TMay is at it nice and early this morning breaking down his early DraftKings and FanDuel MLB DFS targets. Let’s get to work! But before we get started, if you need projections and cheat sheets (like the FREE one below) for all sports, player notes, picks, and pools, and a coaching Discord, please gives us a look via ROF Patreon!
Kenta Maeda- At $9,100 on DraftKings and $8,700 on FanDuel, Maeda is at a reasonable price point against Milwaukee. The Brewers have struck out 28% of their plate appearances in 2020 and have a below-average wRC+ of 85. With an implied run total of 3.99, Maeda should not have issues navigating through this Brewers lineup.
Zack Greinke- At $10,300 on DraftKings and $9,800 on FanDuel, Greinke is priced up for this matchup against San Francisco. Greinke is a high floor play for me. San Francisco is a below-average offense in terms of team power and wRC+. I’m confident Greinke will go 6 strong innings in this matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies- The Phillies are in a great matchup against Wade LeBlanc with an implied run total of 5.45. Their offense has been stellar thus far in 2020 posting a wRC+ of 120 and an ISO of .201. Focus on Bryce Harper, Rhys Hoskins, J.T. Realmuto, and Didi Gregorious.
New York Yankees- The Atlanta Braves are trotting out Huascar Ynoa against the Yankees in what should be a high floor spot for the hitters. The Yankees have posted a wRC+ of 123 and Ynoa is a fringe MLB pitcher at best. Focus on Aaron Judge, Mike Ford, D.J. Lemahieu, and Luke Voit.
Masahiro Tanaka- At $7,600 on DraftKings and $8,300 on FanDuel, Tanaka is going to be a volatile option on today’s slate. The Braves have a wRC+ of 109 but, they have struck out in 28.5% of their plate appearances. Tanaka has a K/9 of 9.39 in a limited sample in 2020 and could go overlooked in this spot.
Blake Snell- At $9,400 on DraftKings and $8,500 on FanDuel, Snell is at an interesting price point. He has been on a strict pitch count and I expect that restriction to be lifted. Snell could go overlooked if people fear that he is still on a pitch count. Snell posted a K/9 of 12.36 in 2019 and he should smash value assuming he is not limited. An implied run total of 4.09 suggests that Snell has an avenue for success against Boston.
San Diego Padres- I expect the Padres to go overlooked due to a low implied run total of 3.65. Julio Urias hasn’t pitched to his talent level thus far in 2020 and San Diego has a wRC+ of 119. Focus on Fernando Tatis, Manny Machado, Will Myers, and Tommy Pham.
Minnesota Twins- The Twins will be going up against Eric Lauer with an implied run total of 4.51. Lauer has struggled with command of the strike zone and free baserunners are a recipe for disaster against this Twins lineup. I expect runs to come early and often for the Twins. Focus on Mitch Garver, Nelson Cruz, Max Kepler, and Jorge Polanco.