MLB DFS Stacks, Pitching, & Hitting Targets | DraftKings & FanDuel MLB Picks 7/24
MLB DFS Strategy Study Hub Session 7/24
There are many things that you can do with our MLB DFS study hub. It’s loaded with information and has many different functions that you can mess around with. We have these study hubs for MLB DFS, NBA DFS, NFL DFS, NASCAR DFS, NHL DFS, PGA DFS, and MMA DFS. Today, I wanted to break down different ways to use the Study Hub with examples of filters used. These are up to the user for what metrics and at what levels they’d like to use for each category. The world is your oyster!
Hot Hitting Teams
These are the last 14-days of team-by-team splits vs. starting pitcher-handedness. Basically, you can get a quick glimpse of which teams are HOT vs. handedness of pitcher based on splits alone.
The wOBA/ISO Hot Hitters Club
This is a list of hitters with a .400 wOBA / .300 ISO split with at least 20 Plate Appearances over the last 30-days of baseball.
MLB DFS Strategy DraftKings Targets
This list is compiled by sorting in the MLB DFS Study Hub. The DraftKings Rating category was filtered to 75 and above. The projections category was filtered by “Above Average”. The DraftKings Value category was filtered by “Above Average”. The DraftKings ownership % category was filtered by players less than 10% owned (filtered as 0.1 to get this result).
MLB DFS Strategy FanDuel Targets
This list is compiled by sorting in the MLB DFS Study Hub. The FanDuel Rating category was filtered to 75 and above. The projections category was filtered by “Above Average”. The FanDuel Value category was filtered by “Above Average”. The FanDuel ownership % category was filtered by players less than 10% owned (filtered as 0.1 to get this result).
MLB DFS DraftKings and FanDuel Pitchers Targets List
These targets were created by sorting the DraftKings Rating and FanDuel Rating to 75 or higher. The DraftKings projections and FanDuel projections were filtered by “Above Average”. The DraftKings value and FanDuel value were sorted by “Above Average”. The FanDuel ownership and DraftKings ownership were not filtered for this shortlist.
High-Upside and Potentially Moderate to Low Ownership MLB DFS Hitting Targets
Study Hub Filters Used
- DraftKings projection / FanDuel projection “Above Average”
- DraftKings value / FanDuel value “Above Average”
- DraftKings ownership / FanDuel ownership “Less than 10%”
- wOBA greater than .400 over the last 30-days against the pitcher handedness
- ISO greater than .300 over the last 30-days against the pitcher handedness
MLB DFS Building Blocks
We have a nice 10 game slate tonight with a few stud pitchers on the mound. We have one game with a implied run total of 10, and two with an implied run totals of 9 or greater. To add to this we also have 4 teams with implied run totals of over 5 (Cincinnati, Kansas City, Los Angeles Dodgers, and San Francisco). We know Vegas totals aren’t the end-all-be-all, but they are a great barometer to begin our research.
Speaking of Vegas totals, lets take a peak at those who aren’t expected to score much:
These are the pitchers with the five lowest opponent expected runs. I’m sure you’ve caught on by now, but the color coding on the hub help’s identify good and bad, in this instance blue = good.
The one pitcher that stands out to me immediately is Kevin Gausman. I know past performance isn’t an indicator of future success but he checks some key boxes that I personally like to see.
Now lets look at the opposite end of the spectrum:
These are pitchers facing teams with an expected run total of over 4.5 runs. In digging into the Study Hub there was one team that stood out on the DraftKings (my preferred site to play MLB DFS).
Detroit is expected to be the best stack on the main slate. They are expected to be a chalkier stack but you’ll be able to differentiate in other spots. Who exactly am I looking at? Well, lets take a look:
I hope this starts your lineup building in the right direction. Any questions, comments, or concerns feel free to hit me up in Discord or on Twitter @EdArias87
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DFS Streams and DFS Strategy Video
- Every day at 12:30 pm ET DFS n Donuts does a twitch.tv/TeamRiseorFall stream to highlight all sorts of strategy, research, game theory, lineup study, and more.
- You can also find his strategy videos on the Donut Shop homepage which organizes a lot of his YouTube.com/DFSnDonuts DFS strategy and tutorial videos.