NBA DFS Lineup Study 3/17/22
Welcome to today’s NBA DFS Lineup Study review article. In this article, we’re going to take a look at the winning lineups from the popular 20 max and 150 max tournaments on Draftkings.
The purpose of this review will be to identify roster construction trends that will help us make better lineup decisions as we construct our own lineups eacy day.
Make sure you’re in our Free Discord chat as myself and hundreds of our members discuss these strategies daily, also, if you’re not doing so already, make sure you’re following all of the Rise or Fall social media accounts so you don’t miss any breaking news.
I’ll be using Fantasy Cruncher to help me review each of these lineups. All of our Rise or Fall members save $20 per month on their Fantasy Cruncher subscription, so, if you’re not signed up yet, what are you waiting for?
Day 9 of NBA Lineup Study. Let’s talk about this in 🏆ronin-nba if you have comments or questions or just want to talk about trends you are seeing.
Reminder, we are looking at the winners of the $15 150 max and the $4 20 max on Draftkings only. For like sized slates today, I compared the 3 slates I have tracked in the 10 and above game range as last night was a 12 game slate.
Today’s thought is about Late Swap. Something I have noticed in the numbers, especially rating and rise over the last 9 days is when I say 8 out of 10 or 9 out of 10, the outliers are usually players who would have had ratings or Rise% above the thresholds if the news that made them good plays were announced before lock.
Late Swapping is an art form, stay on top of the news, determine which players are worthy of late swap and adjust accordingly. There is no easy answer to this, but if you pay attention to the alerts in discord, you will have a good idea.
Let’s get to the stats. Last night, the 2 winning lineups combined to use 13 players.
Rating – 12 out of 13 players had a rating over 50. Total over 9 slates is 84.85%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 91.18%. Rating – 12 out of 13 players had a rating over 60. Total over 9 slates is 77.78%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 88.24%.
Rise – 13 out of 13 players had a Rise% over 25%. Total over 9 slates is 90.91%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 97.06%. Rise – 13 out of 13 players had a Rise% over 30%. Total over 9 slates is 78.79%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 94.12%. A or B – 12 out of 13 players had a Projected Tier or Value Tier rating of A or B. Total over 9 slates is 82.83%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 91.18%. Projected Value – 13 out of 13 players had a Projected Value over 4.5. Total over 9 slates is 90.91%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 94.12%.
Last Nights winners and Study Hub
Actual Minutes – 11 out of 13 players had Actual Minutes over 25. Total over 9 slates is 91.92%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 94.12%. Actual Minutes – 10 out of 13 players had Actual Minutes over 30. Total over 9 slates is 74.75%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 85.29%
Ceiling – 10 out of 13 players had a Ceiling over 30. Total over 9 slates is 84.85%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 79.41%. Ceiling – 7 out of 13 players had a Ceiling over 35. Total over 9 slates is 70.71%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 67.65%.
Projection – 11 out of 13 players had a Projected Fantasy Score over 20. Total over 9 slates is 84.85%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 79.41% Projection – 10 out of 13 players had a Projected Fantasy Score over 25. Total over 9 slates is 73.74%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 64.71%
Projection – 6 out of 13 players had a Projected Fantasy Score over 30. Total over 9 slates is 53.54%. Total over 3 like sized slates is 47.06%.
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