AdventHealth 400: NASCAR DFS Cup Series Targets on Draftkings
Thirteen NASCAR Cup Series races are complete, and through that, we have had 10 different winners. NASCAR DFS has been profitable and challenging during the first three months of the season, but that is a part of the game. Consistency is essential, and consistency is king when it comes to Kansas Speedway as well.
When looking at driver metrics at Kansas, a few things jump out to me immediately. The first thing is that the two highest-rated drivers here over the last six races have not won during that time span.
Neither of them.
Both Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick have however been consistent, with eight top-5s combined. The only active driver with multiple wins during those six races is the 2022 Richmond winner, Denny Hamlin. Other winners include last year’s Champion Kyle Larson, two-time Cup Series Champion Kyle Busch, and last week’s winner at Darlington, Joey Logano.
So what do we do for NASCAR DFS today?
That’s a great question, and I’m going to help you answer that question right now. So, without further delay, let’s jump into NASCAR DFS for the AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway.
NASCAR DFS Targets for the Advent Health 400
#5 Kyle Larson – ($11,100)
The price on Kyle Larson is rich this week at north of $11k, but if you’re looking for a dominator, look no further. Larson starts p3 this afternoon, and will likely make his way to the front of the pack rather quickly. In his last four races at Kansas, Larson has led the most laps with 322. The driver with the second most laps lead is Joe Gibbs Racing’s, Denny Hamlin with 275.
Hamlin did it in six races.
I have been experimenting with pivoting away from Larson at certain tracks to gain leverage in large field GPPs, but I won’t at Kansas. I’m locking him in and you should too. He is a 100% play for cash builds.
#11 Denny Hamlin – ($10,200)
We just mentioned Denny, and we’re going to mention him here again. He has led the second-most laps of any of the drivers in today’s race and has two wins, three top-5s, and three top-10s in his last six starts here. What really makes him appealing is his starting position of p18 however, making it very likely that we also gain some additional bonus points for place differential too.
Four drivers at +700 at DK for the win, and Hamlin is one of them!
Kyle Busch, Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott and Denny Hamlin.
— Ryan (@ifantasyrace) May 14, 2022
Hamlin is a lock for cash, but you could look at our next guy as well for $1,500 less.
#4 Kevin Harvick – ($8,700)
Kevin Harvick has struggled in 2022. Whether it be the new car, SHR in general, or his career winding down, it is hard to believe that Harvick only has two top-5s on the season. While his stats are not overly impressive, however, Harvick has been consistent — the word we’ve used a lot so far today.
Following his 34th place finish on the Bristol Dirt, Harvick has bounced back with a 9th and a 4th. That trend could continue in an upward direction at Kansas, a track where KH has a massive driver rating of 114.6.
Over his previous six races here, Harvick has four top-5s, and five top-10s and has finished all six races inside the top 20 with 198 laps led as well. He starts 23rd on Sunday, and with his price tag below $9k, I do not doubt he will be chalk. For GPPs and cash, is it worth it to play a guy that will be likely at 50%+ ownership?
In cash, it is a hard yes. In tournaments, it’s still a yes.
#6 Brad Keselowski – ($7,400)
What a terrible year it has been for Brad Keselowski. We knew the transition to being a driver/owner would be a challenge, especially with the NextGen car, but my goodness. Losing crew chief Matt McCall hurt the team as well, and Keselowski now finds himself trying to build his organization for 2023 and beyond rather than trying to win a second Cup Series Title.
On this day in 2019, Brad Keselowski won at Kansas! pic.twitter.com/qjZQOz1f9a
— NASCAR PICTURES (@Nascarpixtures) May 11, 2022
He has not achieved a top-10 since Daytona and only has one top-20 in his last three starts. We’re not expecting big things this weekend either, but due to him starting from p30, we do expect him to move forward in this race. He has four top-5s in his previous six starts here, so if there is anywhere Keselowski can get can back into the top 15 or possibly even into the top 10, it’s here.
His pricing and starting potential should lead to big scoring in NASCAR DFS.
#17 Chris Buescher – ($6,700)
I’m not going to lie — it feels really gross to be naming two Roush-Fenway-Keselowski cars here, but we’re sticking with it. Buescher has run well over recent weeks, with finishes of p8 and p16. He too starts deep in the field on Sunday, (p35) but has a good chance of getting himself another top 20.
He has two top-10s and four top-20s with 23 laps led in his last six starts at Kansas. I am playing him in GPP formats primarily.
Good luck this week!
Be sure to follow me on Twitter at @Nate_FFL and @TeamRiseOrFall for continued NASCAR DFS coverage and advice, as well as any late-breaking news prior to the green flag at Kansas. Also, be sure to check out all the other great NASCAR DFS content at TeamRiseOrFall.com,