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MLB DFS Stacks, Pitching, & Hitting Targets | DraftKings & FanDuel MLB Picks 8/7

MLB DFS Strategy Study Hub Session 8/7

There are many things that you can do with our MLB DFS study hub. It’s loaded with information and has many different functions that you can mess around with. We have these study for MLB DFS, NBA DFS, NFL DFS, NASCAR DFS, NHL DFS, PGA DFS, and MMA DFS. Today, I wanted to break down different ways to use the Study Hub with examples of filters used. These are up to the user for what metrics and at what levels they’d like to use for each category. The world is your oyster!

I’ll be breaking down the main slate on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. It’s an 11-game slate on DraftKings, and a 10-game slate on FanDuel, and SuperDraft. The slate begins at 7:05 PM EST/4:05 PM PST on all sites.

Hot Hitting Teams

These are the last 14-days of team-by-team splits vs. starting pitcher-handedness. Basically, you can get a quick glimpse of which teams are HOT vs. handedness of pitcher based on splits alone.

MLB DFS Hot Hitting Teams

The wOBA/ISO Hot Hitters Club

This is a list of hitters with a .400 wOBA / .300 ISO split with at least 20 Plate Appearances over the last 30-days of baseball.

MLB DFS Strategy DraftKings Targets

This list is compiled by sorting in the MLB DFS Study Hub. The DraftKings Rating category was filtered to 75 and above. The projections category was filtered by “Above Average”. The DraftKings Value category was filtered by “Above Average”. The DraftKings ownership % category was filtered by players less than 10% owned (filtered as 0.1 to get this result).

MLB DFS Strategy FanDuel Targets

This list is compiled by sorting in the MLB DFS Study Hub. The FanDuel Rating category was filtered to 75 and above. The projections category was filtered by “Above Average”. The FanDuel Value category was filtered by “Above Average”. The FanDuel ownership % category was filtered by players less than 10% owned (filtered as 0.1 to get this result).

MLB DFS DraftKings and FanDuel Pitchers Targets List

These targets were created by sorting the DraftKings Rating and FanDuel Rating to 75 or higher. The DraftKings projections and FanDuel projections were filtered by “Above Average”. The DraftKings value and FanDuel value were sorted by “Above Average”. The FanDuel ownership and DraftKings ownership were not filtered for this shortlist.

MLB DFS LINEUP BUILDING BLOCKS

Now that the hard part has been cleared it’s time to dig a little deeper as we start building our stacks. I like to look at players that are playing really well the last seven days. I’m of the opinion that baseball players are streaky so I look at the most recent sample.

These are the hottest hitters using the same parameters as the Hot Hitters Club over a seven day span. The only difference is I use nine plate appearances instead of 20 plate appearances.

The Atlanta Braves (Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson, and Joc Pederson) and San Francisco Giants (Mike Yastrzemski, Kris Bryant, and Alex Dickerson) are the only teams with three players in the 7-day MLB DFS Hot Hitters Club.

The Cincinnati Reds, Detroit Tigers, Milwaukee Brewers, and Washington Nationals have two players on the seven day hot hitters club list.

This is fairly large slate at 10 games (67% of teams) in play. Cleveland is an interesting play today when you’re looking for solid stacks. Our MLB DFS Study Hub ranks Cleveland as the top stack on Draftkings. We’re expecting Cleveland to be the 6th highest owned stack on the DK slate. For FanDuel our MLB DFS Study Hub projects Cleveland as the 2nd best stack and the 4th highest owned stack.

If we’re just looking at the 7-day Hot Hitters Club then the teams to target would be Atlanta and San Francisco because they both had three players make the list. Our MLB DFS Study Hub for DraftKings ranks Atlanta as the 12th best stack and 8th in ownership. San Francisco comes in at 20th in both categories. On Fanduel Atlanta is 10th and 6th while San Francisco is 18th in both categories. In the case of the Giants, how can a team with so many hot hitters rank so lowly today? Easy answer: They’re facing Brandon Woodruff today and he’s expected to pitch better than they’ll hit. Sometimes it’s good to follow the numbers. Sometimes it’s good to be contrarian. The real trick is knowing when that time is.

Here are a few things that catch my eye for today’s slate:

*At the time of writing there doesn’t appear to be any major weather concerns on the slate. There are a couple of cities (Baltimore and Cleveland) with a 15% chance of precipitation. Other than that it’s all sunny skies and domes.

*The Padres with Yu Darvish (-285), Dodgers with Julio Urias (-284), Braves with Charlie Morton (-220), Rays with Shane McClanahan (-219) and Astros with Luis Garcia (-205) are the biggest favorites on the slate. The Brewers with Brandon Woodruff (-190) and the Reds with Vladimir Gutierrez (-186) are decent favorites.

*The Rays, Reds, Guardians, Astros, Brewers, Braves, Rockies, Padres, and Dodgers are all projected for 5+ runs.

*The Pirates, Marlins, and Cardinals  are all projected for 5 runs if you round up their implied total.

*The Angels, Reds, and Braves are the only teams on winning streaks of 3+ games on the slate.

*The Orioles, Astros, Nationals, and Pirates are the only  teams on the slate with a losing streak of 3+ games.

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