Pitching Strategy for Monday

Bryan Woo (SEA) at OAK
Bryan Woo is a name that’s been making waves in the world of fantasy baseball. The rookie has had a rock-solid season, boasting impressive stats that make him a formidable choice for your MLB DFS lineup. In 15 starts covering 75.2 innings, Woo has posted a 4.16 ERA, 3.29 xERA, 4.20 xFIP, 1.15 WHIP, 7.0 BB%, 24.1 K%, and an impressive 27.4 CSW%.

Tonight, Woo faces a favorable matchup against the Oakland Athletics. The A’s have struggled at the plate, ranking 21st in wRC+ (89) for the season and maintaining a 25.1% strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers. They’ve continued to underperform, with a 26.5% strikeout rate over the past 30 days. When playing at home, their woes persist, with a 25.6% strikeout rate. Betting Pros also has the Mariners as -170 favorites in this game, with a total of 7.5 runs.

It’s worth noting that Woo has recently shut out the A’s in one of his last three starts, showcasing his ability to capitalize on this matchup. While he might not be the top choice for cash games due to his high salary, Woo’s potential for a high ceiling makes him a strong candidate for GPPs.

Michael Wacha, SD vs. COL
Michael Wacha offers an enticing option on the mound tonight. Despite some recent struggles in his last four starts against formidable opponents like the Dodgers, Phillies, and Brewers, Wacha’s matchup against the Colorado Rockies is a game-changer. The Rockies have been the weakest team in the league when facing right-handed pitching, with a dismal 79 wRC+ and a 27.2% strikeout rate.

Wacha, who boasts a 4.58 SIERA, 21.9% K%, 10.2% SwStr%, and a 1.21 WHIP on the season, should find success against this struggling lineup. His season ERA of 3.43 is promising, and he’s been particularly effective at home with a 2.55 ERA. Priced under $9,000 on DraftKings, Wacha represents an attractive option, especially given the favorable matchup against a lackluster Rockies offense.

Mike Clevinger (CWS) at WSH
Mike Clevinger may come with a recent ERA of 4.66, but don’t let that deter you. His underlying stats tell a different story. With a 1.17 WHIP, 5.1 BB%, 25.4 K%, and an impressive 30.6 CSW%, Clevinger’s pitch modeling, walk rate, strikeout rate, and plate discipline data are top-notch.

Clevinger’s potential shines even brighter when you consider his matchup against the Washington Nationals. The Nationals have struggled against righties, ranking 25th in wRC+ (88) for the season and maintaining a 19.3% strikeout rate. Their recent form is equally concerning, with a 19.2% strikeout rate over the past 30 days. Although their strikeout rate isn’t high, their wRC+ in relevant splits remains low.

The White Sox enter this game as -120 favorites, adding further appeal to Clevinger’s selection. His high ceiling makes him a nifty pick for your DFS lineup.

Freddy Peralta (MIL) at STL
Freddy Peralta has been on fire recently. In his last five starts, spanning 28.2 innings, he’s maintained a stellar 2.51 ERA, 2.22 xFIP, 0.70 WHIP, 31.5 CSW%, 93 Stuff+, 106 Location+, and 107 Pitching+. These stats speak to his dominant form.

Despite pitching less effectively on the road this season, Peralta faces the St. Louis Cardinals, who are struggling offensively. They rank 26th in wRC+ (86) over the past 30 days and have a 22.3% strikeout rate. Betting info also favors Peralta’s outlook, with the Brewers listed as -175 favorites and a game total of 9.0 runs.

Peralta’s high-priced play is justified given his incredible second-half performance. He boasts a 2.66 SIERA, 38.3% K%, and a 16.7% SwStr% since the break. With multiple outings of double-digit strikeouts, Peralta has consistently delivered over 20 DraftKings points. The Cardinals’ struggles against right-handers should further boost his chances of a strong performance.