – Dickerson, Aguilar, Cooper

S.Alcantara – 4.95 xFIP 19.7% K rate
174 iso 39% FB 37% HC vs LHB
targets – Wong, Narvaez

⚾ CIN @ LAD 4:10pm

C.Kershaw (L) – 3.26 xFIP 27.1% K rate
181 iso 38% HC vs LHB
165 iso 39% HC vs RHB
targets – Castellanos, Suarez, Moustakas

S.Gray – 3.67 xFIP 29.4% K rate
very good 286/133 woba/iso vs LHB and 272/128 woba/iso vs RHB
targets – Betts, Seager, Muncy

⚾ KC @ PIT 6:35pm

M.Keller – 4.65 xFIP 25.3% K rate
398/211 woba/iso 39% HC vs LHB
346/206 woba/iso vs RHB
targets – Santana, Perez, Soler

M.Minor (L) – 4.49 xFIP 23.6% K rate
168 iso 41% FB 38% HC vs RHB
targets – Reynolds, T.Frazier, Stallings

⚾ BOS @ NYM 6:40pm

J.deGrom – 2.71 xFIP 34.9% K rate
elite 32.5% K rate vs LHB and 36.8% K rate vs RHB
targets – looking for one offs here not full stacks – Verdugo, Martinez, Bogaerts, Devers

N.Pivetta – 5.01 xFIP 21.5% K rate
352/234 woba/iso 40% HC vs LHB
362/225 woba/iso 44% HC vs RHB
targets – Lindor, Smith, Alonso, Conforto

MAIN SLATE

⚾ NYY @ BAL 7:05pm

D.Kremer – 4.41 xFIP 27.1% K rate
small sample
330/212 woba/iso 55% FB 47% HC vs LHB
targets – (lefties) Odor, Hicks – and obviously LeMahieu, Stanton, Judge (always in play)

D.German – 4.30 xFIP 25.1% K rate
331/240 woba/iso 43% FB 40% HC vs LHB
209 iso 43% HC vs RHB
targets – Mancini, Stewart

⚾ WAS @ TOR 7:07pm

S.Matz (L) – 4.25 xFIP 23.1% K rate
339/182 woba/iso 37% HC vs LHB
333/223 woba/iso 37% HC vs RHB
targets – Turner, Zimmerman, Castro, Gomes

E.Fedde – 5.32 xFIP 13.8% K rate
347/162 woba/iso 40% HC vs LHB
186 iso 36% HC vs RHB
targets – Biggio, Bichette, Guerrero, Semien

⚾ OAK @ TB 7:10pm

T.Glassnow – 2.83 xFIP 35.1% K rate
elite 35.7% K rate vs LHB and 34.7% K rate vs RHB
targets – looking for one offs not full stacks – Olson, Moreland, Canha

C.Irvin (L) – 4.83 xFIP 17.5% K rate
401 woba 47% HC vs LHB
targets – Brosseau, Arozanea, Meadows

⚾ CHC @ ATL 7:20pm

H.Ynoa – 4.55 xFIP 22.5% K rate
347/277 woba/iso 45% HC vs RHB
targets – Contreras, Rizzo, Bryant, Happ

K.Hendricks – 4.19 xFIP 20.3% K rate
very good vs both LHB and RHB
targets – one offs most likely not full stacks – Acuna, Freeman, Ozuna

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⚾ PHI @ STL 7:45pm

J.Oviedo – 5.25xFIP 15.5% K rate
364/192 woba/iso 46% HC vs RHB
targets – Harper, Realmuto

V.Velasquez – 4.51 xFIP 25.5% K rate
350/201 woba/iso 36% FB 42% HC vs LHB
353/237 woba/iso 47% FB 47% HC vs RHB
targets – Goldy, Arenado, DeJong

⚾ LAA @ TEX 8:05pm

D.Dunning – 4.00 xFIP 24% K rate
40% FB 40% HC vs LHB
targets – Ohtani, Trout, Rendon, Walsh

S.Ohtani (L) – 5.37 xFIP 33% K rate
small sample – only 39 batters faced vs L and R
targets – Gallo

⚾ DET @ CHW 8:10ppm

C.Rodon (L) – 4.51 xFIP 28.1% K rate
47% FB 47% HC vs LHB
160 iso 44% FB vs RHB
targets – Goodrum, Cabrera

C.Mize – 5.20 xFIP 17.9% K rate
432/337 woba/iso 41% HC vs LHB
targets – Eaton, Moncada, Abreu, Mercedes, Grandal

⚾ SEA @ HOU 8:10pm

Z.Greinke – 360 xFIP 22.8% K rate
41% FB 37% HC vs RHB
targets – Haniger, Lewis

J.Dunn – 6.37 xFIP 20% K rate
376/269 woba/iso 49% FB 45% HC vs LHB
48% FB 37% HC vs RHB
targets – Altuve, Brantley, Bregman, Alvarez, Correa

⚾ SD @ ARI 9:40pm

T.Widener – 5.65 xFIP 22.1% K rate
353/288 woba/iso 49% FB 45% HC vs LHB
44% FB 46% HC vs RHB
targets – Tatis, Hosmer, Croneworth

R.Weathers (L) – 4.31 xFIP 28.3% K rate
small sample, only 26 LH batters faced and 34 RH batters faced since 2019
targets – Smith, Kelly, Cabrera, Escobar

⚾ COL @ SFG 9:45pm

A.Wood (L) – 4.22 xFIP 22.3% K rate
205 iso 35% HC vs LHB
346/232 woba/iso 45% HC vs RHB
targets – Story, Blackmon, Cron

G.Marquez – 3.72 xFIP 23.3% K rate
180 iso 39% HC vs LHB
targets – La Stella, Belt, Dickerson

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Rise or Fall MLB Tools 2021

MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)

The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.

MLB Strategy Notebook

The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!

MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)

The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.

MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft

The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)

The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.

MLB Strategy Notebook

The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!

MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)

The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.

MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft

The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.

DFSnDonuts MLB DFS Strategy for DraftKings 5/13
MLB DFS Lineup Building Members Only Strategy Session
MLB DFS Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings
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