Monday Night Football Showdown GPP Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel 11-30
Let’s dive into my Monday Night Football GPP picks for DraftKings and FanDuel. Be sure to subscribe to get in-depth analysis, Study Hubs, tiered rankings, player pools, and $20 of FantasyCruncher credit monthly for Ronin members! I’m going to highlight plays that have tournament winning upside and game theory. I crunched 500 lineups in FantasyCruncher with NFL Study Hub projections for both sites and will dive into the different theories within those crunches. Let’s get into it!
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Seattle Seahawks @ Philadelphia Eagles O/U 49 SEA -6
Scenario 1: Game Stays Close
For this scenario, I’m going to focus on roster constructions of 3-3 on Draftkings and 3-2 on FanDuel. The image on the left will be DraftKings and the two images on the right will be FanDuel. Jalen Hurts is a MME dart throw for me. If you want to take that shot, go ahead. I will not have him at volume.
For the Seattle side, Russell Wilson, Chris Carson, Tyler Lockett, and D.K. Metcalf are the priority targets. That is not surprising at all as they get the most volume in the offense. Per the NFL Study Hub, Lockett and Metcalf account for 23% and 21% of the team’s market share over the last four weeks. We know that Carson will assume the lead back role now that he is healthy.
On Draftkings, Jacob Hollister stands out as a punt at $1,400. On FanDuel, David Moore stands out as a punt.
For the Philadelphia side, Carson Wentz, Miles Sanders, Travis Fulgham, and Jalen Reagor are the priority targets. Per the NFL Study Hub, Reagor and Fulgham have accumulated 19% and 18% of the team’s market share over the last four weeks. Sanders is by far the best weapon on this offense and has been underutilized in previous games. It is worth noting that Seattle allows the most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers.
Dallas Goedert is in play but, I’d limit my exposure in MME.
On DraftKings, Boston Scott stands out as a punt. On FanDuel, Greg Ward stands out as a punt.
Scenario 2: Seahawks Dominate
This is the most likely scenario given the spread and my crunches support that with 50% on DraftKings and 30% on Fanduel supporting this outcome. I will be focusing on roster constructions of 4-2 on DraftKings and 4-1 on FanDuel.
As you can see in the results, we have the same priority targets for Seattle but, we are seeing much more of Jason Myers. Myers would have plenty of kicking opportunities in this scenario and should be accounted for in your exposures. Russell Wilson at MVP/CPT stands out on both sites and that is where I would go in Single Entry contests.
For the Eagles side, Jalen Reagor and Travis Fulgham stand out. Assuming the Eagles throw at a high volume, they should both get plenty of targets and opportunities for touchdowns.
Scenario 3: Eagles Dominate
This is the least likely scenario on the board. I got 12% 4 man Eagles stacks on DraftKings and 3% on FanDuel. These would be MME dart throws only for me. Again, I’m focusing on roster constructions of 4-2 on DraftKings and 4-1 on FanDuel.
In the results, we are seeing the same priority targets from Philadelphia but, much more of Dallas Goedert, Boston Scott, and Richard Rodgers. All three of these players will be touchdown dependent with Goedert providing the highest floor. We see less Jake Elliot in these builds because the salary relief is not needed as much for the Eagles as the Seahawks.
I would start Eagles builds with Carson Wentz and pick two of Jalen Reagor, Miles Sanders, Travis Fulgham, and Dallas Goedert.
For the Seattle side, Russell Wilson and Tyler Lockett stand out. Wilson provides the highest floor and Lockett has a high ceiling.
FantasyCruncher Limits and Groups
For limits, I want at most 1 defense and at most 1 kicker. I don’t envision a scenario where rostering multiples of those positions in the same lineup is an optimal play. FantasyCruncher groups allow you to have multiple folders of groups. I’d recommend having a folder for each scenario that I described above and differentiating those groups throughout your 20 or 150 max contests.
Focus on the correlation between the Captain/MVP and the remaining players. For example, I’m pairing Captain Tyler Lockett with Russell Wilson and another pass catcher. This theorizes that the Seahawks will go pass-heavy and Wilson will throw for multiple touchdowns. It is important in groups to keep the rotational guys out of your groups. This will allow you to have more control over your lineups.
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