This MLB DFS Picks article is a Morning Preview I’m going to publish daily. In this article, I will go game by game and quickly highlight some MLB DFS Picks in good spots today in each game. I will try not to make this a “deep dive” style article, but, I tend to get a little carried away so forgive me in advance.
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Early Slate
⚾ CHW @ CIN 12:35pm
S.Gray – 3.63 xfip 29.8% k rate
solid woba/iso vs both LH and RH batters
solid K rate 29.1% vs LH and 30.5% vs RH
targets – Moncada, Abreu
D.Keuchel (L) – 4.13 xfip 16.9% k rate
solid woba/iso vs both LH and RH
only 15.3% k rate vs RHB
targets – Castellanos, Suarez, Moustakas
⚾ SF @ COL 3:10pm
J.Gray – 4.38 xfip 21.5% k rate
342/200 woba/iso 43% HC only 19.1% K rate vs LHB
targets – Tauchman, Belt, Dickerson
L.Webb – 4.31 xfip 20.2% k rate
356 woba 42% HC vs LHB
340 woba 38% HC vs RHB
targets – Story, Blackmon, Nunez
⚾ BAL @ SEA 3:40pm
Y.Kikuchi (L) – 4.82 xfip 18.3% k rate
176 iso 38% HC vs LHB
356/222 woba/iso 37% HC only 17% K rate vs RHB
targets – Mancini, Franco, Severino
J.Means (L) – 4.98 xfip 21.1% k rate
190 iso 47% FB vs RHB
targets – Haniger, France, Seager
⚾ NYM @ STL 5:15pm
K.Kim (L) – 4.22 xfip 18.2% k rate
solid woba/iso vs LH and RH
only 14.4% k rate vs RHB and 42% HC rate
targets – Pillar, Alonso, Lindor, McCann
M.Stroman – 3.88 xfip 20.5% k rate
solid woba/iso vs LH and RH
only 19.5% k rate vs LHB
targets – Goldy, Carpenter
⚾ ARI @ MIA 6:40pm
P.Lopez – 4.06 xfip 22.5% k rate
338/173 woba/iso 39% HC vs LHB
targets – Peralta, Walker
L.Weaver – 4.55 xfip 24.3% k rate
329/188 woba/iso 37% FB 37% HC vs LHB
206 iso 43% FB 52% HC vs RHB
targets – Aguiler, Cooper, Dickerson, Anderson
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Main Slate
⚾ MIL @ PHI 7:05pm
C.Anderson – 5.07 xfip 21.5% k rate
195 iso 44% FB vs LHB
370/246 woba/iso 40% FB 43% HC vs RHB
targets – Vogelbach, Cain
F.Peralta – 3.82 xfip 33.4% k rate
327/230 woba/iso 44% FB 40% HC vs RHB
targets – Hoskins, Miller, Realmuto
⚾ ATL @ WAS – 7:05pm
E.Fedde – 5.29 xfip 14.4% k rate
341/159 woba/iso 39% HC vs LHB
190 iso 35% HC vs RHB
targets – Acuna, Freeman, Ozuna
M.Fried (L) – 3.45 xfip 23.9% k rate
328/157 woba/iso 39% HC vs RHB
targets – Turner, Zimmerman, Castro, Gomes
⚾ HOU @ NYY 7:05pm
J.Montgomery (L) – 3.85 xfip 23.6% k rate
342/228 woba/iso 41% HC vs RHB
targets – Altuve, Bregman, Alvarez, Correa, Gurriel
L.Garcia – 5.42 xfip 21.6% k rate
383/333 woba/iso 45% FB vs LHB
targets – LeMahieu, Stanton, Judge, Urshela, Torres, Frazier
⚾ DET @ BOS 7:10pm
M.Perez (L) – 4.93 xfip 18.5% k rate
340/170 woba/iso 36% HC vs RHB
targets – Cabrera, Schoop, Goodrum, Ramos
C.Mize – 5.01 xfip 18.5% k rate
423/314 woba/iso 44% HC vs LHB
targets – Verdugo, Martinez, Bogaerts, Devers
⚾ LAD @ CHC 7:40pm
A.Alzoaly – 4.18 xfip 28.5% k rate
339/185 woba/iso 44% HC vs LHB
targets – Betts, Seager, Turner, Muncy, Smith
W.Buehler – 3.34 xfip 29.5% k rate
solid woba/iso vs LH and RH
targets – Pederson, Bryant, Rizzo, Contreras, Heyward
⚾ TEX @ MIN 7:40pm
L.Thorpe (L) – 5.05 xfip 20.1% k rate
409/216 woba/iso 37% FB vs LHB
384/194 woba/iso 37% FB 42% HC vs RHB
targets – Calhoun, Solak, Gallo
H.Yang (L) – 4.90 xfip 15.2% k rate
small sample only 9 LH and 24 RH batters faced since 2019
targets – Buxton, Donaldson, Cruz, Garver, Krilloff
⚾ NYM @ STL 7:45pm
J.Oviedo – 4.97 xfip 18.1% k rate
341/175 woba/iso 43% HC vs RHB
targets – McNeil, Lindor, Conforto, Alonso, Smith
J.Yamamoto – 5.31 xfip 24.2% k rate
252 iso 41% FB 51% HC vs LHB
357/206 woba/iso 45% FB 48% HC vs RHB
targets – Goldy, Arenado, DeJong
⚾ CLE @ KC 8:10pm
B.Singer – 4.09 xfip 24% k rate
solid woba/iso vs LH and RH
targets – Ramirez, Rosario, Reyes
S.Bieber – 2.92 xfip 33.7% k rate
elite k rate 34.9% vs LH and 32.7% vs RHB
targets – Perez, Soler
⚾ PIT @ SD 8:10pm
Y.Darvish – 3.42 xfip 31.3% k rate
189 iso 37% HC vs LHB
targets – Reynolds, Moran
J.Brubaker – 4.05 xfip 24.5% k rate
206 iso vs RHB
targets – Tatis, Croneworth, Myers
⚾ TB @ LAA 9:38pm
S.Ohtani – 5.37 xfip 33.3% k rate
small sample 39 LH and RH batters faced since 2019
elite K rate 41% vs RHB
targets – Meadows, Lowe
R.Yarbrough (L) – 4.23 xfip 19.3% k rate
very good woba/iso vs LH and RH
sub par K rate 19.2% vs LH and RH
targets – Trout, Rendon
⚾ TOR @ OAK 9:40pm
C.Bassitt – 4.39 xfip 22.5% k rate
191 iso 41% FB 38% HC vs LHB
targets – Springer, Bichette, Guerrero, Semien
R.Ray (L) – 4.44 xfip 29.8% k rate
356/236 woba/iso 41% FB 44% HC vs RHB
great K rate 29.4% vs LH and 29.9% vs RHB
targets – Canha, Laureano, Chapman, Lowrie
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Rise or Fall MLB Tools 2021
MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)
The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.
MLB Strategy Notebook
The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!
MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)
The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.
MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft
The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)
The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.
MLB Strategy Notebook
The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!
MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)
The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.
MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft
The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.
