LOADING

Type to search

DFS FREE CONTENT NBA

NBA DFS Lineup Study 3/30/2022

NBA DFS

Welcome to today’s NBA DFS Lineup Study review article. In this article, we’re going to take a look at the winning lineups from the popular 20 max and 150 max tournaments on Draftkings.

The purpose of this review will be to identify roster construction trends that will help us make better lineup decisions as we construct our own lineups each day.

Make sure you’re in our Free Discord chat as myself and hundreds of our members discuss these strategies daily, also, if you’re not doing so already, make sure you’re following all of the Rise or Fall social media accounts so you don’t miss any breaking news.

I’ll be using Fantasy Cruncher to help me review each of these lineups. All of our Rise or Fall members save $20 per month on their Fantasy Cruncher subscription, so, if you’re not signed up yet, what are you waiting for?

Today is Day 21 of NBA Lineup Study.  Come join me in the Team Rise or Fall discord in the Ronin-nba channel if you have comments or questions or just want to talk about trends you are seeing.  You can also find me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/patkingpin

Last night, our coaches all listed Luka Doncic in their cash cores even though he has been struggling to hit value over his previous 5 games.  Luka proceeded to have 75 fantasy points for 6.6x value.  Tonight, they have decided to make their cores free for everyone to use.  Just click here before lock and find out who our coaches have as their cores for tonight! https://teamriseorfall.com/nba-cash-lineup-core-builds/

For the NBA lineup study, we are looking at the winners of the $15 150 max and the $4 20 max on Draftkings only.  Please note, last night DK’s 150 max was an $18 contest instead of the normal $15.  For like sized slates today, I compared the slates I have tracked in the 5-9 game range as last night was a 5 game slate.

Today’s thought is about the Team Rise or Fall Discord.  The community of players we have on this discord is second to none.  Ideas are shared by everyone which help other players improve their game.  I mention this because we are at a very volatile part of the NBA season where information comes in quick and lineup adjustments are a necessity.  Our discord helps you identify those changes and figure out who the best pivots might be.  Also, with the NBA regular season winding down, we have already started talking about MLB strategy.  If you want to get ahead of MLB this year, I highly recommend the Team Rise or Fall Discord. 

Let’s get to the stats.

Last night, the 2 winning lineups combined to use 11 players. 

Rating – 10 out of 11 players had a rating over 50.  Total over 21 slates is 86.02%.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 85.82%.  Rating – 9 out of 11 players had a rating over 60.  Total over 21 slates is 75.85%.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 73.13%.

Rise – With the Rise% stat formula recently being adjusted for the better, we have a smaller sample size than the other stat categories.  11 out of 11 players had a Rise% over 5%.  Total over 7 slates is 91.03%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 91.04%.  10 out of 11 players had a Rise% over 10%.  Total over 7 slates is 75.64%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 71.64%.  8 out of 11 players had a Rise% over 15%.  Total over 7 slates is 60.26%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 59.70%.   

Ceiling/Target (+/-) – Another recently updated stat created to show the difference between a player’s ceiling and his Target (5x+10) score.  As with Rise, we have a smaller sample size here as well.  10 out of 11 players had a +/- above -3.  Total over 7 slates is 78.21%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 76.12%.  7 out of 11 players had a +/- above 0.  Total over 7 slates is 56.41%.  Total over 6 like sized slates is 55.22%.

Last Nights winners and Study Hub

Do you want to have access to all of the tools Team Rise or Fall has to offer and get them in all sports? For new members, you can take $10 off of your first month when you use my promo code!  Click this link to subscribe and use promo code: Patkingpin to get $10 off your first month https://teamriseorfall.com/subscribe-now/

A or B – 9 out of 11 players had a Projected Tier or Value Tier rating of A or B.  Total over 21 slates is 80.51%.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 80.60%. 

Projected Value – 11 out of 11 players had a Projected Value over 4.5.  Total over 21 slates is 90.68%.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 90.30%.   Projected Value – 8 out of 11 players had a Projected Value over 5.0.  Total over 21 slates is 69.92%.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 69.40%.

Actual Minutes – 10 out of 11 players had Actual Minutes over 25.  Total over 21 slates is 91.95%.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 93.28%.  Actual Minutes – 9 out of 11 players had Actual Minutes over 30.  Total over 21 slates is 74.15%.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 73.13%

Ceiling – 9 out of 11 players had a Ceiling over 30.  Total over 21 slates is 84.32%.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 86.57%.  Ceiling – 7 out of 11 players had a Ceiling over 35. Total over 21 slates is 67.37%.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 67.16%.

Projection – 10 out of 11 players had a Projected Fantasy Score over 20.  Total over 21 slates is 88.56%.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 90.30%. Projection – 7 out of 11 players had a Projected Fantasy Score over 25.  Total over 21 slates is 73.31%.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 73.88%. Projection – 5 out of 11 players had a Projected Fantasy Score over 30.  Total over 21 slates is 51.69%.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 51.49%.

Utility – Yesterday winners used a C eligible player and a PG eligible player in the utility position.  Total over 21 slates is 57% Center, 31% PG, 7% SG and 5% PF.  Total over 12 like sized slates is 63% C, 25% PG, 8% SG, and 4% PF.

Guard spot and Forward spot – Last night a PG eligible player was used in both lineups at Guard and a PF eligible player was used at the Forward spot in the winning lineups. Looking at trends, a PG eligible player has been used 81% of the time over 21 slates for the Guard spot while a PF eligible player has been used 76% of the time at the Forward spot.  For like sized slates, the Guard spot is 92% PG while the Forward spot is 75% PF. 

Ownership – The winning lineups both used 2 players under 10% owned.  Total over 21 slates for number of players under 10% used – 33% used 2 under 10%, 24% used 1 under 10%, 21% used 4 under 10%, 12% used 3 under 10%, 7% used 5 under 10%, and 2% used 0 under 10%. Total over 12 like sized slates is 38% used 2 under 10%, 25% used 4 under 10%, 17% used 3 under 10%, 17% used 1 under 10%, and 4% used 0 under 10%. 

Salary – Salary used yesterday was $50,000 and $49,700 in the winning lineups.  Total over 21 slates – $50,000 salary used in 48%, $49,900 salary used in 26%, $49,800 salary used in 12%, $49,700 used in 2%, $49,600 used in 7%, $49,300 used in 2%, $49,000 used in 2%.  At least a $49,800 salary was used 86% of the time in the 21 slates.  Total over 12 like sized slates – 88% of the time salary in the 12 like sized slates was $49,800 or over.    

That is our look at last night and the season. Tonight, we have an 11 game slate.  To look at trends for like sized slates for tonight, all you have to do is click this link for the last lineup study I did with 10+ games for like sized slates.  https://teamriseorfall.com/nba-dfs-lineup-study-3-24-2022/

If you want to discuss any of this, you can find me in TROF discord in the ronin-nba channel.  I am always looking for ways to improve the article or just to hear any feedback you might have.

More Featured Articles

Fanduel NFL DFS Cheat Sheet
Draftkings NFL DFS Cheat Sheet