MLB DFS Top Plays for Sunday 8-20-23
Welcome to our rundown of the MLB DFS top hitters for Sunday, August 20th, 2023. As we delve into the matchups and statistics, we’ll highlight the players that are poised to make a significant impact on your daily fantasy baseball lineup. These insights are designed to enhance your chances of success by considering key performance indicators, recent trends, and opponent weaknesses. Let’s jump right into it!
Pete Alonso – 1B, NYM
The New York Mets might be struggling as a team, but Pete Alonso continues to shine as a powerhouse hitter. Over the last 23 games, he has smashed 11 homers and boasts an impressive .378 on-base percentage (OBP), .707 slugging percentage (SLG), and a stunning 1.085 on-base plus slugging (OPS) figure. Facing off against a pitcher with a 4.36 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP since last year’s start, Alonso stands out as a prime candidate for your DFS lineup. His robust statistics, including a .553 expected slugging (xSLG), a 15.6% barrel rate, and a 131 weighted runs created plus (wRC+), emphasize his consistent performance as one of baseball’s premier power hitters. Keep in mind that while Dakota Hudson has a lower vulnerability to home runs due to his groundball tendencies, his susceptibility to hard hits, evident from a .448 expected slugging (xSLG) and a 43.9% hard-hit rate, plays into Alonso’s strengths.
Nolan Arenado – 3B, STL
Despite the St. Louis Cardinals’ less-than-stellar season, Nolan Arenado has remained a bright spot with his .285/.331/.511 slash line and 26 home runs. Particularly effective against right-handed pitching, he boasts a .515 slugging percentage (SLG) this season, consistent with his career mark of .513. Carlos Carrasco, on the other hand, seems to have hit a rough patch in 2023, with troubling metrics including a .510 expected slugging (xSLG), a 46.8% hard-hit rate, and a 6.49 expected earned run average (xERA). Right-handed hitters like Arenado are posing significant problems for Carrasco, who is giving up a .563 slugging percentage (SLG) against them. This imbalance contributes to a 6.49 expected earned run average (xERA) and a 4.97 expected fielding independent pitching (xFIP), making Arenado a promising DFS choice.
Noelvi Marte – SS, CIN
The Cincinnati Reds have introduced Noelvi Marte as a rising star prospect, and he’s slated to make his first career start on Sunday. As the 24th-ranked prospect in baseball according to MLB Pipeline, Marte brings 60-grade power and above-average running ability to the table. While his relative inexperience is a factor to consider, his potential for significant contributions makes him a valuable option at near-minimum pricing.
Corey Seager – SS, LAD
When Corey Seager is healthy and on the field, he proves why he’s considered the best shortstop in baseball. With a remarkable .348 batting average (AVG), .411 on-base percentage (OBP), .661 slugging percentage (SLG), and a phenomenal 1.072 on-base plus slugging (OPS) this year, Seager’s performance has been nothing short of exceptional. His prowess against right-handed pitchers, illustrated by a remarkable 1.125 OPS, puts him in a favorable position against Adrian Houser and his 4.43 ERA and 1.46 WHIP.
Cody Bellinger – 1B/OF, CHC
Cody Bellinger’s star continues to rise as one of the hottest hitters in the league. With 11 home runs and a 181 weighted runs created plus (wRC+) since the All-Star break, Bellinger’s overall performance in 2023 is indicative of a standout season. His impressive .326/.375/.564 slash line includes 20 home runs and 17 stolen bases, marking this year as his most remarkable since his MVP campaign in 2019. Given Jordan Lyles’ vulnerabilities, which are evident in his 5.14 expected earned run average (xERA) and 5.34 expected fielding independent pitching (xFIP), targeting hitters against him could lead to significant DFS success.
Ryan Mountcastle – 1B/OF, BAL
Ryan Mountcastle’s ability to capitalize on platoon advantages has been a significant asset this year, evident through his .339 batting average (AVG), .374 on-base percentage (OBP), .688 slugging percentage (SLG), and a robust 1.061 on-base plus slugging (OPS). Additionally, his recent performance, boasting a .471 on-base percentage (OBP), .667 slugging percentage (SLG), and a 1.137 on-base plus slugging (OPS) over the last 21 games, highlights his consistent contributions to the Baltimore Orioles’ lineup.
Masataka Yoshida – OF, BOS
Masataka Yoshida’s rookie season has been nothing short of outstanding, with a .301/.356/.470 slash line and 13 home runs. His ability to put the ball in play, coupled with his .274 expected batting average (xBA) and a mere 12.4% strikeout rate, underscores his proficiency at the plate. Clarke Schmidt’s vulnerability against left-handed hitters, evident from their .513 slugging percentage (SLG) and .383 weighted on-base average (wOBA), makes Yoshida an intriguing DFS choice, especially when considering the hitter-friendly confines of Yankee Stadium.
Max Kepler – OF, MIN
Max Kepler’s value is on the rise, and for good reason. With a .241/.303/.472 slash line, 20 home runs, and a 111 weighted runs created plus (wRC+), Kepler’s contributions to the Minnesota Twins lineup are noteworthy. His underlying metrics, including a .508 expected slugging (xSLG), a 12.9% barrel rate, a 46.1% hard-hit rate, and a 91.7 mph average exit velocity, provide additional insight into his impact on the field. Facing Osvaldo Bido, who sports a 4.68 expected earned run average (xERA) and a 5.02 expected fielding independent pitching (xFIP), further enhances Kepler’s appeal for DFS consideration.
Tyler O’Neill – OF, STL
While Tyler O’Neill’s season has been marred by injuries, his potential for fantasy success remains evident. With a track record of 48 homers and 29 steals over the past two years, O’Neill’s capabilities are not to be underestimated. Recent performance indicators, including a .343 on-base percentage (OBP), a .542 slugging percentage (SLG), and an .886 on-base plus slugging (OPS) across his last 18 games, showcase his ability to contribute when healthy and in form.
Andrés Giménez – 2B/SS, CLE
Andrés Giménez’s trajectory this season has seen a shift from a challenging start to a more successful second half. Over the last two weeks, he’s been on a tear with a .341 batting average (AVG), a .413 on-base percentage (OBP), a .613 slugging percentage (SLG), and a strong 1.026 on-base plus slugging (OPS). His renewed ability to steal bases enhances his DFS appeal. A favorable matchup against Alex Faedo, who holds a 5.16 earned run average (ERA), further boosts Giménez’s potential for a productive outing.
Ian Happ – OF, CHC
Ian Happ’s consistent placement in the middle of Chicago’s lineup against right-handers has resulted in solid performance metrics, including a .375 on-base percentage (OBP) and a .799 on-base plus slugging (OPS) against them this season. This track record positions Happ as an appealing choice against a pitcher like Jordan Lyles, particularly given his reasonable pricing.
Brandon Belt – 1B, SF
Brandon Belt’s consistent role as the third hitter against right-handers offers a valuable opportunity for DFS success. His impressive .362 on-base percentage (OBP), .504 slugging percentage (SLG), and a solid .867 on-base plus slugging (OPS) against righties over the last three years highlight his reliability as a hitter. This year, his performance remains in line with these figures, showcasing a .869 OPS across his last 45 games. Facing Hunter Greene, who is making his first appearance in months, could further contribute to Belt’s potential for a strong outing.
That’s all I’ve got for today
Thank you for checking out the article, I hope I was able to provide you with some value as you begin to build your DFS lineups for today’s contests.
Be sure to hit me up in Discord if you have questions. If you would prefer to reach out to me on Twitter @CeeGeeDFS that works too
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