When it comes to MLB DFS, the importance of selecting the right pitchers cannot be overstated. A well-chosen pitcher can make or break your fantasy lineup, and that’s where our expert analysis comes in. In this edition, we dive into the top pitchers for Wednesday’s games, providing you with insights that can give you a competitive edge. So, let’s take a closer look at the pitchers who could help you secure that DFS victory.

Pitching Strategy for Wednesday’s Games

Crafting a winning DFS lineup requires careful consideration of your pitching choices. For Wednesday’s games, we have identified three pitchers who stand out for different reasons. Each brings a unique set of strengths and opportunities to the table, making them worth considering for your lineup.

Kevin Gausman (TOR) vs. PHI: The Rock-Solid Contender

When it comes to reliable performance and favorable home splits, Kevin Gausman takes the spotlight. Since joining the Blue Jays in free agency, Gausman has consistently delivered impressive metrics at home. FanGraphs data reveals a 3.71 ERA, 2.61 xFIP, 1.27 WHIP, 5.1 BB%, and an outstanding 31.3 K% in his last 150.1 innings at home. Recent performance adds to his allure, with a 3.09 ERA, 2.82 xFIP, and a 2.98 SIERA in his last four starts.

Gausman’s upcoming matchup against the Phillies presents a promising opportunity. The Phillies, with a 17th-ranked wRC+ of 98, struggle against right-handed pitching, boasting a 23.3 K% against righties in 2023. Gausman’s punchout ability is poised to shine, making him a solid choice. Furthermore, favorable betting odds (-157 for the Blue Jays) and a game total of 8.0 runs make this an attractive pick.

James Paxton (BOS) at WAS: The Lefty with Upside

James Paxton is another pitcher to watch on Wednesday. With a recent ERA of 2.95, a 3.52 xFIP, and a 1.45 WHIP in his last four starts, Paxton brings consistency to the mound. Despite varied metrics, Paxton’s xFIP remains decent, and his matchup against the Nationals offers potential.

The Nationals, ranking 15th in wRC+ (98) over the last 30 days and 20th at home, present a solid opportunity for Paxton. The lefty’s ability to deliver strikeouts (27.4% strikeout rate) and manage walks (6.7% walk rate) makes him a contender. Additionally, with the Red Sox favored at -170, Paxton could be in line for a valuable stat line.

Luis Castillo (SEA) vs. KC: The Strikeout Dynamo

Luis Castillo enters the scene as a pitcher with immense potential. His 3.70 xERA and 3.62 xFIP across 24 outings highlight his stability, while impressive numbers like a .224 xBA, 6.2% walk rate, and a 32.1% whiff rate underscore his prowess. Castillo’s knack for delivering strikeouts, with a streak of six or more in his last five starts, solidifies his standing.

The Royals, a team struggling to score (3.9 runs per game) and posting an 85 wRC+ against righties, are an advantageous matchup. Castillo’s ability to neutralize right-handed batters and capitalize on the Royals’ weaknesses makes him a prime choice. At $9,600 on DK and $10,500 on FD, Castillo offers value and high strikeout potential.

MacKenzie Gore (WAS) vs. BOS: The Risky Play

For those seeking a riskier option, MacKenzie Gore fits the bill. Despite a recent 5.27 ERA, his 4.55 xFIP suggests potential for improvement. The lefty’s 27.2 CSW% demonstrates his ability to generate swings and misses.

Gore’s matchup against the Red Sox could be the wildcard. With a 17th-ranked wRC+ of 97 in the last 30 days and a 21st-ranked wRC+ of 92 on the road, the Red Sox are not invincible. While Gore carries risk, his potential to rise to the occasion against this matchup adds an element of excitement.