LOADING

Type to search

DFS FREE CONTENT NBA

NBA DFS Lineup Study 3/28/2022

NBA DFS

Welcome to today’s NBA DFS Lineup Study review article. In this article, we’re going to take a look at the winning lineups from the popular 20 max and 150 max tournaments on Draftkings.

The purpose of this review will be to identify roster construction trends that will help us make better lineup decisions as we construct our own lineups each day.

Make sure you’re in our Free Discord chat as myself and hundreds of our members discuss these strategies daily, also, if you’re not doing so already, make sure you’re following all of the Rise or Fall social media accounts so you don’t miss any breaking news.

I’ll be using Fantasy Cruncher to help me review each of these lineups. All of our Rise or Fall members save $20 per month on their Fantasy Cruncher subscription, so, if you’re not signed up yet, what are you waiting for?

Today is Day 19 of NBA Lineup Study.  Come join me in the Team Rise or Fall discord in the Ronin-nba channel if you have comments or questions or just want to talk about trends you are seeing.  You can also find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/patkingpin

We have been looking at lineups for the last 19 days and you have decided it is time to dip your foot into the NBA DFS waters.  I have good news for you!  Today the NBA Study Hub is free for everyone to use so you can make the best lineups possible and put yourself on the right path to success.  To view the Study Hub free today, just click here!  https://teamriseorfall.com/nba-dfs-study-hub/

For the NBA lineup study, we are looking at the winners of the $15 150 max and the $4 20 max on Draftkings only.  For like sized slates today, I compared the slates I have tracked in the 5-9 game range as last night was a 6 game slate.

Today’s thought is about time.  Specifically, time away.  I see people in our discord saying they need to take a day off and then I see those same people setting lineups that day.  I get it, I really do.  But let me tell you something, I didn’t play DFS this past weekend and it felt great.  Saturday I was on the fence, I wanted to find a way to play, but I am glad I didn’t because I realized on Sunday that I was able to enjoy the day more without worrying about who is starting or sitting, will there be a speaker on fire that causes a player to leave the game or if Lebron really is Questionable or was he going to play like always.  Instead, I watched my daughters dance their little legs off and put all of their heart and effort into doing their best in a competition for two days.  I learned a lot from those little dancers, put your heart and soul into what you love, and the results will show.  I guess my time away was more of a refresh than I thought it was. Time to put my heart and soul back into what I love to do and make the rest of the NBA season my version of the dance competition. 

Let’s get to the stats.

Last night, the 2 winning lineups combined to use 12 players. 

Rating – 10 out of 12 players had a rating over 50.  Total over 19 slates is 85.25%.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 84.35%.  Rating – 6 out of 12 players had a rating over 60.  Total over 19 slates is 74.65%.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 70.43%. 

Rise – With the Rise% stat formula recently being adjusted for the better, we have a smaller sample size than the other stat categories.  12 out of 12 players had a Rise% over 5%.  Total over 5 slates is 88.14%.  Total over 4 like sized slates is 87.50%.  9 out of 12 players had a Rise% over 10%.  Total over 5 slates is 69.49%.  Total over 4 like sized slates is 62.50%.  5 out of 12 players had a Rise% over 15%.  Total over 5 slates is 52.54%.  Total over 4 like sized slates is 50%.   

Ceiling/Target (+/-) – Another recently updated stat created to show the difference between a player’s ceiling and his Target (5x+10) score.  As with Rise, we have a smaller sample size here as well.  10 out of 12 players had a +/- above -3.  Total over 5 slates is 72.88%.  Total over 4 like sized slates is 68.75%.  4 out of 12 players had a +/- above 0.  Total over 5 slates is 49.15%.  Total over 4 like sized slates is 45.83%.

Last Nights winners and Study Hub

Do you want to have access to all of the tools Team Rise or Fall has to offer and get them in all sports? For new members, you can take $10 off of your first month when you use my promo code!  Click this link to subscribe and use promo code: Patkingpin to get $10 off your first month https://teamriseorfall.com/subscribe-now/

A or B – 10 out of 12 players had a Projected Tier or Value Tier rating of A or B.  Total over 19 slates is 79.72%.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 79.13%. 

Projected Value – 11 out of 12 players had a Projected Value over 4.5.  Total over 19 slates is 89.86%.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 88.70%.   Projected Value – 8 out of 12 players had a Projected Value over 5.0.  Total over 19 slates is 68.66%.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 66.96%.

Actual Minutes – 11 out of 12 players had Actual Minutes over 25.  Total over 19 slates is 91.71%.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 93.04%.  Actual Minutes – 9 out of 12 players had Actual Minutes over 30.  Total over 19 slates is 72.81%.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 70.43%

Ceiling – 8 out of 12 players had a Ceiling over 30.  Total over 19 slates is 83.87%.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 86.09%.  Ceiling – 7 out of 12 players had a Ceiling over 35. Total over 19 slates is 66.82%.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 66.09%.

Projection – 11 out of 12 players had a Projected Fantasy Score over 20.  Total over 19 slates is 88.02%.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 89.57%. Projection – 8 out of 12 players had a Projected Fantasy Score over 25.  Total over 19 slates is 73.27%.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 73.91%. Projection – 5 out of 12 players had a Projected Fantasy Score over 30.  Total over 19 slates is 51.61%.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 51.30%.

Utility – Yesterday winners used a SG eligible and a PG eligible player in the utility position.  Total over 19 slates is 55% Center, 32% PG, 8% SG and 5% PF.  Total over 10 like sized slates is 60% C, 25% PG, 10% SG, and 5% PF.

Guard spot and Forward spot – Last night a PG eligible player was used in both lineups at Guard and a PF eligible player was used at the Forward spot in the winning lineups. Looking at trends, a PG eligible player has been used 79% of the time over 19 slates for the Guard spot while a PF eligible player has been used 74% of the time at the Forward spot.  For like sized slates, the Guard spot is 90% PG while the Forward spot is 70% PF. 

Ownership – The winning lineups used 2 and 4 players under 10% owned respectively.  Total over 19 slates for number of players under 10% used – 32% used 2 under 10%, 24% used 4 under 10%, 21% used 1 under 10%, 13% used 3 under 10%, 8% used 5 under 10%, and 3% used 0 under 10%. Total over 10 like sized slates is 35% used 2 under 10%, 30% used 4 under 10%, 20% used 3 under 10%, 10% used 1 under 10%, and 5% used 0 under 10%. 

Salary – Salary used yesterday was $49,900 in both winning lineups.  Total over 19 slates – $50,000 salary used in 50%, $49,900 salary used in 29%, $49,800 salary used in 13%, $49,600 used in 3%, $49,300 used in 3%, $49,000 used in 3%.  At least a $49,800 salary was used 92% of the time in the 18 slates.  Total over 10 like sized slates – 100% of the time salary in the 9 like sized slates was $49,800 or over.    

That is our look at last night and the season. Tonight, we have a 9 game slate.  To look at trends for like sized slates for tonight, all you have to do is look for the like sized slates in this article!

If you want to discuss any of this, you can find me in TROF discord in the ronin-nba channel.  I am always looking for ways to improve the article or just to hear any feedback you might have.

More Featured Articles

MLB DFS
MLB DFS