NBA DFS Risers Playbook for DraftKings and FanDuel 1/12/21
Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall NBA DFS Risers Playbook for DraftKings and FanDuel. This morning we will highlight some standout Vegas totals, pace ups spots, notable injury news, and my preferred way to attack the slate. At the conclusion of the article, we’ll discuss how I plan on handling the slate with the information we have this early in the day. Be mindful that this preview is subject to change as news breaks throughout the day.
Today is an interesting slate in that one game has already been postponed and we have two different lock times – DraftKings will lock at 4 PM PST/7 PM EST, while FanDuel will lock at 4:30 PM PST / 7:30 PM EST. The game being left off FanDuel is the Heat visiting the 76ers. That game has a total under 210 and many of the key players are going to be in COVID protocols. I can completely understand fading this game entirely.
The rest of the slate has some lower Vegas totals than we’re used to seeing. Do not hesitate to plant your flag in certain situations whether it be locking guys in or fading them completely as this is a smaller slate.
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Notable Vegas Totals
Indiana Pacers @ Golden State Warriors O/U 226.5
The Pacers are on the back-half of a back-to-back. All starters other than Miles Turner played over 34 minutes last night. Be very cautious of how you approach Pacer players as they are the only late game on the slate and there will be an inherent risk if we get late news that will have players on minutes limit or that will miss the game entirely for rest purposes. If I had to choose my favorite Pacer for this matchup, I’m going Damontas Sabonis, the man is a double-double machine.
The Warriors had a day off after the win against the Raptors on Sunday. I much prefer this side of the matchup. Steph Curry has had to take on the role of being the main scorer for the team and while he struggled shooting on Sunday, he was a rebound and four assists shy of a triple-double. Draymond Green looked like the Draymond of old nearly notching a triple-double as well, missing it by a rebound.
Pace Up Matchup
Denver Nuggets
The Nuggets, who currently rank 25th in the league in pace, will head to Brooklyn to face the Nets who play at the 4th highest pace. The game also has the highest Vegas total on the slate which makes this game very stackable on both sides.
As with all fast-paced games, I want exposure to the guys who are handling the rock – Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic. Murray has played better recently and Jokic is a threat to triple-double anytime he’s on the court.
For the Nets, Kyrie Irving is expected to be out again so this puts the scoring load on Kevin Durant and Caris LeVert.
Key Injury News
Probable: Victor Oladipo, Ben Simmons,
Questionable: Anthony Davis, LeBron James, Devin Vassell
Out: Kyrie Irving, Michael Porter Jr, Wesley Matthews, Kendrick Nunn, Bam Adebayo, Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler, Tobias Harris, Shake Milton, Seth Curry, DeMar DeRozan
Early Targets
LeBron James / Anthony Davis – This is a rematch of Sunday’s games against the Houston Rockets. The Lakers studs are both listed with questionable tags, if one of them is out I’m locking in the other. Anthony Davis is priced lower on both DraftKings and FanDuel so I would prefer LBJ to sit but we’ll have to play it by ear the closer we get to lock.
Jamal Murray -We haven’t seen Jamal have the types of games he was consistently putting up in the bubble which makes him more of a tournament play in my book but he’s underpriced in this matchup. The Nuggets are in a pace up game that has the highest total on the board. I’ll be heavy on him in tournaments hoping we see a ceiling game rather than a floor game.
Lonnie Walker Jr – If we’re looking to fit in all these studs we have to find value to make these pieces fit. DeMar DeRozan is going to be out today, the last time he was out Walker slid into the starting lineup and filled in admirably. He played 30 minutes scoring 25 points, grabbing 3 boards, and dishing out 4 assists.
Questions or comments?
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