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NBA DFS Lineup Study 3/22/2022

NBA DFS

Welcome to today’s NBA DFS Lineup Study review article. In this article, we’re going to take a look at the winning lineups from the popular 20 max and 150 max tournaments on Draftkings.

The purpose of this review will be to identify roster construction trends that will help us make better lineup decisions as we construct our own lineups each day.

Make sure you’re in our Free Discord chat as myself and hundreds of our members discuss these strategies daily, also, if you’re not doing so already, make sure you’re following all of the Rise or Fall social media accounts so you don’t miss any breaking news.

I’ll be using Fantasy Cruncher to help me review each of these lineups. All of our Rise or Fall members save $20 per month on their Fantasy Cruncher subscription, so, if you’re not signed up yet, what are you waiting for?

Today is Day 13 of NBA Lineup Study.  Come join me in the Team Rise or Fall discord in the Ronin-nba channel if you have comments or questions or just want to talk about trends you are seeing.  You can also find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/patkingpin

At Team Rise or Fall, the tools we use are constantly evolving.  The Projected Tier and Value Tier ratings that we have been using in NBA are now available on the NHL Study Hub as well!  Find out who has an A or a B rating and look at the color-coded players to help make your NHL lineups even better. In order for everyone to see this great new addition, we have made the NHL Study Hub free to use for everyone today.  To view the NHL Study Hub FREE today just click this link. https://teamriseorfall.com/nhl-dfs-study-hub/   

For the lineup study, we are looking at the winners of the $15 150 max and the $4 20 max on Draftkings only.  For like sized slates today, I compared the 5 slates I have tracked in the 5-9 game range as last night was a 9 game slate.

Today’s thought is about the end of the NBA season.  We are starting to see more and more volatility in NBA DFS and this is something that happens this time every year.  This is the time of year when teams start to rest their players so they can stay fresh for the playoffs.  This is also the time of year when teams who are out of the playoffs start using different rotations of players to see how some of these players who don’t normally see minutes can do when they get playing time.  When you are making your lineups, make sure you are watching for starting lineups to be released and injury reports to get updated throughout the day.  Staying on top of the news this time of year can be the difference between a winning night and a losing night.        

Let’s get to the stats.

Last night, the 2 winning lineups combined to use 12 players. 

Rating – 12 out of 12 players had a rating over 50.  Total over 13 slates is 85.62%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 86.57%.  Rating – 12 out of 12 players had a rating over 60.  Total over 13 slates is 78.08%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 77.61%. 

Rise – 12 out of 12 players had a Rise% over 25%.  Total over 13 slates is 91.78%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 91.04%.  Rise – 10 out of 12 players had a Rise% over 30%.  Total over 13 slates is 80.14%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 82.09%.

Last Nights winners and Study Hub

Do you want to have access to all of the tools Team Rise or Fall has to offer and get them in all sports? For new members, you can take $10 off of your first month when you use my promo code!  Click this link to subscribe and use promo code: Patkingpin to get $10 off your first month https://teamriseorfall.com/subscribe-now/

A or B – 12 out of 12 players had a Projected Tier or Value Tier rating of A or B.  Total over 13 slates is 84.93%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 86.57%. 

Projected Value – 12 out of 12 players had a Projected Value over 4.5.  Total over 13 slates is 91.78%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 92.54%.   Projected Value – 10 out of 12 players had a Projected Value over 5.0.  Total over 13 slates is 71.92%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 73.13%.

Actual Minutes – 12 out of 12 players had Actual Minutes over 25.  Total over 13 slates is 93.15%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 97.01%.  Actual Minutes – 9 out of 12 players had Actual Minutes over 30.  Total over 13 slates is 72.60%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 74.63%

Ceiling – 10 out of 12 players had a Ceiling over 30.  Total over 13 slates is 82.88%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 85.07%.  Ceiling – 7 out of 12 players had a Ceiling over 35. Total over 13 slates is 68.49%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 68.66%.

Projection – 11 out of 12 players had a Projected Fantasy Score over 20.  Total over 13 slates is 86.99%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 88.06%. Projection – 10 out of 12 players had a Projected Fantasy Score over 25.  Total over 13 slates is 73.97%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 77.61%. Projection – 6 out of 12 players had a Projected Fantasy Score over 30.  Total over 13 slates is 53.42%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 55.22%.

Utility – Yesterday both winners used a C eligible player in the utility position.  Total over 13 slates is 58% Center, 35% PG, 4% SG and 4% PF.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 67% Center, 25% PG, and 8% SG.

Guard spot and Forward spot – Last night a PG eligible player was used in both lineups at Guard and a PF eligible player was used at the Forward spot in both lineups. Looking at trends, a PG eligible player has been used 73% of the time over 13 slates for the Guard spot while a PF eligible player has been used 65% of the time at the Forward spot.  For like sized slates, the Guard spot is now 83% PG and 17% SG while the Forward spot is 58% PF and 42% SF. 

Ownership – The winning lineups used 2 and 3 players under 10% owned respectively.  Total over 13 slates for number of players under 10% used – 31% used 2 under 10%, 27% used 1 under 10%, 19% used 4 under 10%, 12% used 3 under 10%, 8% used 5 under 10%, and 4% used 0 under 10%. Total over 6 like sized slates is 42% used 2 under 10%, 25% used 4 under 10%, 17% used 3 under 10%, 8% used 1 under 10%, and 8% used 0 under 10%. 

Salary – Salary used yesterday was $50,000 in both of the lineups.  Total over 13 slates – $50,000 salary used in 58%, $49,900 salary used in 19%, $49,800 salary used in 19%, $49,300 used in 4%.  At least a $49,800 salary was used 96% of the time in the 13 slates.  Total over 6 like sized slates – 100% of the time salary in the 6 like sized slates was $49,800 or over. 

If you want to discuss any of this, you can find me in TROF discord in the ronin-nba channel.  I am always looking for ways to improve the article or just to hear any feedback you might have. 

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