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MLB DFS Stacks, Pitching, & Hitting Targets | DraftKings & FanDuel MLB Picks 7/18

MLB DFS Strategy Study Hub Session 7/18

There are many things that you can do with our MLB DFS study hub. It’s loaded with information and has many different functions that you can mess around with. We have these study for MLB DFS, NBA DFS, NFL DFS, NASCAR DFS, NHL DFS, PGA DFS, and MMA DFS. Today, I wanted to break down different ways to use the Study Hub with examples of filters used. These are up to the user for what metrics and at what levels they’d like to use for each category. The world is your oyster!

I’ll be breaking down the main slate on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. It’s a 10-game slate on DraftKings, a nine-game slate on FanDuel, and a 14-game slate on SuperDraft. The slate begins at 1:05 PM EST/10:05 AM PST on all sites.

Hot Hitting Teams

These are the last 14-days of team-by-team splits vs. starting pitcher-handedness. Basically, you can get a quick glimpse of which teams are HOT vs. handedness of pitcher based on splits alone.

MLB DFS for DraftKings and FanDuel

The wOBA/ISO Hot Hitters Club

This is a list of hitters with a .400 wOBA / .300 ISO split with at least 20 Plate Appearances over the last 30-days of baseball.

DK and FD Hot Hitters MLB DFS

MLB DFS Strategy DraftKings Targets

This list is compiled by sorting in the MLB DFS Study Hub. The DraftKings Rating category was filtered to 75 and above. The projections category was filtered by “Above Average”. The DraftKings Value category was filtered by “Above Average”. The DraftKings ownership % category was filtered by players less than 10% owned (filtered as 0.1 to get this result).

DraftKings MLB DFS Hot Hitting Targets

MLB DFS Strategy FanDuel Targets

This list is compiled by sorting in the MLB DFS Study Hub. The FanDuel Rating category was filtered to 75 and above. The projections category was filtered by “Above Average”. The FanDuel Value category was filtered by “Above Average”. The FanDuel ownership % category was filtered by players less than 10% owned (filtered as 0.1 to get this result).

MLB DFS FanDuel Hot Hitting Options

MLB DFS DraftKings and FanDuel Pitchers Targets List

These targets were created by sorting the DraftKings Rating and FanDuel Rating to 75 or higher. The DraftKings projections and FanDuel projections were filtered by “Above Average”. The DraftKings value and FanDuel value were sorted by “Above Average”. The FanDuel ownership and DraftKings ownership were not filtered for this shortlist.

MLB DFS Top Pitchers for DraftKings

FanDuel MLB DFS Top Pitchers

MLB DFS LINEUP BUILDING BLOCKS

Now that the hard part has been cleared it’s time to dig a little deeper as we start building our stacks. I like to look at players that are playing really well the last seven days. I’m of the opinion that baseball players are streaky so I look at the most recent sample.

MLB DFS Top Hitters Last 7 Days DraftKings and FanDuel

These are the hottest hitters using the same parameters as the Hot Hitters Club over a seven day span. The only difference is I use nine plate appearances instead of 20 plate appearances.

The San Diego Padres (Tommy Pham, Jake Cronenworth, and Wil Myers) are the only team with three players on the hot list.

The Miami Marlins (Starling Marte and Jesus Aguilar) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (Bryan Reynolds and Wilmer Difo) have two players on the seven day hot hitters club list.

The Padres rank 12th and 9th for top stack and ownership in our MLB DFS Study Hub for DraftKings, and 13th and 11th in those categories in our MLB DFS Study Hub for FanDuel. They’re taking on Max Scherzer and the Washington Nationals so this might be a time to fade this stack. I know the Padres had an incredible comeback against Scherzer after being down 8-0 in a game in San Diego, but I’m not counting on lightning striking twice.

I’ve said a lot of times that I’m a huge fan of “hot players” or you could say I suffer from recency bias when it comes to MLB DFS. The All-Star break throws us a curve and breaks the players’ rhythm so my personal strategy is to play light until the teams have been back for a week. In my opinion it allows players to get back in the groove, and it allows us to identify those players.

Here are a few things that catch my eye for today’s slate:

*There doesn’t appear to be any real weather issues on the slate today. The Tampa-Atlanta game has the highest chance of precipitation on the slate at 27%. There SHOULDN’T be any concerns, BUT we’ve seen weather pop up out of nowhere and lead to postponements.

*The Philadelphia Phillies with Zach Wheeler (-225), and the Toronto Blue Jays with Hyun-jin Ryu (-219) are the two biggest favorites on the slate. **The Phillies line dropped to -208 while I was writing this section. The line shifted slightly after the Marlins listed Braxton Garrett as their starter.**

*The Twins, Tigers, and Royals are all projected for 5+ runs.

*The Blue Jays, Rays, Braves, Phillies, Orioles and Giants are all projected for 5 runs if you round up their implied total.

*The Pirates are the only team on the slate with a winning streak of 3+ games.

*The Rangers, Mets, and Nationals are the only teams on the slate with losing streaks of 3+ games.

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