MLB Picks and Advice 8-20
MLB Picks and Advice is coming at you to get your morning started. Be sure to tune in to twitch.tv/TeamRiseorFall at 1230 pm EST to do some lineup review and continue to try to find an edge with us in DFS.
Shane Bieber- At $10,600 on DraftKings and $12,000 on FanDuel, Bieber is priced up for a matchup against a struggling Pittsburgh offense. Pittsburgh is ranked dead last in wRC+ and they have struck out in 23.9% of their plate appearances. I like attacking bad offenses in cash and Bieber is a stud. I’ll be locking in Shane Bieber to my cash lineups.
Dinelson Lamet- At $8,500 on DraftKings and $9,400 on FanDuel, Lamet is underpriced for a matchup against a bad Texas offense. Lamet has been an ace level pitcher in 2020 posting a K/9 of 11.44 and a FIP of 2.79. I’ve been targeting the Rangers offense in cash and I’ll continue to do so on today’s slate.
Los Angeles Dodgers- The Dodgers have a matchup against Yusei Kikuchi with an implied run total of 5.1. Kikuchi has gotten off to a slow start in 2020 but, he posted a FIP of 5.71 and a HR/9 of 2. I expect Kikuchi to regress in this spot against a deep Dodgers lineup. Focus on Justin Turner, A.J. Pollock, Mookie Betts, and Cody Bellinger.
Colorado Rockies- The Rockies have a matchup against Cristian Javier with an implied run total of 6.2. I’m leaning on the huge total and Coors Field in this spot. Focus on Trevor Story, Charlie Blackmon, Nolan Arenado, and Daniel Murphy.
Sonny Gray- At $9,500 on DraftKings and $10,700 on FanDuel, Gray is priced up for a matchup against St. Louis. Gray has been dominant in 2020 posting a K/9 of 13.21 and a FIP of 2.56. Gray could go overlooked in this spot due to the abundance of quality high priced starting pitchers and an implied run total of 3.95. I’ll have shares of Gray in tournaments.
Kevin Gausman- At $6,500 on DraftKings and $7,700 on FanDuel, Gausman is at a reasonable price against the Angels. Gausman has found new life in 2020 posting a K/9 of 11.92 and a FIP of 3.11. At his price, Gausman can get around 5-7 strikeouts and manage the damage to smash value. He’s my top mid-range option on the slate.
San Diego Padres- The Padres are facing Kyle Gibson with an implied run total of 4.63. Gibson has been league average in 2020 posting a K/9 of 7.06 and a FIP of 4.34. I expect the Padres to go overlooked on today’s slate. Focus on Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, Eric Hosmer, and Trent Grisham.
Cincinnati Reds- The Reds have a matchup against Adam Wainwright with an implied run total of 4.55. Wainwright has been good in a small sample but, he isn’t a high strikeout guy posting a K/9 of only 6.05 in 2020. The Reds have posted an ISO of .209 and there is potential for multiple long balls in this spot. Focus on Nick Castellanos, Eugenio Suarez, Joey Votto, and Jesse Winker.
See y’all in discord,