MLB DFS Top Hitters 4/12/24
Welcome to our MLB DFS Top Hitters 4/12/24 article. On today’s MLB DFS slate, we have some compelling games on the docket, and identifying top hitters is crucial for your lineup. Let’s break down the top 5 DFS plays based on current form, matchups, and statistical insights:
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1. Mike Trout (OF, Angels) – $5900
- Matchup: Angels @ Red Sox
- Stats: .311 xHR, 27.5% K%, .304 ISO, .413 xwOBA
- Why He’s a Top Play:
- Power and Consistency: Trout’s exceptional .311 expected home runs (xHR) and .413 expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA) indicate his elite power-hitting and on-base skills.
- Favorable Matchup: Facing Tanner Houck, who has a higher xwOBA (.350) against left-handers, gives Trout, a righty, the edge due to reverse splits.
2. Yordan Alvarez (OF, Astros) – $6000
- Matchup: Rangers @ Astros
- Stats: .391 xHR, 16.3% K%, .316 ISO, .473 xwOBA
- Why He’s a Top Play:
- Dominant Hitting: Alvarez leads in expected home runs and boasts the highest xwOBA on today’s slate, highlighting his dominant hitting capabilities.
- Weak Opposing Pitching: Dane Dunning’s higher xwOBA (.338 against left-handers) plays into Alvarez’s strengths, especially with his power from the left side.
3. Shohei Ohtani (1B/OF, Dodgers) – $6200
- Matchup: Padres @ Dodgers
- Stats: .398 xHR, 22.9% K%, .375 ISO, .446 xwOBA
- Why He’s a Top Play:
- Elite Power and Plate Discipline: Ohtani’s .398 xHR and .446 xwOBA are testaments to his unmatched power and ability to get on base.
- Advantageous Conditions: Against Michael King, who struggles more against right-handers, Ohtani’s left-handed power is likely to thrive.
4. Ronald Acuña Jr. (OF, Braves) – $6500
- Matchup: Braves @ Marlins
- Stats: .225 ISO, 15.6% K%, .455 xwOBA
- Why He’s a Top Play:
- High On-Base Potential: Acuña’s .455 xwOBA is one of the highest, indicating his effectiveness at the plate.
- Speed and Power: With a solid ISO and lower strikeout rate, Acuña is a dual threat in terms of both power hitting and base-running against Marlins’ pitchers.
5. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B, Blue Jays) – $5200
- Matchup: Rockies @ Blue Jays
- Stats: .204 ISO, 15.8% K%, .383 xwOBA
- Why He’s a Top Play:
- Consistent Hitter: Guerrero’s lower strikeout rate and high xwOBA suggest he’s a reliable player for contact and power.
- Matchup Edge: Facing Ryan Feltner, who shows vulnerability against right-handers (.288 xwOBA), Guerrero’s skills are likely to capitalize on any pitcher’s mistakes.
Key Insights:
- Weather and Wind: Always factor in the wind direction and speed, as it can influence the ball’s trajectory, especially for power hitters.
- Pitcher Matchups: A detailed look at opposing pitchers’ weaknesses, such as high xwOBA or ISO allowed, can give a clear advantage to certain hitters based on their handedness and hitting statistics.
- Stadium Factors: Consider the stadium, as some, like Coors Field or Camden Yards, are known to be more hitter-friendly.
With these insights and top picks, you’re armed to build a powerful DFS lineup that maximizes potential in today’s MLB games. Good luck!
That’s all I’ve got for today
Thank you for checking out the article, I hope I was able to provide you with some value as you begin to build your DFS lineups for today’s contests.
Be sure to hit me up in Discord if you have questions. If you would prefer to reach out to me on Twitter @CeeGeeDFS that works too
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