Monday Night Football Showdown GPP Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel
Let’s dive into my Monday Night Football Showdown GPP picks for DraftKings and FanDuel. Be sure to subscribe to get in-depth analysis, Study Hubs, tiered rankings, player pools, and $20 of FantasyCruncher credit monthly for Ronin members! I’m going to highlight plays that have tournament winning upside and game theory. Let’s get into it!
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Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns O/U 46 BAL -3
Scenario 1: Game Stays Close
For this scenario, we want to theorize that there is either a defensive battle or a shootout. Given the low total and the amount Baltimoreruns the ball, the defensive battle is a likely scenario and the shootout is more contrarian.
For the Baltimore side, I’m focusing on Lamar Jackson, J.K. Dobbins, Marquise Brown, and Mark Andrews. These priority targets shouldn’t be surprising at all. Jackson has the highest projection and ceiling according to the NFL Study Hub projections and range of outcomes. Dobbins seems to be the lead back to me. I’m not paying too much attention to the Dallas game log as that game was firmly in control by Baltimore for the majority of the game. Brown and Andrews are the only two volume targets for Baltimore.
I’ll be mixing in Gus Edwards, Mark Ingram, and Willie Sneed. These guys offer salary relief and have the possibility of finding the end zone. Edwards is my top pick from that group given his value in goal line situations.
For the Cleveland side, I’m focusing on Baker Mayfield, Nick Chubb, and Jarvis Landry. Chubb has assumed his lead back role in the offense scoring over 20 more fantasy points than Kareem Hunt over the last two weeks. Mayfield has been spreading the ball around but, Landry has seen a market share of 29% over the last four weeks according to the NFL Study Hub.
I’ll be mixing in Rashard Higgins and Harrison Bryant. With Austin Hooper out, there are more targets to go around to the tight ends and we’ve seen Bryant take advantage of that opportunity in Week 7. Higgins has seen a market share of 20% over the last four weeks per NFL Study Hub.
Both defenses and kickers are in play. Justin Tucker stands out to me in cash games.
Scenario 2: Ravens Dominate
In my opinion, if Baltimore dominates this game, it will be on the back of the running game with big plays in the passing game mixed in. We know Lamar Jackson is not a volume passer unless he is needed to do so.
The priority targets stay the same for this scenario for me. In my opinion, this scenario is 100% reliant on Jackson producing efficiently. Given that, I will be locking him in. Shouldn’t really be surprising.
My favorite pass catcher is Mark Andrews due to his floor but, Marquise Brown is a very close second.
For the Cleveland side, I prefer Jarvis Landry or Rashard Higgins. Cleveland will be forced at pass at volume and they account for 49% of the term targets share over the last four weeks per NFL Study Hub.
Justin Tucker and Baltimore defense are firmly in play for this scenario.
Scenario 3: Browns Dominate
Similar to Baltimore, Cleveland will rely on their running game if they are going to dominate this game in my opinion. Mayfiel did throw for four touchdowns last week but, I don’t think that is a sustainable outcome to predict in this spot.
The priority targets are the same but, I am adding Rashard Higgins as a priority for this scenario. Mayfield, Chubb, Higgins, and Landry should see the bulk of the volume in this offense and offer the highest floor.
For MME, I would have shares of Kareem Hunt, Harrison Bryant, and Donovan Peoples-Jones for this scenario. Really just trying to predict touchdowns with these rotational guys.
For the Baltimore side, I prefer Mark Andrews or Marquise Brown. If you need salary relief, Devin Duvernay is a volatile punt that has touchdown upside.
Cody Parkey and Cleveland defense are in play for this scenario.
FantasyCruncher Limits and Groups
For limits, I want at most 1 defense and at most 1 kicker. I don’t envision a scenario where rostering multiples of those positions in the same lineup is an optimal play.
FantasyCruncher groups allow you to have multiple folders of groups. I’d recommend having a folder for each scenario that I described above and differentiating those groups throughout your 20 or 150 max contests.
See ya in discord,
TMay
