MLB DFS Top Pitchers for Friday 8-11-23
When it comes to MLB DFS, identifying the top pitchers can be the key to unlocking success. As we gear up for the Friday matchups, let’s delve into the standout pitchers who could make a significant impact on your DFS plays. We’ll analyze their strengths, recent performances, and the matchups that make them intriguing choices.
Friday’s Starting Pitcher Strategy
Crafting a winning MLB DFS lineup demands a strategic approach to selecting starting pitchers. This Friday offers an array of options that cater to various game types. Let’s dissect the strategies for different pitching choices.
Lance Lynn (LAD) vs. COL
Lance Lynn, now with the Dodgers, has displayed promise with a strong start. FanGraphs data reveals his impressive stats: a 2.77 ERA, 4.10 xFIP, 0.92 WHIP, 6.0 BB%, 26.0 K%, and an outstanding 32.8 CSW% over 13.0 innings in two starts. Tonight, Lynn faces the Rockies, whose struggles against righties are apparent. With a 24.3 K% against right-handed pitchers in 2023, the Rockies are a prime target. Their woes extend further with a 28.2 K% over the last 30 days.
Notably, Lynn’s potential shines even brighter given the favorable betting odds. The Dodgers’ -325 line and a game total of 9.0 runs suggest a favorable setting for Lynn. While he might not be Kershaw, Lynn’s consistent strikeouts (26% K%) render him a top pick for this matchup.
Luis Castillo (SEA) vs. BAL
Luis Castillo has found his groove in Seattle, boasting an impressive 2.39 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 5.6 BB%, and a striking 32.3 K% over 109.0 innings at T-Mobile Park. His remarkable strikeout ability makes him an enticing option for GPPs. Additionally, the Orioles’ offense hasn’t been overly imposing lately, ranking 15th in wRC+ over the past 30 days. With the Mariners as -142 favorites and an 8.0-run game total, Castillo’s potential is worth exploring.
Corbin Burnes, MIL at CWS
As the Brewers contend for the NL Central title, Corbin Burnes has stepped up his game. With a 2.00 ERA and a 10.9 K/9 rate over his last seven starts, Burnes showcases both efficiency and a knack for strikeouts. His matchup against the White Sox, who rank 25th in runs and last in team OBP, positions Burnes as a strong consideration.
Johan Oviedo (PIT) vs. CIN
Johan Oviedo’s recent streak of outperforming his ERA estimators warrants attention. His previous five starts showcased a 2.32 ERA over 31.0 innings, along with a promising 25.4 K% and a solid 26.6 CSW%. Facing the Reds, who struggle with a 24.3 K% against righties this season and a high 27.7 K% over the last 30 days, Oviedo’s potential for strikeouts makes him a calculated risk.
Andrew Abbott, CIN at PIT
Andrew Abbott’s recent starts have been inconsistent, yet his overall 2.93 ERA across 12 starts showcases his potential. Holding lefties to a mere .173 average adds to his allure. Facing a struggling Pittsburgh offense ranked 24th in runs scored, Abbott’s upside shouldn’t be underestimated.
Justin Verlander, HOU vs. LAA
Justin Verlander’s solid performances, with only two earned runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts, establish him as a reliable choice. With a 3.11 ERA on the season, he faces an Angels team grappling with struggles since the trade deadline. Verlander’s ability to go deep into games makes him a dependable option.
Chris Sale, BOS vs. DET
A notable return to the mound is expected as Chris Sale emerges from the 60-day IL. While his health has been a concern, his 3.68 FIP and 10.83 K/9 rate across 11 starts indicate his potential. Against a struggling Detroit offense competing to avoid a low-ranking finish, Sale’s comeback adds intrigue.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q1: What is MLB DFS, and how does it work?
A1: MLB DFS stands for Major League Baseball Daily Fantasy Sports. It’s a game where participants assemble virtual lineups of real baseball players and earn points based on their performance in actual games. Points are earned for various actions like hits, home runs, strikeouts, and more. The goal is to build the most successful lineup within a budget to score higher than other participants.
Q2: How do I choose the right pitchers for my MLB DFS lineup?
A2: Selecting pitchers requires a careful assessment of factors like recent performance, matchup quality, and player statistics. Look for pitchers with strong strikeout rates, favorable matchups against weak-hitting teams, and recent good form. Pay attention to advanced metrics like ERA, WHIP, K%, and CSW% to gauge a pitcher’s potential effectiveness.
Q3: What does “GPP potential” mean in terms of starting pitchers?
A3: “GPP” stands for Guaranteed Prize Pool, a type of DFS contest where large cash prizes are awarded. When referring to a pitcher’s “GPP potential,” it means their ability to deliver high scores and differentiate your lineup from others. These pitchers often have higher strikeout rates and more risk due to their potential volatility.
Q4: How do I balance “cash game value” and “upside” when choosing pitchers?
A4: Balancing “cash game value” and “upside” is crucial. In cash games, your goal is consistent, safe points. Opt for pitchers with good recent form, solid matchups, and moderate strikeout potential. In GPPs, prioritize pitchers with high upside and the potential to exceed expectations, even if they come with a higher risk of lower scores.
Q5: What role does betting information play in MLB DFS pitcher selection?
A5: Betting information provides valuable insights into a pitcher’s potential performance. Pay attention to odds and game totals. Pitchers on favored teams are more likely to earn wins, while low-scoring games can benefit pitchers due to fewer earned runs. These factors can influence your choice of pitchers for your DFS lineup.
Q6: How do I factor in a pitcher’s past performance against specific teams or in certain ballparks?
A6: A pitcher’s historical performance against certain teams or in specific ballparks can give you insights into how they might perform in the current matchup. If a pitcher has a strong track record against a particular team or has excelled in a certain ballpark, it could increase their chances of success in the upcoming game.
Q7: Can I trust pitchers returning from injuries like Chris Sale?
A7: Pitchers returning from injuries can be both promising and risky choices. It’s crucial to assess their rehab performances, any news about their recovery, and their past performance when healthy. If a pitcher like Chris Sale has a history of strong performances and shows promising rehab outings, he could be a valuable addition to your lineup.
Q8: How do I gauge the potential value of sleeper pitchers like Andrew Abbott?
A8: Sleeper pitchers like Andrew Abbott are often less established but can offer excellent value due to their lower ownership percentages. Look for indicators of their potential, such as recent trends, matchups against struggling offenses, and their ability to generate strikeouts. While riskier, sleeper pitchers can be a differentiating factor in GPP contests.
Q9: What is the significance of advanced pitching metrics like CSW% and FIP?
A9: Advanced pitching metrics like CSW% (Called Strikes plus Whiffs percentage) and FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) provide a deeper understanding of a pitcher’s performance beyond traditional stats. CSW% measures a pitcher’s ability to induce swings and misses, while FIP estimates a pitcher’s performance based on factors they can control. These metrics can reveal a pitcher’s underlying skills and potential for sustained success.
That’s all I’ve got for today
Thank you for checking out the article, I hope I was able to provide you with some value as you begin to build your DFS lineups for today’s contests.
Be sure to hit me up in Discord if you have questions. If you would prefer to reach out to me on Twitter @CeeGeeDFS that works too
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