Grab a cup of coffee and let’s dive into my MLB GPP picks for the main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. Be sure to subscribe to get in-depth analysis, Study Hubs, tiered rankings, player pools, and $20 of FantasyCruncher credit monthly for Ronin members!
I’m going to highlight plays that have tournament winning upside. Let’s get into it.
Tyler Glasnow- At $9,700 on DraftKings and $ 10,100 on FanDuel, Glasnow is priced up for a matchup against Baltimore, Glasnow has been elite in 2020 posting a K/9 of 14.18 and an xFIP of 2.87. Baltimore is improved offensively but, they only have an implied run total of 3.45. I’ll lean on the total and the high ceiling in this spot. Glasnow will be the cornerstone of my pitching exposure.
Zach Plesac- At $8,500 on DraftKings and $10,400 on FanDuel, Plesac is priced up for a matchup against Detroit. Plesac has been solid in 2020 posting a K/9 of 8.56 and an xFIP of 3.67. He is facing a Tigers lineup that is basically handing out strikeouts posting a K% of 27.3%. I like this play more on DraftKings than I do FanDuel due to the price difference. I’ll have Plesac in tournaments,
Chris Paddack- At $8,800 on DraftKings and $8,200 on FanDuel, Paddack is at a reasonable price point for a matchup against Seattle. Paddack has lived up to expectations posting a K/9 of 9.49 and an xFIP of 3.57. The Mariners have posted a below-average wRC+ of 94 and a high K% of 24%. Paddack could have a ceiling game in this spot if he has his good stuff. I’ll have Paddack in tournaments.
New York Yankees- The Yankees have a matchup against Martin Perez with an implied run total of 6.01. The Bronx Bombers are back. The Yankees have clobbered 17 home runs in their last 3 games and we could see multiple long balls in this spot against Perez. Perez has struggled posting a K/9 of 6.40 and an xFIP of 5.48. I’m going to lean on the high total and the red hot Yankees bats in this spot. Focus on Luke Voit, Giancarlo Stanton, Clint Frazier, and Aaron Judge.
Tampa Bay Rays- The Rays have a date with Alex Cobb with an implied run total of 4.96. Cobb has struggled posting a K/9 of 6.64 and an xFIP of 4.22. The Rays have been consistently good on offense posting a wRC+ of 112 and an ISO of .194. I’ll take my chances with a powerful Rays lineup against a pitch to contact pitcher in Cobb. Focus on Brandon Lowe, Austin Meadows, Randy Arozarena, and Mike Brosseau.
San Diego Padres- The Padres have a matchup against Yusei Kikuchi with an implied run total of 4.79. Kikuchi has been rock solid posting a K/9 of 9.49 and an xFIP of 3.29. The Padres have been elite all season posting a wRC+ of 120 and an ISO of .217. Kikuchi’s 2020 numbers should scare off a good portion of the field and I’ll take my chances on the Padres at a potential ownership discount. Focus on Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, Wil Myers, and Austin Nola.
See ya in discord,
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