MLB Lineup Study Breakdown 5/27/2022

What sticks out to me! –  Draftkings Large slates

Since today the main slate is 13 games on Draftkings I wanted to focus there, everything you see here will strictly be for large slates.

Large slates have more of a tendency to follow these trends.  This really is because there are more teams with more good players so there are more chances for the good players to outshine the not so good players. 

Hitter Projections – 94% of all hitters used in winning lineups for large slates have had a projection over 5.  This goes along with what I just pointed out about large slates.

Hitter Ratings – 88% of all hitters used in winning lineups for large slates have had a rating over 50. Again, the larger the slate, the more you should be focused on playing the better players.  Let Ceegee do the hard work for you. 

Hub Stack Ratings – 79% of the main stacks in the winning lineups have had a Stack Rating in the Study Hub of 55 or above. On large slates, this number is bigger than on small slates.  This tells me that by playing the best players from the teams with a good rating, we will have a better chance to put out a profitable lineup. 

Stack size – What I am seeing here is that on these larger slates, 53% of the time a 5 man stack of some sort has been in the winning lineups.  This is a much LOWER number than what I see in the small slates.  On larger slates, the emphasis seems to shift to making sure you have the best players in your lineups instead of the best teams.  That being said, I will still be using a 5 man stack because half the time they do come out on top.

Vegas Implied Run Totals for Stacks – 84% of the time in large slates the winning stack has had a Vegas Implied Run Total of 4.0 or above.  This is another number which is much larger on large slates than it is on small slates.  Let Vegas be a good guide for which teams you do end up using. 

Pitchers TROF Rating – 95% of the time the winning pitchers have had a rating from the Study Hub of 50 or above.  73% of the time, the rating for pitchers is above 60. These numbers are consistent no matter what sized slate you are looking at.  

Vegas Win% of Pitchers – 92% of the time the winning pitchers had a Vegas Win% of 50% or more.  On large slates this number is considerable bigger than what we see on midsized slates, don’t get cute at pitcher on large slates! 

Vegas Opposing Team Run Total – 85% of winning pitchers have had an opponent Vegas run total of 4.0 or under.  The pattern here remains, larger slates tends to follow the trends for pitchers better than smaller slates.

Pitcher K% – 88% of all winning pitchers have a K% of 20 or above in the Study Hub.  This is where we see slight dip from small slates.  I still like 88% as a nice trend though.